CA-49: ??? vs. ???
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  CA-49: ??? vs. ???		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who advances?
#1
Doug Applegate (D)		  
#2
Diane Harkey (R)		  
#3
Paul Kerr (D)		  
#4
Brian Maryott (R)		  
#5
Sara Jacobs (D)		  
#6
Mike Levin (D)		  
#7
Christina Prejean (D)		  
#8
Josh Schoonover (R)		  
#9
Kristin Gaspar (R)		  
#10
Mike Schmitt (R)		  
#11
David Medway (R)		  
#12
Joshua Hancock (L)		  
#13
Jordan Mills (Peace & Freedom)		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 57

Author Topic: CA-49: ??? vs. ???  (Read 10275 times)
I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #25 on: February 27, 2018, 01:01:59 PM »
Quote from: We Have A Pope on February 27, 2018, 12:42:57 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on February 26, 2018, 01:10:40 AM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on February 25, 2018, 05:56:18 PM
Why do you consider that Chavez is a sure thing for the general?
He is a very poor fundraiser and his relationship with the state party seems problematic.
Chavez has a huge lead in the polls.

Every poll at that link shows Chavez losing...
Look at the primary poll. I meant the primary, not general. Chavez +7 over Harkey in the primary.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #26 on: February 27, 2018, 01:31:37 PM »
Quote from: ERM64man on February 27, 2018, 01:01:59 PM
Quote from: We Have A Pope on February 27, 2018, 12:42:57 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on February 26, 2018, 01:10:40 AM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on February 25, 2018, 05:56:18 PM
Why do you consider that Chavez is a sure thing for the general?
He is a very poor fundraiser and his relationship with the state party seems problematic.
Chavez has a huge lead in the polls.

Every poll at that link shows Chavez losing...
Look at the primary poll. I meant the primary, not general. Chavez +7 over Harkey in the primary.

I thought you meant over the Democrats, my bad.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #27 on: February 27, 2018, 01:44:25 PM »
LOL why all the wasted votes for Applegate people?
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #28 on: March 02, 2018, 06:52:01 PM »
I found another poll. It's a Democratic internal poll. Applegate is still the Democratic frontrunner.
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King Lear
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« Reply #29 on: March 02, 2018, 07:38:52 PM »
The good news in this district is that because theirs now 8 Republicans running, compared to 5 Democrats, it looks like Applegate will have no problem making it into the Top-two, thus significantly reducing the odds of a R vs. R runoff.
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Canis
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« Reply #30 on: March 02, 2018, 08:53:55 PM »
I doubt Applegate drops out the rumors around it seem bs he's a very strong candidate I am supporting him all the way.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #31 on: March 02, 2018, 08:59:17 PM »
« Edited: March 02, 2018, 09:17:10 PM by ERM64man »
The first runoff poll with Applegate shows him possibly defeating a generic Republican.

FM3 runoff poll:
Doug Applegate (D): 41%
Generic Republican (R): 38%
Undecided: 21%
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Jeppe
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« Reply #32 on: March 02, 2018, 09:22:59 PM »
Quote from: ERM64man on March 02, 2018, 08:59:17 PM
The first runoff poll with Applegate shows him likely defeating a generic Republican.

FM3 runoff poll:
Doug Applegate (D): 41%
Generic Republican (R): 38%
Undecided: 21%

For reference, Levin was +4 against Generic Republican, and Jacobs was +3 against Generic Republican too, in the same poll.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #33 on: March 02, 2018, 09:33:06 PM »
Kerr is +2 against generic Republican. Generic Democrat is +7 against generic Republican.
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #34 on: March 02, 2018, 11:23:14 PM »
Prejean is out:

https://twitter.com/DanielleGram/status/969766746201604096
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #35 on: March 02, 2018, 11:27:51 PM »

FF. Major FF. Kerr and Jacobs next, please.
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Holmes
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« Reply #36 on: March 02, 2018, 11:35:03 PM »

So now we're Postjean.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #37 on: March 02, 2018, 11:50:48 PM »
The hypothetical poll without Jacobs and Kerr shows a possible D vs. D runoff.
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Jeppe
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« Reply #38 on: March 03, 2018, 12:03:42 AM »

Jacobs should stay. Applegate’s campaign is going to fizzle out soon, he’s running out of cash and he has no institutional support. In that case, we need a 2nd Democrat to take his place in a possible D vs D run-off.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #39 on: March 03, 2018, 12:23:12 AM »
Applegate will almost certainly make the runoff if he stays in. He has so much name recognition that he could make the runoff with very little money.
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King Lear
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« Reply #40 on: March 03, 2018, 12:48:04 AM »
I totally agree, the only Democrats that should be on the ballot are Applegate and Levin, because those are the only Democrats with enough resources to win.
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Jeppe
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« Reply #41 on: March 03, 2018, 01:27:58 AM »
Quote from: King Lear on March 03, 2018, 12:48:04 AM
I totally agree, the only Democrats that should be on the ballot are Applegate and Levin, because those are the only Democrats with enough resources to win.

Jacobs has over a million dollars. Applegate’s been struggling financially.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #42 on: March 03, 2018, 01:34:26 AM »
The only poll that shows a possible D vs. D runoff is a hypothetical without Jacobs in the race. Applegate already has the most name recognition.
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Doimper
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« Reply #43 on: March 03, 2018, 01:25:51 PM »
Prejean has dropped out.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #44 on: March 03, 2018, 01:44:43 PM »
D vs. D runoff?

Candidates:
(R)
Rocky Chávez
Kristin Gaspar
Diane Harkey
Brian Maryott
David Medway
Craig Arthur Nordal
Mike Schmitt
Josh Schoonover
(D)
Doug Applegate
Sara Jacobs
Paul Kerr
Mike Levin
(L)
Joshua Hancock
(Peace & Freedom)
Jordan Mills
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #45 on: March 04, 2018, 04:31:20 PM »
Can Jacobs pull this one out? I certainly hope so!
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #46 on: March 04, 2018, 04:39:13 PM »
Quote from: Michael Bloomberg on March 04, 2018, 04:31:20 PM
Can Jacobs pull this one out? I certainly hope so!
Polls say probably not.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #47 on: March 05, 2018, 11:54:58 AM »
Craig Arthur Nordal is the worst of the Republicans.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #48 on: March 05, 2018, 07:57:36 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveCanadian on February 27, 2018, 01:44:25 PM
LOL why all the wasted votes for Applegate people?
I would've thought you'd like him. He's the only real shot j dems have at gains tbh.
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But Muh Username!!!
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« Reply #49 on: March 09, 2018, 02:19:35 AM »
Since Applegate isn't gonna drop out, I still think he makes it against...Chavez?
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