2032: David Hogg vs. Ivanka Trump

[bagelman]

Conditions are politically neutral. A Democrat was elected in 2020 and reelected in 2024, but his/her chosen successor lost in 2028 to a Republican that has decided not to run for reelection.

People thought that David Hogg was only going to be in the news for 2018, after the devastating Parkland HS shooting earlier that year. But now he's the inc. senator from Florida, and fights for a more peaceful and harmonious multicultural society.   

People thought that Ivanka Trump was going to exit stage right after her father lost in 2020. But as the new face of the Trump organization and a politician in her own right, her presence on the American stage is larger than her father had before 2016. A congresswomen from upstate New York, Trump has been elected speaker but envisions a more executive role for herself. Generally considered a better leader than her father for obvious reasons.

[Kingpoleon]

306: Senator David Hogg/Governor Merika Coleman(D-AL) - 48.7%
252: Speaker Ivanka Trump/Attorney General Erika Harold - 45.0%



NY Governor Brandon Washington’s support helps the state to go Republican. However, the other major swing states - Florida, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, Texas, and Louisiana - all go Democratic, besides Illinois and New Jersey.
2016 EVs: 296-242

[libertpaulian]

What is gun control like in 2032?

[The Govanah Jake]

He'd be too young though. I'll do the map anyway:

[Suburbia]

281-257

Hogg wins because of suburban white liberals in Florida and Pennsylvania.

Or:

308-230
America gets another Trump presidency as Hogg's liberalism is unelectable in Middle America.

[Suburbia]

The Republican base would probably not even support Ms. Kushner. She is seen as a NYC coastal liberal, despite the fact her father has unorthodox views with the GOP.

[libertpaulian]

The Republican base would probably not even support Ms. Kushner. She is seen as a NYC coastal liberal, despite the fact her father has unorthodox views with the GOP.

Assuming 2032 follows The_Doctor's Cordray Theory, the party bases will be radically different.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

306: Senator David Hogg/Governor Merika Coleman(D-AL) - 48.7%
252: Speaker Ivanka Trump/Attorney General Erika Harold - 45.0%



NY Governor Brandon Washington’s support helps the state to go Republican. However, the other major swing states - Florida, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, Texas, and Louisiana - all go Democratic, besides Illinois and New Jersey.
2016 EVs: 296-242

How is Utah not only Democratic, but not even considered a "major swing state"?

[The Govanah Jake]

281-257

Hogg wins because of suburban white liberals in Florida and Pennsylvania.

Or:

308-230
America gets another Trump presidency as Hogg's liberalism is unelectable in Middle America.

So your saying the American political electoral will not change/barely at all in the next 14 years?

[Suburbia]

281-257

Hogg wins because of suburban white liberals in Florida and Pennsylvania.

Or:

308-230
America gets another Trump presidency as Hogg's liberalism is unelectable in Middle America.

So your saying the American political electoral will not change/barely at all in the next 14 years?

It will change electorally, by a few points. White male millennials lean GOP. Hogg needs to appeal to them.

[Kingpoleon]

306: Senator David Hogg/Governor Merika Coleman(D-AL) - 48.7%
252: Speaker Ivanka Trump/Attorney General Erika Harold - 45.0%



NY Governor Brandon Washington’s support helps the state to go Republican. However, the other major swing states - Florida, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, Texas, and Louisiana - all go Democratic, besides Illinois and New Jersey.
2016 EVs: 296-242

How is Utah not only Democratic, but not even considered a "major swing state"?

It voted for McMullin 2020, and Democratic in 2024 and 2028. The state Republican Party is lead by Spencer Cox, who leads against Tea Party/Trumplicans funded by the national party.

[Nyssus]

Senator David Hogg (D-FL)/Rep. Emma Gonzalez (D-FL): 54%

Speaker Ivanka Trump (R-NY)/Senator Tom Cotton (R-AR): 43%

Others: 3%

[Progressive Pessimist]

It all depends on if, by then, the Trump name becomes toxic. If so, Hogg succeeds. If the Trump family is still relevant and given the Reagan treatment by the GOP, Ivanka Trump could potentially win.

[Free Bird]

...Hogg would only be 32