2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2

[KingSweden]

WV is not a tossup

They had it fine at Lean D

[District101]

He also moved NC-09 to Toss Up. So it all evens out.

Just came here to post something like this. Manchin doesn't get his toxic dream opponent, but as a consolation prize, Democrats get a Republican-held open seat race in North Carolina, in a district that was probably only truly winnable as an open seat.

Morrisey isn’t that good of a candidate himself, he was regarded as the weaker of him and Jenkins. He just isn’t Blankenship-level bad.

[smoltchanov]

So - Democrats must win all 7 tossup races for a majority? Not an easy task...

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

So - Democrats must win all 7 tossup races for a majority? Not an easy task...

They should try again 2020. It ain't happening.

[Devout Centrist]

So - Democrats must win all 7 tossup races for a majority? Not an easy task...

They should try again 2020. It ain't happening.

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/itw2010052701/

[smoltchanov]

How are NV, AZ and ND Toss-ups? Democrats are clearly favored in all three states, and it’s not particularly close either.

Even if that's true - Democrats must hold ALL of MT, WV, IN and MO. Slightly easier task, but - only slightly..

[Gustaf]

So - Democrats must win all 7 tossup races for a majority? Not an easy task...

They should try again 2020. It ain't happening.

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/itw2010052701/

This is a funny quote:

"Republicans would have every reason to boast about a 32-seat gain. But it may appear diminished if GOP leaders continue to project that the party will pick up 60, 70, even 100 seats or more, as some Republicans have done in the past couple of months. Barring a massive GOP wave, these predictions appear to be unrealistic daydreams."

[Oryxslayer]

How are NV, AZ and ND Toss-ups? Democrats are clearly favored in all three states, and it’s not particularly close either.

They don't like pushing incumbents out the window before the primary. I suspect Arizona will be lean dem post-primary, considering how we suspect the vote will be split.

[LimoLiberal]

Big boost for Republicans -->

https://twitter.com/politico/status/994584961679228934

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Big boost for Republicans -->

https://twitter.com/politico/status/994584961679228934

30 million dollars is not that much in the context of an entire midterms worth of elections.

Republicans spent over a third of that in the PA-18 special election alone, and still lost.

[Hindsight was 2020]

R's finally got someone to run against Paul Davis as Former state House Speaker Doug Mays is entering the race

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Big boost for Republicans -->

https://twitter.com/politico/status/994584961679228934

Lol the Republicans spent half of that amount on PA18 and AZ08

[BundouYMB]

LOL! What are they going to do? Hire more consultants?

The Republican establishment spent $150 million on Please Clap so he could finish 7th in Iowa or whatever. I'm quaking in my boots.

[Young Conservative]

LOL! What are they going to do? Hire more consultants?

The Republican establishment spent $150 million on Please Clap so he could finish 7th in Iowa or whatever. I'm quaking in my boots.

The democrats spent about a billion trying to elect a washed up, out of touch, career politician. Instead, they lost to a gaffe machine billionaire who never held elected office.

[GeorgiaModerate]

LOL! What are they going to do? Hire more consultants?

The Republican establishment spent $150 million on Please Clap so he could finish 7th in Iowa or whatever. I'm quaking in my boots.

The democrats spent about a billion trying to elect a washed up, out of touch, career politician. Instead, they lost to a gaffe machine billionaire who never held elected office.

That only supports their point: money isn't everything in politics.

[UncleSam]

LOL! What are they going to do? Hire more consultants?

The Republican establishment spent $150 million on Please Clap so he could finish 7th in Iowa or whatever. I'm quaking in my boots.

The democrats spent about a billion trying to elect a washed up, out of touch, career politician. Instead, they lost to a gaffe machine billionaire who never held elected office.

That only supports their point: money isn't everything in politics.

It may not be everything, but it sure helps

[junior chįmp]

LOL! What are they going to do? Hire more consultants?

The Republican establishment spent $150 million on Please Clap so he could finish 7th in Iowa or whatever. I'm quaking in my boots.

The democrats spent about a billion trying to elect a washed up, out of touch, career politician. Instead, they lost to a gaffe machine billionaire who never held elected office.

That only supports their point: money isn't everything in politics.

It may not be everything, but it sure helps

Money doesn't matter as much as people think in winning elections. Money can't buy charisma or authenticity

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

LOL! What are they going to do? Hire more consultants?

The Republican establishment spent $150 million on Please Clap so he could finish 7th in Iowa or whatever. I'm quaking in my boots.

The democrats spent about a billion trying to elect a washed up, out of touch, career politician. Instead, they lost to a gaffe machine billionaire who never held elected office.

That only supports their point: money isn't everything in politics.

It may not be everything, but it sure helps

Money doesn't matter as much as people think in winning elections. Money can't buy charisma or authenticity

To be fair, it does allow a candidate to get their message across. But there is huge diminishing returns after a certain point.

Jeb's $150 million loan from pa-pa didn't do much for him.

[junior chįmp]

LOL! What are they going to do? Hire more consultants?

The Republican establishment spent $150 million on Please Clap so he could finish 7th in Iowa or whatever. I'm quaking in my boots.

The democrats spent about a billion trying to elect a washed up, out of touch, career politician. Instead, they lost to a gaffe machine billionaire who never held elected office.

That only supports their point: money isn't everything in politics.

It may not be everything, but it sure helps

Money doesn't matter as much as people think in winning elections. Money can't buy charisma or authenticity

To be fair, it does allow a candidate to get their message across. But there is huge diminishing returns after a certain point.

Jeb's $150 million loan from pa-pa didn't do much for him.

Honestly, I think most candidates with gobs of money who win their elections would of won anyway. Timing and national environment almost entirely decides election outcomes. The Democratic Party was routinely outspent in the New Deal days and up until the 80s

My problem with money in politics is that it buys special favors (in other words bribery)

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

LOL! What are they going to do? Hire more consultants?

The Republican establishment spent $150 million on Please Clap so he could finish 7th in Iowa or whatever. I'm quaking in my boots.

The democrats spent about a billion trying to elect a washed up, out of touch, career politician. Instead, they lost to a gaffe machine billionaire who never held elected office.

That only supports their point: money isn't everything in politics.

It may not be everything, but it sure helps

Money doesn't matter as much as people think in winning elections. Money can't buy charisma or authenticity

To be fair, it does allow a candidate to get their message across. But there is huge diminishing returns after a certain point.

Jeb's $150 million loan from pa-pa didn't do much for him.

Honestly, I think most candidates with gobs of money who win their elections would of won anyway. Timing and national environment almost entirely decides election outcomes. The Democratic Party was routinely outspent in the New Deal days and up until the 80s

My problem with money in politics is that it buys special favors (in other words bribery)

Well yeah, but I think you should probably have at least $1 million if you want to run a congressional campaign just to get your message across. More or less money depending on how expensive the media market is.

But after you spend that much, an extra $5 million or so barely gets you anything.

[Brittain33]

LOL! What are they going to do? Hire more consultants?

The Republican establishment spent $150 million on Please Clap so he could finish 7th in Iowa or whatever. I'm quaking in my boots.

The democrats spent about a billion trying to elect a washed up, out of touch, career politician. Instead, they lost to a gaffe machine billionaire who never held elected office.

That proves their point, you know.

[Young Conservative]

LOL! What are they going to do? Hire more consultants?

The Republican establishment spent $150 million on Please Clap so he could finish 7th in Iowa or whatever. I'm quaking in my boots.

The democrats spent about a billion trying to elect a washed up, out of touch, career politician. Instead, they lost to a gaffe machine billionaire who never held elected office.

That proves their point, you know.

Their point was the GOP is bad at picking candidates, but it isn’t like Democrats are better.

[Dr. Arch]

LOL! What are they going to do? Hire more consultants?

The Republican establishment spent $150 million on Please Clap so he could finish 7th in Iowa or whatever. I'm quaking in my boots.

The democrats spent about a billion trying to elect a washed up, out of touch, career politician. Instead, they lost to a gaffe machine billionaire who never held elected office.

That proves their point, you know.

Their point was the GOP is bad at picking candidates, but it isn’t like Democrats are better.

Amazing reading comprehension skills there...

[Landslide Lyndon]

LOL! What are they going to do? Hire more consultants?

The Republican establishment spent $150 million on Please Clap so he could finish 7th in Iowa or whatever. I'm quaking in my boots.

The democrats spent about a billion trying to elect a washed up, out of touch, career politician. Instead, they lost to a gaffe machine billionaire who never held elected office.

That proves their point, you know.

Their point was the GOP is bad at picking candidates, but it isn’t like Democrats are better.

Trying to cover your ass after you've been brutally owned.

[BundouYMB]

LOL! What are they going to do? Hire more consultants?

The Republican establishment spent $150 million on Please Clap so he could finish 7th in Iowa or whatever. I'm quaking in my boots.

The democrats spent about a billion trying to elect a washed up, out of touch, career politician. Instead, they lost to a gaffe machine billionaire who never held elected office.

That proves their point, you know.

Their point was the GOP is bad at picking candidates, but it isn’t like Democrats are better.

No, the others are correct. My point was that $30 million Adelson gave is useless because the Republican establishment has proven time and again they don't spend money effectively.