Post-Obama - A Different 2012 (Rules, Sign-up, and OOC thread)

[NewYorkExpress]

Since Obama got the ALF-CIO Endorsement it basically means she would win Nevada IRL because the Nevada Caucus is known for union pressuring/suppresses  their members to voting for their candidate

That sounds more like a personal endorsement from Trumka/suggestion for AFL-CIO members...but we'll see.

Also, it probably gives Obama Michigan and Ohio too,if accurate...plus she's locked in to EMILY's list,and NARAL, by virtue of being the only pro-choice woman running (Does anyone really think either organization would endorse Haley?)

[terp40hitch]

Since Obama got the ALF-CIO Endorsement it basically means she would win Nevada IRL because the Nevada Caucus is known for union pressuring/suppresses  their members to voting for their candidate

That sounds more like a personal endorsement from Trumka/suggestion for AFL-CIO members...but we'll see.

Also, it probably gives Obama Michigan and Ohio too,if accurate...plus she's locked in to EMILY's list,and NARAL, by virtue of being the only pro-choice woman running (Does anyone really think either organization would endorse Haley?)

I don’t think either would ever endorse a Republican unless there is a democratic version of Roy Moore as the other candidate

[NewYorkExpress]

Since Obama got the ALF-CIO Endorsement it basically means she would win Nevada IRL because the Nevada Caucus is known for union pressuring/suppresses  their members to voting for their candidate

That sounds more like a personal endorsement from Trumka/suggestion for AFL-CIO members...but we'll see.

Also, it probably gives Obama Michigan and Ohio too,if accurate...plus she's locked in to EMILY's list,and NARAL, by virtue of being the only pro-choice woman running (Does anyone really think either organization would endorse Haley?)

I don’t think either would ever endorse a Republican unless there is a democratic version of Roy Moore as the other candidate

It's a sarcastic, rhetorical question. You know and I know that EMILY's List and NARAL, won't endorse Haley... but would someone who didn't know anything about politics know this?

[NewYorkExpress]

I think Beshear would lose narrowly since presidential candidates got a little more involved in the election, and by all measures, the Kentucky economy is doing bad

IRL, Beshear won by twenty. I'm sure that Galbraith's vote goes to the Republican (which may or may not still be David Williams), and whoever the Republican nominee probably picks up plenty of votes because of Kentucky's economy/Presidential support, but I don't think that would be enough to topple Beshear. It would be enough to make Bryant and Jindal's wins even more blowouts than they are.

[NewYorkExpress]

I think Beshear would lose narrowly since presidential candidates got a little more involved in the election, and by all measures, the Kentucky economy is doing bad

IRL, Beshear won by twenty. I'm sure that Galbraith's vote goes to the Republican (which may or may not still be David Williams), and whoever the Republican nominee probably picks up plenty of votes because of Kentucky's economy/Presidential support, but I don't think that would be enough to topple Beshear. It would be enough to make Bryant and Jindal's wins even more blowouts than they are.

Beshear won by 20 because of Galbraith. Even if Galbraith continued to run, the campaign stop by Huckabee would effectively end his momentum. It was a relatively close race without Galbraith (about as close as CA Senate in 2010, which went red in our timeline), so I think ultimately Beshear would lose all momentum in the last weeks of the campaign losing the election by 1-2%

There's a huge difference in an average voter's mind between a Senate race, and a Governor's race. Note that our esteemed game manager did not flip the California Governor's race.

[terp40hitch]

will you do a county map when you call a state race?

[wxtransit]

will you do a county map when you call a state race?

Likely yes.

[wxtransit]

People, calm down.

I'll decide the results of the governor's races and post them here.

[Grassroots]

How much percentage do you have to have to get an endorsement?

[_]

Sigh.

Again Jaguar4Life, read the Moderator's Notes before you make an ad that WON'T AIR.  You aren't polling high enough to make an ad!

[wxtransit]

How much percentage do you have to have to get an endorsement?

There's no requirement for an endorsement.

[wxtransit]

I would like to remind the field to read the moderator's notes.

This font size will get 10 points higher each time I have to post this.

Jaguar's ad won't be accepted, as he's not polling high enough.

[Jaguar4life]

I’m sorry.

[wxtransit]

I’m sorry.

That's alright.

[Grassroots]

How much percentage do you have to have to get an endorsement?

There's no requirement for an endorsement.

Whoops, meant ad.

[_]

How much percentage do you have to have to get an endorsement?

There's no requirement for an endorsement.

Whoops, meant ad.

It is 10-15% for 1 in the Primary, more than 15% for 2 in the primary.
5% for one in the GE, 7.5% for two in the GE

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=286531.msg6112389#msg6112389

It's in every turn post at the bottom as well.

[wxtransit]

How much percentage do you have to have to get an endorsement?

There's no requirement for an endorsement.

Whoops, meant ad.

Read the moderator's notes

[terp40hitch]

How is it good news for a Republican to embrace the occupy Wall Street Movement

[_]

How is it good news for a Republican to embrace the occupy Wall Street Movement

He's more trying to get them to stop protesting it seems, like he's telling them to go and protest at the ballot box instead of breaking the law.  Seems a bit weird but something that could have been done.  Doesn't mean he shares their views, just that he wants them to respect the law and protest elsewhere.

[wxtransit]

How is it good news for a Republican to embrace the occupy Wall Street Movement

He's not embracing it. He said there's a better way to protest, and he became a voice of reason.

[terp40hitch]

i just noticed this but why is there no polling for Maine since it is the same day as the Nevada caucus

[wxtransit]

i just noticed this but why is there no polling for Maine since it is the same day as the Nevada caucus

Because technically I shouldn't be doing Nevada Republican polling, but I'm being nice

[GoTfan]

How is it good news for a Republican to embrace the occupy Wall Street Movement

He's not embracing it. He said there's a better way to protest, and he became a voice of reason.

Regardless, your post was unfair to me in particular.

[_]

How is it good news for a Republican to embrace the occupy Wall Street Movement

He's not embracing it. He said there's a better way to protest, and he became a voice of reason.

Regardless, your post was unfair to me in particular.

Alright, First the Rule for the Randomizer.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=286530.msg6094426#msg6094426

Rule 6:  6.- Like other games, I will use a number randomizer to determine positive and negative news for the candidates. 1-5 will be positive experiences (1 being great news) and 95-100 will be negative experiences (100 being terrible news). 6-94 will be no news. Real life news will also feature as part of the game for players to exploit (or influence).

As Transit stated, he's using a number randomizer for good news or bad news for a Candidate and in this thread on the last page, he started using it.

This Post:  https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=286530.msg6112489#msg6112489

The Post itself:
Beginning this turn and for every other turn, I am beginning random number generated news for the candidates.

As a refresher from the beginning of the game:
If you roll between a 6 and a 94, you get no news.
If you roll between a 0 and a 5, you get good news.
If you roll between a 95 and a 100, you get bad news.

Here's how the candidates rolled (in order of rolling, which was by party and then alphabetical):

Biden: 72
Bredesen: 67
Feingold: 98 (bad news)
Obama: 92

Bachmann: 57
Bush: 36
Carolla: 88
DeMint: 62
Giuliani: 23
Haley: 77
Huckabee: 1 (good news)

Bloomberg: 71


So look, Feingold rolled bad news, I don't see how that's unfair since everyone else had the same chance of rolling bad news as Feingold did.  If you're talking about the Details of the event itself then you have to ask Transit.

[GoTfan]

I'm not withdrawing my complaint.