election cycle where counties outside of the Plains vote 90%+ Republican?
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  election cycle where counties outside of the Plains vote 90%+ Republican?
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Question: Which Presidential election cycle will it happen?
#1
2020
 
#2
2024
 
#3
2028 or beyond
 
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Author Topic: election cycle where counties outside of the Plains vote 90%+ Republican?  (Read 1028 times)
Not a Partisan Hack ( ͡~ ͜ʖ ͡°)
Not a Partisan Thug
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« on: February 03, 2018, 08:07:22 PM »
« edited: February 03, 2018, 08:26:28 PM by Not a Partisan Thug »

When do you think it will happen?


(Sorry if my title is confusing, i didn't have enough space)
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2018, 09:07:19 PM »

It'll only happen in 2020 if Democrats nominate a really sh!tty candidate, but it's likely to happen soon considering Trump got 85-89% in a large smattering of counties in the Deep South. He also got 87% in Grant County, West Virginia and 89% in Leslie County, Kentucky.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2018, 09:12:45 PM »

Blount, Winston, Cullman, and Cleburne in AL.
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Not a Partisan Hack ( ͡~ ͜ʖ ͡°)
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« Reply #3 on: February 03, 2018, 09:37:19 PM »

Blount, Winston, Cullman, and Cleburne in AL.

Blount county is only 1% away! Smiley
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #4 on: February 03, 2018, 09:59:15 PM »

It could happen in 2020, but it's unlikely since I don't think there will be a huge shift towards Trump anywhere. If it does happen, it would be in southeast Kentucky.

2024 probably.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #5 on: February 04, 2018, 01:25:08 AM »

It could happen in 2020, but it's unlikely since I don't think there will be a huge shift towards Trump anywhere. If it does happen, it would be in southeast Kentucky.

2024 probably.
If Trump wins a second term, 2024 should be a very easy Democratic victory, so I don't see why any counties outside of the Plains states would vote 90%+ Republican then.
Also why would he be more likely to hit that number in a county/counties in Southeast Kentucky?
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ERM64man
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« Reply #6 on: February 04, 2018, 02:59:04 AM »

Winston County is only 0.5% away.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: February 04, 2018, 12:08:41 PM »

I think it's possible Trump does even better in rural areas in 2020 than he did in 2016, even whilst losing re-election. So maybe Winston will go R >90% in 2020.
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Nyssus
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« Reply #8 on: February 07, 2018, 12:57:30 PM »

There were several counties in the rural South that voted over 90% Republican, and there were a few counties in West Virginia that came close. It could very well happen in 2020.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #9 on: February 09, 2018, 12:13:02 AM »

Roberts County, TX voted 95% GOP in 2016. King County voted 94% GOP.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: February 09, 2018, 04:56:42 PM »

Roberts County, TX voted 95% GOP in 2016. King County voted 94% GOP.
I believe he counts rural Texas as part of the Plains states.
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #11 on: February 09, 2018, 07:48:54 PM »

It could happen in 2020, but it's unlikely since I don't think there will be a huge shift towards Trump anywhere. If it does happen, it would be in southeast Kentucky.

2024 probably.
If Trump wins a second term, 2024 should be a very easy Democratic victory, so I don't see why any counties outside of the Plains states would vote 90%+ Republican then.
Also why would he be more likely to hit that number in a county/counties in Southeast Kentucky?
It's the most historically Republican part of Kentucky, and Trump was extremely close to 90% in some of those counties – vs. only 70% in Elliot County, and similar percentages in surrounding areas where registered Democrats still outnumber registered Republicans.
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Pennsylvania Deplorable
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« Reply #12 on: February 10, 2018, 01:37:57 PM »

The way things are going in WV and KY, I could certainly see Trump getting to 90% in some counties there, provided he come through on crucial campaign promises like the wall. I could also see 90% being reached in northern AL and maybe northwest GA and northeastern MS. Trump won two counties in AL and one in KY by margins of over 80%, so a decline from the unusually high third party vote of 2016 could easily push him over that threshold, even without a continued democrat decline.

Outside of the South/Appalachia, northeastern WY and Eastern MT have some, but maybe those are still considered plains. Southern PA and the Illinois coal region have some counties that could also go, but they're long shots.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #13 on: February 22, 2018, 02:30:15 AM »

NE WY and Eastern MT are considered Plains.
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