Does Indiana have an underlying democraticate trend

[Da2017]

Obama won the State in 08. He lost Missouri by about 4000 votes,eventhough he was Illinois.Indiana swung hard right this last,in part because of Pence. Maybe the victory was a fluke.

[MT Treasurer]

I wouldn’t say so. The Indianapolis area (Hamilton and Marion County in particular) is the only part of the state trending Democratic. I’d say it’s fairly elastic overall.

[RINO Tom]

I wouldn’t say so. The Indianapolis area (Hamilton and Marion County in particular) is the only part of the state trending Democratic. I’d say it’s fairly elastic overall.

And it still voted overwhelmingly for Trump.

[MT Treasurer]

I wouldn’t say so. The Indianapolis area (Hamilton and Marion County in particular) is the only part of the state trending Democratic. I’d say it’s fairly elastic overall.

And it still voted overwhelmingly for Trump.

So...? These statements aren’t mutually exclusive. The area swung and trended fairly strongly Democratic in the gubernatorial and Senate race as well, and this trend will almost certainly continue this year when Donnelly is on the ballot.

[RINO Tom]

I wouldn’t say so. The Indianapolis area (Hamilton and Marion County in particular) is the only part of the state trending Democratic. I’d say it’s fairly elastic overall.

And it still voted overwhelmingly for Trump.

So...? These statements aren’t mutually exclusive. The area swung and trended fairly strongly Democratic in the gubernatorial and Senate race as well, and this trend will almost certainly continue this year when Donnelly is on the ballot.

Yes, yes, I know you are QUITE in favor of this projection, haha.  Anyway, to answer your "so...?" comment, I was saying that Indiana is not likely to trend Democratic at all, as even the most "Democratic trending areas of the state" are never going to have trends anywhere close to those of NOVA or somewhere like that and they are still reliably Republican.  There aren't enough Democratic votes in Indiana, period.

[MT Treasurer]

Yes, yes, I know you are QUITE in favor of this projection, haha.  Anyway, to answer your "so...?" comment, I was saying that Indiana is not likely to trend Democratic at all, as even the most "Democratic trending areas of the state" are never going to have trends anywhere close to those of NOVA or somewhere like that and they are still reliably Republican.  There aren't enough Democratic votes in Indiana, period.

This isn’t about what I want to happen, it’s just that all the evidence so far points to these trends continuing over the next years. You’re right in noting that the Indianapolis suburbs or the WOW counties are still fairly Republican and definitely more likely to trend back to the GOP than places like GA-06 or NoVA, which also happen to have more and more unfavorable demographics for Republicans.

Indiana is a nice state, btw!

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

What is a democraticate trend?

[TML]

In the foreseeable future I think IN will only be within reach for the Democrats if they are on track to achieve a national margin similar to that of 1992, 1996, or 2008.

[Del Tachi]

No, its trended Republican since 2000. 

[Hoosier_Nick]

I wouldn’t say so. The Indianapolis area (Hamilton and Marion County in particular) is the only part of the state trending Democratic. I’d say it’s fairly elastic overall.

And it still voted overwhelmingly for Trump.

It also voted overwhelmingly for Bush then four years later turned around to vote for Obama.

For what it's worth, I don't think Indiana will become a blue or swing state anytime soon. But the state has enough independent voters who vote blue on the state/congressional/local level to keep it competitive for at least the near future. We've had competitive gubernatorial and senate elections basically continuously since 2010.

[here2view]

Obama won the State in 08. He lost Missouri by about 4000 votes,eventhough he was Illinois.

I can't believe Obama won in 2008, even though he was literally the state of Illinois.

[Nyssus]

I wouldn’t say so. The Indianapolis area (Hamilton and Marion County in particular) is the only part of the state trending Democratic. I’d say it’s fairly elastic overall.

[pbrower2a]

Nothing more than a tendency known as 'reversion to the mean'.

Indiana is good for some wild swings.  1964, and 2008 those swings make it much less Republican than usual. Look at 1948: Truman came close to winning it.