NJ-11: Frelinghuysen retiring
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  NJ-11: Frelinghuysen retiring		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NJ-11: Frelinghuysen retiring  (Read 8342 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: January 29, 2018, 11:26:46 AM »
Breaking.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2018, 11:26:49 AM »
https://twitter.com/HerbNJDC/status/958012727758413825

Lean R > Tossup

Mike Sherrill is one of the best recruits of the cycle.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #2 on: January 29, 2018, 11:34:43 AM »
Probably better to retire than end your families political dynasty on a loss.
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King Lear
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« Reply #3 on: January 29, 2018, 11:35:53 AM »
I’m really perplexed why these Republicans are all retiring, considering that this is probably going to be a nuetral cycle.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #4 on: January 29, 2018, 11:36:33 AM »
Quote from: King Lear on January 29, 2018, 11:35:53 AM
I’m really perplexed why these Republicans are all retiring, considering that this is probably going to be a nuetral cycle.

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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #5 on: January 29, 2018, 11:37:52 AM »
Quote from: King Lear on January 29, 2018, 11:35:53 AM
I’m really perplexed why these Republicans are all retiring, considering that this is probably going to be a nuetral cycle.

irony is dead
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #6 on: January 29, 2018, 11:38:25 AM »
This midterm may very well set the record for GOP retirements
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Holmes
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« Reply #7 on: January 29, 2018, 11:39:46 AM »
Trump literally barely won this seat. It'll be a tough hold for Republicans. Dems should go all in 
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Ebsy
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« Reply #8 on: January 29, 2018, 11:51:09 AM »
D+1.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #9 on: January 29, 2018, 11:52:38 AM »
Why is he retiring when 2018 is going to be a gop wave? NJ loves tax reform!
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #10 on: January 29, 2018, 11:54:41 AM »
Anyone else notice how moderate congressmen are the most likely to be big cowards afraid of losing?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #11 on: January 29, 2018, 11:56:04 AM »
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Jeppe
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« Reply #12 on: January 29, 2018, 11:59:28 AM »
Hello Congresswoman Mikie Sherrill (D-NJ).
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #13 on: January 29, 2018, 12:01:24 PM »
God new Jersey is going to be a bloodbath for 2018 republicans isn't it? NJ-02 is on the fast track to being triaged with Van Drew, NJ-11 is now a tossup at worst, NJ-07 is moving towards tossup, NJ-03 is blessed with MacArthur and his Health Care fiasco, and NJ-04's Chris Smith is on the retirement watch-list due to his age and moderation. This congressional map was drawn to be a 6-6, and their is now an outside chance of it being 12-0 in 2019. A total dummymander.

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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #14 on: January 29, 2018, 12:05:23 PM »
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« Reply #15 on: January 29, 2018, 12:17:14 PM »
Morris County is still conservative-leaning.

Jay Webber or Anthony Bucco Jr. should win.

Tossup/Lean R.
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Orser67
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« Reply #16 on: January 29, 2018, 12:18:05 PM »
Lean D.

Quote from: Oryxslayer on January 29, 2018, 12:01:24 PM
God new Jersey is going to be a bloodbath for 2018 republicans isn't it? NJ-02 is on the fast track to being triaged with Van Drew, NJ-11 is now a tossup at worst, NJ-07 is moving towards tossup, NJ-03 is blessed with MacArthur and his Health Care fiasco, and NJ-04's Chris Smith is on the retirement watch-list due to his age and moderation. This congressional map was drawn to be a 6-6, and their is now an outside chance of it being 12-0 in 2019. A total dummymander.

I'd say 11-1 is a serious possibility; I really doubt Dems pick up Smith's seat even if he retires.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #17 on: January 29, 2018, 12:18:31 PM »
This is EXACTLY the kind of upscale, suburban district that's nationally trending to the Democrats and Frelinghuysen was not term limited in his post either.   There's no other way to spin this than Republican insiders being afraid of a Dem wave in 2018.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #18 on: January 29, 2018, 12:20:06 PM »

That’s a nice looking lady

Quote from: Oryxslayer on January 29, 2018, 12:01:24 PM
God new Jersey is going to be a bloodbath for 2018 republicans isn't it? NJ-02 is on the fast track to being triaged with Van Drew, NJ-11 is now a tossup at worst, NJ-07 is moving towards tossup, NJ-03 is blessed with MacArthur and his Health Care fiasco, and NJ-04's Chris Smith is on the retirement watch-list due to his age and moderation. This congressional map was drawn to be a 6-6, and their is now an outside chance of it being 12-0 in 2019. A total dummymander.



It’ll be 10-2 at the very worst.
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bronz4141
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« Reply #19 on: January 29, 2018, 12:23:25 PM »
You guys are forgetting that the Morris County GOP has a huge bench

Any Italian or Irish NJ Republican can win this seat by not nationalizing Trump
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #20 on: January 29, 2018, 12:24:52 PM »
« Edited: January 29, 2018, 12:29:16 PM by Oryxslayer »

Oh yeah, I suspect 10-2 is probably the most likely end result. But 12-0 is within the bell curve of probability, albeit an outside chance and a slim probability right now.  

Quote from: bronz4141 on January 29, 2018, 12:23:25 PM
You guys are forgetting that the Morris County GOP has a huge bench

Any Italian or Irish NJ Republican can win this seat by not nationalizing Trump

Two things. 1 - Murphy won this seat by 1%, even though he barely won Suburban Somerset, and he ran against Christie rather then Trump. 2 - I think you should check your ratings scale since you rated a opem 75-25 Clinton senate seat in New York and Westchester as a Lean R.
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Ye We Can
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« Reply #21 on: January 29, 2018, 12:25:08 PM »
Rip my boy

When does Frederick Frelinghuysen announce?
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #22 on: January 29, 2018, 12:29:15 PM »
Quote from: bronz4141 on January 29, 2018, 12:23:25 PM
You guys are forgetting that the Morris County GOP has a huge bench

Any Italian or Irish NJ Republican can win this seat by not nationalizing Trump
You're asking the impossible
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #23 on: January 29, 2018, 12:41:00 PM »
Quote from: bronz4141 on January 29, 2018, 12:23:25 PM
You guys are forgetting that the Morris County GOP has a huge bench

Any Italian or Irish NJ Republican can win this seat by not nationalizing Trump

Will you stop your disgusting identity politics?
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The Mikado
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« Reply #24 on: January 29, 2018, 12:42:21 PM »
Quote from: bronz4141 on January 29, 2018, 12:23:25 PM
You guys are forgetting that the Morris County GOP has a huge bench

Any Italian or Irish NJ Republican can win this seat by not nationalizing Trump

This isn't a thing anymore.
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