When did you feel Hillary Clinton was in Danger of losing

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Going back through my posts, it looks like 2006 was when.



Even though the map/opponent/year were wrong I got the election night EV total right.

That's a really impressive coincidence.

Dick Morris might have been insane enough to make a map like that for the 2016 election.

The quaint old days when we were all deluded into thinking Hillary Clinton was still popular in Arkansas.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

I think here's another takeaway: in ANY modern Presidential election, if your candidate - in either party - is struggling in both OH and FL, your candidate is "in danger of losing."

FL went from likely Clinton to likely Trump in a split second.  OH, a few minutes later, went from tossup to likely Trump.  If you don't at that point think she's in trouble, you're deluding yourself.  She could have pulled it together with a sweep of PA, MI, and WI, but that was already a 50/50 proposition.

Fast forward to 2020: if FL and OH are looking like tossups or tilting towards Trump at any point, prepare yourself for four more years of the Tweeter in Chief.  A Democrat could win without them, but they have always been fantastic indicators of the mood of the country.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

I already wrote in a similar thread I started:

This is when Anderson Cooper explained the Pennsylvania map after 90% of the votes have been counted in that state. Some minutes later he showed us the current Wisconsin map.
That's when I began to accept the thruth... 😰

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

I already wrote in a similar thread I started:

This is when Anderson Cooper explained the Pennsylvania map after 90% of the votes have been counted in that state. Some minutes later he showed us the current Wisconsin map.
That's when I began to accept the thruth... 😰

That was when the hard truth started to set in, but a few hours before: The EXACT moment when history changed.   Clinton had comfortable leads in NC and OH, and it looked like she was on her way to winning FL, too. Suddenly it all came crashing down.

[Chaddyr23]

When she picked sleepy Tim Kaine which got no one lit.

[Rules for me, but not for thee]

When she stole the nomination from Bernie.

[IceSpear]

When she stole the nomination from Bernie.

So never?

[NewYorkExpress]

When she stole the nomination from Bernie.

Hillary won the nomination fair and square, it's just that she was the worst possible choice...not that the country was going to elect an out socialist either.

[UWS]

Honestly, the first time I realized that Hillary Clinton could lose the 2016 election was after the Benghazi attack in 2012, under her watch as Secretary of State. But my persuasion of a Clinton loss increased after the 2014 midterms.

[morgankingsley]

My first moment I certainly thought I over looked it now that I look back was when fivethietyeight said trump had a 81 percent chance of winning a Obama state, I felt like if this was true then be would be fine. I feel like that should have been a decent first clue, or when it said he had a 29 percent chance of winning. That's over a quarter. That's enough to where you have to acknowledge there is at least a chance it could happen

[BaldEagle1991]

When she lost Florida and then trailing in Wisconsin.