1948: Each close state flips
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  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  1948: Each close state flips
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Author Topic: 1948: Each close state flips  (Read 322 times)
SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
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« on: January 30, 2018, 03:55:44 PM »
« edited: January 30, 2018, 04:07:17 PM by mathstatman »


Truman/Barkley 49.55% / 286 EV
Dewey/Warren 45.07% / 207 EV
Thurmond/Wright 2.41% / 38 EV
Wallace/Taylor 2.37% / 0 EV

Presumably, since the EV count is even closer in this scenario, the Chicago Tribune prints its famous headline as IRL.

IRL one southern state Dem elector voted for Thurmond. Would more do so in this scenario?

1948 would have been the last election in which IN votes Dem while any of CA, IL, or MI (or all three) vote GOP. Any other "lasts"?

Is the Chicago/IL Dem party establishment weaker going forward, since keeping Wallace off the ballot failed to produce the desired "result" in that state?
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