Kansas Megathread: Kobach and Kelly and Orman, Oh My!

[VPH]

A question: when can Orman decide to drop off, IF such though comes to his mind?

I think it is early September but I can't find the exact date. Specifically, that is when his name can be removed from the ballot. He could obviously drop out the day before the election and encourage his supporters to vote for Kelly/Svaty.

Democrats are circulating a petition removal deal. I think if Kobach wins, this might actually gain some traction, but I doubt Dems can track down *that* many voters to unsign.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

Ugh.

Can we bribe Orman with a cabinet position in the next Dem administration in exchange for dropping out?

 no.

can we promise him one and then renege?

[smoltchanov]

A question: when can Orman decide to drop off, IF such though comes to his mind?

I think it is early September but I can't find the exact date. Specifically, that is when his name can be removed from the ballot. He could obviously drop out the day before the election and encourage his supporters to vote for Kelly/Svaty.

Thanks! That's exactly what i wanted to know...

[VPH]

Anecdotally I'm hearing that turnout is quite high for a primary. Consistent with this cycle.

[Jeppe]

I’m so excited for Governor Kelly, the stars have truly aligned for her.

[Greedo punched first]

I’m so excited for Governor Kelly, the stars have truly aligned for her.

Orman might prevent it from happening.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I’m so excited for Governor Kelly, the stars have truly aligned for her.

Orman might prevent it from happening.

Laura Kelly is running on education like Kathleen Sebelius, Dems can get elected statewide in KS😁

[South Dakota Democrat]

I’m so excited for Governor Kelly, the stars have truly aligned for her.

Orman might prevent it from happening.

Yup.

[DINGO Joe]

A slim chance remaining Colyer wins the primary? Trump is not too popular in KS and Colyer is still an incumbent more likely to keep the seat in Nov.

I'm not sure what's better? Take the risk to end up with Kobach but increase Dem chances, or write the state off and give it to Colyer, who is still strong right-wing, but somehow turned into the mainstream candidate because of the alternative.

About the only way I envision Coyler winning the primary at this point is if the Barnett voters abandon him en masse and roll over to Coyler.

[VPH]

I’m so excited for Governor Kelly, the stars have truly aligned for her.

Orman might prevent it from happening.

Laura Kelly is running on education like Kathleen Sebelius, Dems can get elected statewide in KS😁

Paul Davis ran on a noun, a verb, and "education" and lost despite being an even better fundraiser and more energetic candidate than Laura Kelly. You need a lot more than just education to win in KS statewide.

[President Johnson]

I'm rooting for Colyer. KKKobach should be nowhere near the governor's chair.

I’m so excited for Governor Kelly, the stars have truly aligned for her.

Orman might prevent it from happening.

Laura Kelly is running on education like Kathleen Sebelius, Dems can get elected statewide in KS😁

Paul Davis ran on a noun, a verb, and "education" and lost despite being an even better fundraiser and more energetic candidate than Laura Kelly. You need a lot more than just education to win in KS statewide.

Has Kelly a lock on the nomination? I thought Carl Brewer was the frontrunner and the best candidate for the general?

[MT Treasurer]

I’m so excited for Governor Kelly, the stars have truly aligned for her.

Orman might prevent it from happening.

Not that Kelly.

[Jeppe]

Carl Brewer is polling second to Laura Kelly, and seems to be headed towards a third-place finish behind Svaty as well.

[Xing]

I've had KS as Toss-Up/Tilt D for a while now, since I was assuming all along that Kobach would win the primary. I really don't see how Coyler pulls this out, at this point.

I’m so excited for Governor Kelly, the stars have truly aligned for her.

Orman might prevent it from happening.

Not that Kelly.

I had a feeling you were talking about a different state

[RogueBeaver]

Jonathan Martin: GOP internals had Colyer tied last weekend. Monday tracker: Kobach +7.

[scutosaurus]

Jonathan Martin: GOP internals had Colyer tied last weekend. Monday tracker: Kobach +7.

This race always had a Kemp/Cagle dynamic to it. The Trump endorsement is going to wrap up a lot of votes for Kobach; in the end, I suspect it won't be close.

[Kingpoleon]

Carl Brewer is polling second to Laura Kelly, and seems to be headed towards a third-place finish behind Svaty as well.

If Svaty loses the primary...

[VPH]

I'm afraid Kelly's going to win, which is going to be pretty saddening for me.

[TheSaint250]

Kinda late to be asking this, but what are some differences in the platforms of Svaty and Kelly?

[Kingpoleon]

Kinda late to be asking this, but what are some differences in the platforms of Svaty and Kelly?

Svaty seems to me to be a very charismatic speaker. He really got his first coverage from a Salina high school graduation speech in 2016: “Nobody from Nowhere.”

[VPH]

Kinda late to be asking this, but what are some differences in the platforms of Svaty and Kelly?

Svaty seems to me to be a very charismatic speaker. He really got his first coverage from a Salina high school graduation speech in 2016: “Nobody from Nowhere.”

That wasn't his first coverage lol. He was pretty talked about when he defeated an incumbent Republican by a 30% margin at age 22.

[VPH]

Very early but things seem okay and according to a poll worker friend Josh is killing it in SE Kansas.

[tmthforu94]

Less than 1000 votes but Kelly is leading Svaty and all that is reporting is west of Topeka.

[VPH]

Less than 1000 votes but Kelly is leading Svaty and all that is reporting is west of Topeka.

Manhattan is where most votes are from and I expected college towns to pick Kelly.

[tmthforu94]

Governor (D)
Precincts Reporting:
7 of 3539
Candidate   Votes   
Arden Andersen   18   
Jack Bergeson   16   
Carl Brewer   84   
Laura Kelly   493   
Joshua Svaty   400   

Governor (R)
Precincts Reporting:
7 of 3539
Candidate   Votes   
Jim Barnett   222   
Jeff Colyer   1,025   
Kris Kobach   694   
Patrick "PK" Kucera   24   
Tyler Ruzich   10   
Ken Selzer   311   
Joseph Tutera Jr.   7