European Parliament Election: May 23-26, 2019

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If En Marche forms another group, they would certainly need to co-operate with ALDE, which would be harder than En Marche being in ALDE (because the En Marche group would draw members from ALDE), so En Marche's political agenda for the EU (which has a lot in common with the ALDE agenda) would be implemented more if En Marche joins ALDE than if En Marche forms its own group. Also with En Marche ALDE has a small chance of overtaking the Socialists to be the second largest group in the European Parliament.

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and what is Syriza going to do if they're left out (apply for membership of S&D, Green-EFA or even a Eurosceptic parliamentary group like EFDD?).

Probably move to S&D. Tsipras and his party colleagues are regular guests on the S&D/PES meetings. Although I don't know if Pasok could veto Syriza.
euractiv.com/section/elections/news/sd-pasok-is-completely-isolated-in-our-group/
in.gr/2018/07/04/english-edition/tsipras-attempts-build-bridges-toward-social-democracy/
euractiv.com/section/future-eu/news/pes-president-unlike-epp-socialists-do-not-impose-decisions-on-member-parties/

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ALDE 65.33%
ECR 58.67%
EPP 57.33%
ENF 49.28%
S&D 46.67%
EFDD 44.00%
Greens/EFA 42.67%
GUE-NGL 33.33%

Top 10 national parties

Centerpartiet
Sweden
ALDE/ADLE
73.61%

Det Konservative Folkeparti
Denmark
EPP
71.21%

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
Netherlands
ALDE/ADLE
70.67%

Venstre, Danmarks Liberale Parti
Denmark
ALDE/ADLE
70.18%

Det Radikale Venstre
Denmark
ALDE/ADLE
68.06%

Liberalerna
Sweden
ALDE/ADLE
66.67%

Svenska folkpartiet
Finland
ALDE/ADLE
66.67%

Christen Democratisch Appèl
Netherlands
EPP
65.33%

Liberal Democrats
United Kingdom
ALDE/ADLE
65.28%

Partij voor de Dieren
Netherlands
GUE-NGL
65.28%


Top 10 politicians:

Johannes Cornelis Van Baalen
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
ALDE/ADLE
Netherlands
74.24%

Fredrick Federley
Centerpartiet
ALDE/ADLE
Sweden
73.61%

David Campbell Bannerman
Conservative Party
ECR
United Kingdom
71.67%

Bendt Bendtsen
Det Konservative Folkeparti
EPP
Denmark
71.21%

Jan Huitema
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
ALDE/ADLE
Netherlands
70.67%

Guy Verhofstadt
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
ALDE/ADLE
Belgium
68.12%

Morten Helveg Petersen
Det Radikale Venstre
ALDE/ADLE
Denmark
68.06%

Esther De Lange
Christen Democratisch Appèl
EPP
Netherlands
66.67%

Teresa Jiménez-Becerril Barrio
Partido Popular
EPP
Spain
66.67%

Geoffrey Van Orden
Conservative Party
ECR
United Kingdom
66.67%

I must be secretly Dutch or Scandinavian or something 😂

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BTW Question 5 "Should asylum seekers be redistributed across EU countries on the basis of a quota system?" is a little problematic. I'm against a quota system because I want open borders and I'm for refugee settlement, not because I'm against refugee settlement. So I answered neutral on that question.

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😍
https://www.politico.eu/article/emmanuel-macron-mark-rutte-liberal-dream-team-upend-european-politics/
Although I'll be a bit disappointed if they decide to remove "liberal" from the group's name

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Fidesz supports Weber.

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I guess a next Slovenian personality-based centrist party would be rejected by ALDE, because this is too much

These parties are/were the Slovenian ALDE members:
- Liberal Democracy of Slovenia (reduced to obscurity after death of their leader Janez Drnovšek)
- Gregor Virant Civic List
- Alenka Bratušek Party
- Modern Centre Party (originally Miro Cerar Party)

Positive Slovenia - Zoran Janković List also considered to join ALDE, but they eventually gave up

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So a M5S led new group would include M5S, Živi Zid (Croatia), Kukiz (Poland), maybe KPV LV (Latvia)... I can't really think of any other significant party that would join such a group.

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2 Spitzenkandidaten for the Party of European Left - Violeta Tomić, an MP from Slovenia's "Left" (Levica) party and Nico Cué, the former secretary general of the Metalworkers' Union of Belgium.

https://www.total-slovenia-news.com/politics/2933-tomic-nominated-as-spitzenkandidaten-for-european-left-in-eu-elections

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Croatian HSS party is considering to leave the EPP due to an irredentist remark of Antonio Tajani (president of the European Parliament from Forza Italia, also EPP), claiming Istra and Dalmacija as a part of Italy. Although HSS is running as a part of "Amsterdam Coalition" (formed after an ALDE Congress in Amsterdam, with HSS joining later) consisting of mostly ALDE parties so this is probably an excuse for HSS to leave the EPP and join ALDE.

https://mobile.twitter.com/KBeljak/status/1094978477692989441

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Today SLD decided in voting overwhelmingly that they will participate in the EP elections in coalition with PO. There are also gossips that Greens will join (although I still somehow doubt that). So we might end up with EPP/S&D/ALDE/G-EFA coalition in Poland. Peak establishmetism.

Kinda like "Alliance for Serbia" where the centre-left Democratic Party (the party that led the government up to 2012., S&D member) and most of its splinters joined forces with Dveri (a right-wing socially conservative party known for its anti-LGBT views) and 2 or 3 similar minor right-wing movements in the name of "opposing Vučić and SNS" (EPP, but closer to Orban than to Merkel). Though there are probably less ideological differences inside the proposed Polish alliance than inside the Serbian alliance.

AFAIK there are also proposals of a joint list of 2 Hungarian parties for the EP election - LMP (green) and Jobbik (right-wing populist). So maybe the same virus is infecting the opposition parties in all coutries with "Orbanist" governments...

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2%? I think this is rather pessimistic, as the Spanish "Vox" party was too a marginal party until the Andalusian election. Unfortunately most estimates of the results of populist parties are pessimistic.

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Do the non-EU parties have the right to vote on this? Because parties such as SNS (Serbia) and VMRO-DPMNE (North Macedonia) are pro-Fidesz

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The Greek "New Democracy" party also supports expulsion of Fidesz from EPP.

https://twitter.com/kmitsotakis/status/1101543005016739840

In my opinion somewhat surprising of them, because just a few days earlier they met with Russian government officials and representatives of United Russia, which is even more authoritarian than Fidesz.

https://twitter.com/kmitsotakis/status/1101139940354732033

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Number of EPP Political Assembly delegates by party:
https://g8fip1kplyr33r3krz5b97d1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/COMPOSITION-PA-update-14-FEB-2019.pdf

Source: Politico
https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/brussels-playbook/politico-brussel-playbook-operation-saving-manfred-money-talks-in-the-year-of-the-yellow-jackets-happy-international-womens-day/

EPP Political Assembly will vote on expulsion of Fidesz from EPP.

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ECR, the group that includes one of Fidesz's biggest allies in Europe (Polish PiS) also wants Fidesz.

BTW I think that there is a path towards Fidesz being expelled from the EPP, even without CDU/CSU.

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AFAIK AFD (Germany) from ECR, Smer (Slovakia) were briefly suspended from S&D after forming a coalition with a far-right party, and CDS (Portugal) from EPP. I'm sure there are more examples.

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Surprisingly large majority for temporary suspension of Fidesz from the EPP - and why so few votes against? The EPP Political Assembly has 264 voting members according to Politico.

https://twitter.com/JosephDaul/status/1108421967756042240

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(... but for her to be elected to the EU parliament, NEOS would need some 20-25% of the vote, which is of course impossible).

Or enough preference votes?

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I'm surprised that the commies score higher than OVP or SPO

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Why do wedding rings appear when I Google "Alliance Jaune"?

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D66, CU-SGP 67%
PvdA, GL, Volt 57%
PvdD, 50+, Denk 50%
CDA 47%
SP, DG 40%
VVD, vdR-Pirate 37%
JL 33%
FvD 23%
PVV 20%

Surprised to see CU-SGP so high and VVD so low.

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My Danish test result: All my top 5 candidates are from ALDE - 4 from Radikale Venstre and 1 from Venstre. I disagree the most with the Red-Green (GUE-NGL) candidate Jakob Nerup.

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The test isn't very good.
BTW can we move all posts about political compasses and test to a separate thread?

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Lol they used the German CDU logo
The Portuguese commies don't seem to be very socially progressive?