MS-SEN special: What will the runoff be?
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  MS-SEN special: What will the runoff be?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Pick one
#1
D vs. R		  
#2
D vs. D		  
#3
R vs. R		  
#4
No runoff due to majority in primary		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 45

Author Topic: MS-SEN special: What will the runoff be?  (Read 769 times)
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« on: March 05, 2018, 08:26:14 PM »
Will the runoff be (if nobody gets a majority in the primary) be? D vs. R, D vs. D, or R vs. R?
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #1 on: March 05, 2018, 09:24:17 PM »
D vs. R, 90% chance, 100% if there is only one D candidate.

If there are 2 D candidates and 7 or 8 Republicans it's plausible to be D vs. D, but that's highly unlikely.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #2 on: March 05, 2018, 10:11:46 PM »
Most likely D vs R.  Could be R vs R (something like a Reeves/McDaniel runoff), but Republicans are smart enough to not cannibalize themselves here and make it D vs D.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2018, 10:13:39 PM »
Quote from: Del Tachi on March 05, 2018, 10:11:46 PM
Most likely D vs R.  Could be R vs R (something like a Reeves/McDaniel runoff), but Republicans are smart enough to not cannibalize themselves here and make it D vs D.
Who would win a Reeves vs. McDaniel runoff? Maybe Reeves with the help of Democrats?
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #4 on: March 05, 2018, 10:25:38 PM »
Quote from: ERM64man on March 05, 2018, 10:13:39 PM
Quote from: Del Tachi on March 05, 2018, 10:11:46 PM
Most likely D vs R.  Could be R vs R (something like a Reeves/McDaniel runoff), but Republicans are smart enough to not cannibalize themselves here and make it D vs D.
Who would win a Reeves vs. McDaniel runoff? Maybe Reeves with the help of Democrats?

A runoff between McDaniel and an establishment Republican would almost certainly be won by the establishment candidate with help from Democrats.  A Espy/Presley Democratic split in the primary might be enough to generate an R vs R contest IMO
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #5 on: March 05, 2018, 10:26:18 PM »
Mississippi isn't at the level of partisanship California is to lock out the Democrats.
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Orser67
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« Reply #6 on: March 05, 2018, 10:46:06 PM »
Quote from: Del Tachi on March 05, 2018, 10:25:38 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 05, 2018, 10:13:39 PM
Quote from: Del Tachi on March 05, 2018, 10:11:46 PM
Most likely D vs R.  Could be R vs R (something like a Reeves/McDaniel runoff), but Republicans are smart enough to not cannibalize themselves here and make it D vs D.
Who would win a Reeves vs. McDaniel runoff? Maybe Reeves with the help of Democrats?

A runoff between McDaniel and an establishment Republican would almost certainly be won by the establishment candidate with help from Democrats.  A Espy/Presley Democratic split in the primary might be enough to generate an R vs R contest IMO

Not that I can speak for all MS Dems, but if I were a Democratic voter in MS I might seriously consider voting for McDaniel to win an R-vs.-R run-off in hopes of beating him in 2020.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #7 on: March 06, 2018, 02:07:47 AM »
Quote from: Orser67 on March 05, 2018, 10:46:06 PM
Quote from: Del Tachi on March 05, 2018, 10:25:38 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 05, 2018, 10:13:39 PM
Quote from: Del Tachi on March 05, 2018, 10:11:46 PM
Most likely D vs R.  Could be R vs R (something like a Reeves/McDaniel runoff), but Republicans are smart enough to not cannibalize themselves here and make it D vs D.
Who would win a Reeves vs. McDaniel runoff? Maybe Reeves with the help of Democrats?

A runoff between McDaniel and an establishment Republican would almost certainly be won by the establishment candidate with help from Democrats.  A Espy/Presley Democratic split in the primary might be enough to generate an R vs R contest IMO

Not that I can speak for all MS Dems, but if I were a Democratic voter in MS I might seriously consider voting for McDaniel to win an R-vs.-R run-off in hopes of beating him in 2020.
McDaniel would have the advantage of incumbency if he wins. He would not lose in 2020.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #8 on: March 06, 2018, 03:16:37 AM »
Most likely - D vs. R.  I expect a lot of Republican candidates (what precludes R-R runoff with even one good Democratic candidate), but still - not enough for Democrats to get D-D chance.
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