2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2

[wesmoorenerd]

My count is now at 62 GOP held seats where Democrats raised more last quarter.

Do you happen to have a running list?

[Ebsy]

My count is now at 62 GOP held seats where Democrats raised more last quarter.

Do you happen to have a running list?

I do!

AL-05
AZ-02
AZ-04
CA-01
CA-04
CA-10
CA-21
CA-25
CA-39
CA-45
CA-48
CA-49
CA-50
CO-03
CO-06
FL-06
FL-08
FL-15
FL-16
FL-19
FL-27
GA-07
GA-06
IA-01
IA-03
IA-04
IL-12
IL-13
IL-14
IN-02
IN-03
IN-09
KS-02
KS-03
KY-06
ME-02
MI-07
MI-08
MI-11
MN-02
MN-03
MO-02
NC-02
NC-09
NC-13
ND-AL
NE-02
NJ-02
NJ-03
NJ-04
NJ-07
NJ-11
NM-02
NY-02
NY-11
NY-19
NY-22
NY-24
OH-01
OH-07
OH-15
PA-01
PA-05
PA-06
PA-07
PA-10
PA-17
SC-01
SC-05
TN-04
TX-07
TX-21
TX-22
TX-23
TX-25
TX-31
TX-32
VA-02
VA-05
VA-07
VA-10
WA-05
WA-08
WI-01
WI-06
WV-03
Total: 86

There very well could be some errors and I know I have probably missed some.

Edit: Noticed WI-01 and IA-01 missing. Now at 64.
Edit2: VA-05. 65.
Edit3: MI-07, OH-07, FL-06, IN-09, FL-15. 70.
Edit4: SC-05. 71.
Edit5: WA-08. 72.
Edit6: TX-25. 73.
Edit7: PA-01, IN-02, IL-13, NY-11, OH-15, NJ-04, AL-05, AZ-04, FL-08, FL-19, TN-04. 84.
Edit8: IN-03, IA-04. 86.

[wesmoorenerd]

My count is now at 62 GOP held seats where Democrats raised more last quarter.

Do you happen to have a running list?

I do!

Incumbent   Seat
Open   AZ-02
LaMalfa   CA-01
McClintock   CA-04
Denham   CA-10
Valadao   CA-21
Knight   CA-25
Open   CA-39
Walters   CA-45
Rohrabach CA-48
Open   CA-49
Hunter   CA-50
Tipton   CO-03
Coffman   CO-06
Buchanan   FL-16
Open   FL-27
Handel   GA-06
Woodall   GA-07
Blum           IA-03
Bost           IL-12
Hultgren   IL-14
Open   KS-02
Yoder   KS-03
Barr           KY-06
Poliquin   ME-02
Bishop   MI-08
Open   MI-11
Paulsen   MN-03
Lewis   MN-02
Wagner   MO-02
Holding   NC-02
Open   NC-09
Budd           NC-13
Open   ND-AL
Bacon   NE-02
Open   NJ-02
MacArthur   NJ-03
Lance   NJ-07
Open   NJ-11
Open   NM-02
King           NY-02
Faso           NY-19
Tenney   NY-22
Katko   NY-22
Chabot   OH-01
Open   PA-05
Open   PA-06
Open   PA-07
Kelly           PA-10
Rothfus   PA-17
Open   SC-01
Culberson   TX-07
Open   TX-21
Olson   TX-22
Hurd           TX-23
Carter   TX-31
Sessions   TX-32
Taylor   VA-02
Brat           VA-07
Comstock   VA-10
Rodgers   WA-05
Grothman   WI-06
Open   WV-03

There very well could be some errors and I know I have probably missed some.

wow that's a lot

[ltomlinson31]

My count is now at 62 GOP held seats where Democrats raised more last quarter.

Do you happen to have a running list?

I do!

AZ-02
CA-01
CA-04
CA-10
CA-21
CA-25
CA-39
CA-45
CA-48
CA-49
CA-50
CO-03
CO-06
FL-16
FL-27
GA-07
GA-6
IA-01
IA-03
IL-12
IL-14
KS-02
KS-03
KY-06
ME-02
MI-08
MI-11
MN-02
MN-03
MO-02
NC-02
NC-09
NC-13
ND-AL
NE-02
NJ-02
NJ-03
NJ-07
NJ-11
NM-02
NY-02
NY-19
NY-22
NY-22
OH-01
PA-05
PA-06
PA-07
PA-10
PA-17
SC-01
TX-07
TX-21
TX-22
TX-23
TX-31
TX-32
VA-02
VA-05
VA-07
VA-10
WA-05
WI-01
WI-06
WV-03

There very well could be some errors and I know I have probably missed some.

Edit: Noticed WI-01 and IA-01 missing. Now at 64.
Edit2: VA-05. 65.

Also, Bob Gibbs (OH-07) was outraised by Ken Harbaugh, Trey Hollingsworth (IN-09) was outraised by Liz Watson and Tim Walberg (MI-07) was outraised by Gretchen Driskill.

[Ebsy]

Thank you. FL-06 (DeSantis' open seat) and FL-15 (Ross') as well.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I wonder how much of Nunes's haul is from donors outside of the district.

[Brittain33]

Potentially threatened incumbent Democratic out raises opponent 5-1:

https://twitter.com/ActorAaronBooth/status/1018718026336800771  

LEAN R

[wesmoorenerd]

Even with all the vulnerable Republicans being outraised by Democrats, there's still a good few Republicans who outraised their Democratic opponents. Some notable ones I've noticed are Dino Rossi, Carlos Curbelo, Brian Fitzpatrick, Peter Roskam, Troy Balderson, Mia Love, Greg Gianforte, Rodney Davis, Dan Donovan, French Hill, Fred Upton, Brian Mast, Lee Zeldin, and David Joyce. They're still outnumbered by their outraised compatriots, however.

[KingSweden]

I wonder how much of Nunes's haul is from donors outside of the district.

Probably a substantial amount.

Even with all the vulnerable Republicans being outraised by Democrats, there's still a good few Republicans who outraised their Democratic opponents. Some notable ones I've noticed are Dino Rossi, Carlos Curbelo, Brian Fitzpatrick, Peter Roskam, Troy Balderson, Mia Love, Greg Gianforte, Rodney Davis, Dan Donovan (scratch that, looks like he got outraised too), French Hill, Fred Upton, Brian Mast, Lee Zeldin, and David Joyce. They're still outnumbered by their outraised compatriots, however.

Should note that some of these Republicans don’t have an “official” opponent yet, as Democrats have primaries still

[ltomlinson31]

https://twitter.com/allymutnick/status/1018844166334308353?s=19

[Gass3268]

I wonder how much of Nunes's haul is from donors outside of the district.

Probably a substantial amount.

Even with all the vulnerable Republicans being outraised by Democrats, there's still a good few Republicans who outraised their Democratic opponents. Some notable ones I've noticed are Dino Rossi, Carlos Curbelo, Brian Fitzpatrick, Peter Roskam, Troy Balderson, Mia Love, Greg Gianforte, Rodney Davis, Dan Donovan (scratch that, looks like he got outraised too), French Hill, Fred Upton, Brian Mast, Lee Zeldin, and David Joyce. They're still outnumbered by their outraised compatriots, however.

Should note that some of these Republicans don’t have an “official” opponent yet, as Democrats have primaries still

Yeah, in WA-08 all Democrats together outraised Rossi.

[JG]

I wonder how much of Nunes's haul is from donors outside of the district.

Probably a substantial amount.

Even with all the vulnerable Republicans being outraised by Democrats, there's still a good few Republicans who outraised their Democratic opponents. Some notable ones I've noticed are Dino Rossi, Carlos Curbelo, Brian Fitzpatrick, Peter Roskam, Troy Balderson, Mia Love, Greg Gianforte, Rodney Davis, Dan Donovan (scratch that, looks like he got outraised too), French Hill, Fred Upton, Brian Mast, Lee Zeldin, and David Joyce. They're still outnumbered by their outraised compatriots, however.

Should note that some of these Republicans don’t have an “official” opponent yet, as Democrats have primaries still

Yeah, in WA-08 all Democrats together outraised Rossi.

Might be a stupid question but can someone who loses in a primary give their campaign funds to the candidate who won?

[KingSweden]

I wonder how much of Nunes's haul is from donors outside of the district.

Probably a substantial amount.

Even with all the vulnerable Republicans being outraised by Democrats, there's still a good few Republicans who outraised their Democratic opponents. Some notable ones I've noticed are Dino Rossi, Carlos Curbelo, Brian Fitzpatrick, Peter Roskam, Troy Balderson, Mia Love, Greg Gianforte, Rodney Davis, Dan Donovan (scratch that, looks like he got outraised too), French Hill, Fred Upton, Brian Mast, Lee Zeldin, and David Joyce. They're still outnumbered by their outraised compatriots, however.

Should note that some of these Republicans don’t have an “official” opponent yet, as Democrats have primaries still

Yeah, in WA-08 all Democrats together outraised Rossi.

Might be a stupid question but can someone who loses in a primary give their campaign funds to the candidate who won?

Not a dumb question at all. I don’t *believe* so, but I’m not positive

[GeorgiaModerate]

I wonder how much of Nunes's haul is from donors outside of the district.

Probably a substantial amount.

Even with all the vulnerable Republicans being outraised by Democrats, there's still a good few Republicans who outraised their Democratic opponents. Some notable ones I've noticed are Dino Rossi, Carlos Curbelo, Brian Fitzpatrick, Peter Roskam, Troy Balderson, Mia Love, Greg Gianforte, Rodney Davis, Dan Donovan (scratch that, looks like he got outraised too), French Hill, Fred Upton, Brian Mast, Lee Zeldin, and David Joyce. They're still outnumbered by their outraised compatriots, however.

Should note that some of these Republicans don’t have an “official” opponent yet, as Democrats have primaries still

Yeah, in WA-08 all Democrats together outraised Rossi.

Might be a stupid question but can someone who loses in a primary give their campaign funds to the candidate who won?

Yes, within limits:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

But this is probably more important:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[BuckeyeNut]

Balderson didn't outraise O'Connor. Though it was close and Balderson has more COH.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Even with all the vulnerable Republicans being outraised by Democrats, there's still a good few Republicans who outraised their Democratic opponents. Some notable ones I've noticed are Dino Rossi, Carlos Curbelo, Brian Fitzpatrick, Peter Roskam, Troy Balderson, Mia Love, Greg Gianforte, Rodney Davis, Dan Donovan (scratch that, looks like he got outraised too), French Hill, Fred Upton, Brian Mast, Lee Zeldin, and David Joyce. They're still outnumbered by their outraised compatriots, however.

I think Gianforte was outraised too.

[Ebsy]

With WA-08 we are now up to 72 GOP held seats where Democrats outraised Republicans. I have not seen a single Democratic held seat where the opposite is true.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

My count is now at 62 GOP held seats where Democrats raised more last quarter.

Do you happen to have a running list?

I do!

AZ-02
CA-01
CA-04
CA-10
CA-21
CA-25
CA-39
CA-45
CA-48
CA-49
CA-50
CO-03
CO-06
FL-06
FL-15
FL-16
FL-27
GA-07
GA-06
IA-01
IA-03
IL-12
IL-14
IN-09
KS-02
KS-03
KY-06
ME-02
MI-07
MI-08
MI-11
MN-02
MN-03
MO-02
NC-02
NC-09
NC-13
ND-AL
NE-02
NJ-02
NJ-03
NJ-07
NJ-11
NM-02
NY-02
NY-19
NY-22
NY-24
OH-01
OH-07
PA-05
PA-06
PA-07
PA-10
PA-17
SC-01
SC-05
TX-07
TX-21
TX-22
TX-23
TX-25
TX-31
TX-32
VA-02
VA-05
VA-07
VA-10
WA-05
WA-08
WI-01
WI-06
WV-03
Total: 73

There very well could be some errors and I know I have probably missed some.

Edit: Noticed WI-01 and IA-01 missing. Now at 64.
Edit2: VA-05. 65.
Edit3: MI-07, OH-07, FL-06, IN-09, FL-15. 70.
Edit4: SC-05. 71.
Edit5: WA-08. 72.
Edit6: TX-25. 73.

Scott Perry is not prepared for a credible, well-financed opponent. This race should not be anything more than Lean R, and maybe even Tossup.

[Gass3268]

This could easily go in the 2020 board as well, but technically it fits better here, Elizabeth Warren received donations from over one million individuals in Q2:

[Ebsy]

Now up to 84 seats where the GOP was outraised in Q2 (Was 60 in Q1).

[new_patomic]

In IL-13 Betsy Dirksen Londrigan (D) outraised Rodney Davis $563K to $509K. Davis has $1.59M Cash on Hand to Longrigan's $659K.

[Ebsy]

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1018901095366713346

The lack of Missouri is pretty surprising, but it could be that McCaskill has enough money.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1018901095366713346

The lack of Missouri is pretty surprising, but it could be that McCaskill has enough money.

No FL or TN either.

[Gass3268]

RIP Virginia Republican Party

https://twitter.com/andrewcainrtd/status/1018978940751351810?s=21

[IceSpear]

RIP Virginia Republican Party

https://twitter.com/andrewcainrtd/status/1018978940751351810?s=21

LMAO

Only lean D in 2020 though imo.