Polish Politics and Elections

[crals]

Why are the Greens running with the center-right instead of the center-left?

[crals]

But isn't Morawiecki himself just an intermediate for Kaczynski?

[crals]

Do we already have some Exit poll numbers split by age, education, gender and so on??

https://tvn24.pl/polska/wybory-parlamentarne-2023-wyniki-sondazowe-jak-glosowali-mlodzi-7392628
Some fun numbers: according to the exit polls PIS is the fifth (!) most popular party in the 18-29 year old category.

Perhaps even more surprising, Konfederacja is the 4th

[crals]

Doesn't look like Konf were really underestimated. They are only slightly above the exit poll result (and slightly below the other exit poll result).

[crals]

In the same way the Republicans have locked up 46% of the US voters, PiS has managed to harden its base to 34% of the electorate come hell or high water.

The party fragmentation makes rooting out PiS from power nearly impossible, except if:
- Konfederacija start eating into PiS margins
- Lewica leadership considers a merger with PO under a new name

Which is likelier?

34% is not enough to win a majority. PiS has been rooted out of power without either of those happening.