European Parliament Election: May 23-26, 2019

[SPQR]

PD also ahead of M5S in EP poll. Lega at 28 seats, which I guess on current polls is not fully enough to beat CDU/CSU as the biggest delegation. Fratelli D'Italia only of the minor parties to cross the threshold.

Lega 33.0% 28 seats
PD 21.2% 18 seats
M5S 21.1% 18 seats
FI 9.7% 8 seats
FdI 4.1% 4 seats
Lista sinistra 3.0%
+E 2.7%
Onda Verde e Civica 1.8%


http://sondaggibidimedia.com/sondaggio-bidimedia-elezioni-europee-24-3/

Now the Greens have lost the support of Italia in Comune (civic, founded by ex-M5S Pizzarotti who is the mayor of Parma), which will join +Europa instead.
As for the "Lista di sinistra", there is no such thing as of now, it's not clear how the leftist parties will join. A (small) part might end up in the same list as PD.

[SPQR]

Lega got more than the latest polls from 2 weeks ago, and about as much as the polls from a couple months ago.
M5S fell below what was considered as Di Maio's "survival threshold". They are in lots of trouble, they also suffered from the low turnout in the South.
PD are now the second party so it's a victory, still lots of work to do in the Southern regions. Also, the result in Umbria is horrible (half the votes of Lega in a former leftwing stronghold).
Fratelli d'Italia also appear to have a very strong result, they managed to survive and thrive regardless of Lega's great growth.
La Sinistra below Europa Verde is just LOL.

[SPQR]

Lega got more than the latest polls from 2 weeks ago, and about as much as the polls from a couple months ago.
M5S fell below what was considered as Di Maio's "survival threshold". They are in lots of trouble, they also suffered from the low turnout in the South.
PD are now the second party so it's a victory, still lots of work to do in the Southern regions. Also, the result in Umbria is horrible (half the votes of Lega in a former leftwing stronghold).
Fratelli d'Italia also appear to have a very strong result, they managed to survive and thrive regardless of Lega's great growth.
La Sinistra below Europa Verde is just LOL.

There is like 20% of the vote counted, you think it won't change?. I honestly don't see PD winning Lazio but losing Toscana and Emilia Romagna either.

PD wins Lazio because the center-right vote is more splitted across Lega, FI and FDI, with the latter getting more votes than in Toscana and Emilia-Romagna.

Anyway the projections for the national result should be fairly reliable at this point.