Polish Politics and Elections

[Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela]

I am too lazy to write about some crazy stuff but for example in my voivodship PiS candidate was the only candidate running in the mayoral elections. What is so crazy about that? She lost. Almost 70% of voters voted against her, because voting was in form for/against.

So what's the drill? Appointed commissioner?

Council gets to choose.

According to preliminary results, the composition of Swietokrzyskie Voivodeship Assembly may be 15 PiS, 11 PSL, 3 PO+.N, 1 SLD. Let the bribery commence!

[Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela]

Opole Voivodeship Assembly has finished counting: PO+.N 13 (+4), PiS 10 (+5), German Minority 5 (-2), PSL 2 (-6), SLD 0 (-1). Surprisingly nothing for Kukiz - the notable home state effect he had in 2015 seemingly did not carry over to local elections.

Vote percentages are:

PO+.N 29.5 (+4.1)
PiS 25.8 (+9.0)
German Minority 14.6 (-0.3)
PSL 10.7 (-11.2)
Kukiz 6.1 (+6.1)
SLD 5.9 (-3.6)

[Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela]

Still no official results for Silesia but it's sounding like the result will be PiS 22 (+6) PO+.N 20 (+3) SLD 2 (-1) PSL 1 (-4) Silesian Regional Party 0 (-4) PiS are one seat off a majority and should be locked out unless PSL (impossible after this campaign) or SLD ( knows at this point) decide to switch sides.

The Silesian Regionalists apparently lost almost half their vote to a splinter list. Because lol.

PiS have also declared outright victory in Malopolska.

[Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela]

Podlaskie Voivodeship Assembly official result: PiS 16 (+4) PO+.N 9 (+1) PSL 5 (-4) SLD 0 (-1)

No vote shares yet.

[Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela]

According to preliminary results, the composition of Swietokrzyskie Voivodeship Assembly may be 15 PiS, 11 PSL, 3 PO+.N, 1 SLD. Let the bribery commence!

It's now looking like PiS may have actually won 17 seats, meaning the Jarubas machine has well and truly lost.

[alomas]

There are no officials results yet but there is enough data to draw some conclusions.

1. Civic Coalition (KO) - PO + Nowoczesna (Modern Party) is a big winner in big cities. They were favoured to win the elections, but they have done so by bigger margins than 2014 and in the first terms. It is very good result considering PO and PiS were tied in the polls four years ago whereas Law and Justice leads by around 10 over KO right now. Nonetheless, PO's dominance from 2006 will continue to a large extent.

2. Both parties can be both happy and unhappy with regards to Voivodenship Assemblies. PO-PSL-others had 15 out of 16 majorities. It was in the time when PiS was less popular and they were helped by some voting patterns that might have added an extra majority or two for them. Initial results looked very promising for KO-PSL but as the results came in, their Sunday night's joy proved to be premature. Currently they are set for 9 majorities compared with 6 for Law and Justice. In the Lower Silesia the independents will decide whom to back. Łódzkie is a big coup for PiS.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

Probably final turnout data, county level. Pretty stable pattern, nothing new.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Trzaskowski got 56,67% according to the final tally, against Jaki's 28,53%

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

[bigic]

Possible coalitions in Polish voivodeships, assuming that PSL and SLD don't form coalitions with PiS. Of course, in some cases coalitions can be extended.
Lower Silesia PIS+BS, KO+BS
Kujawia-Pomerania KO+PSL
Lublin PIS
Lubusz KO+PSL+SLD, KO+PSL+BS, KO+SLD+BS
Łódź PIS
Lesser Poland PIS
Masovia KO+PSL
Opole KO+MN
Subcarpathian PIS
Podlaskie PIS
Pomerania KO
Silesia KO+PSL+SLD
Świętokrzyskie PIS
Warmian-Masurian KO+PSL
Greater Poland KO+PSL
Western Pomerania KO+PSL+SLD, KO+BS

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

Boy, oh boy. Razem declared that they are ready to start talks with SLD (!!!) before Europarliamentary and parliamentary elections.

[Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela]

Boy, oh boy. Razem declared that they are ready to start talks with SLD (!!!) before Europarliamentary and parliamentary elections.

It also turns out that the National Executive (which in practice means Zandberg, Dziemianowicz-Bak, Konieczny and Zawisza), er, didn't tell anyone they were going to say that at the press conference. That's going to be fun.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

Boy, oh boy. Razem declared that they are ready to start talks with SLD (!!!) before Europarliamentary and parliamentary elections.

It also turns out that the National Executive (which in practice means Zandberg, Dziemianowicz-Bak, Konieczny and Zawisza), er, didn't tell anyone they were going to say that at the press conference. That's going to be fun.

Ahh, democratic methods of party management

[Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela]

The second round is today, which means we get to witness exciting and uplifting contests such as:

- Krakow and Gdansk: By how much will the obviously corrupt 'independent' PO-backed mayors of these cities crush their PiS opponents? I don't really want to know, Warsaw and Lodz were depressing enough for this.
- Olsztyn: For the third time in a row, the incumbent mayor will face his predecessor, who has been convicted of rape but somehow has almost half the city convinced he's the victim of a conspiracy. Will he be narrowly rejected again, or will Olsztyn make worldwide headlines for all the wrong reasons?
- Kielce: PiS-backed indo mayor Wojciech Lubawski is in the fight of his life against the former coach of the Polish national handball team.
- Przemysl: Will this town near the Ukrainian border elect the random Kukizoid anti-vaxxer or the PiS guy who's so desperate to win he had Kaczynski give a speech at one of his rallies saying the Ukrainians would invade if he didn't win? I'm rooting for the Kukizoid just because it'll be funnier.
- Nowy Sacz: Will the local PiS branch's incredible maniacal splintering destroy them and hand the mayoralty to muh fake moderate independent (endorsed by both the local libertarian nutters and local trade unionists, because Poland), or will the random schoolteacher PiS are running for no apparent reason somehow triumph?

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

- Przemysl: Will this town near the Ukrainian border elect the random Kukizoid anti-vaxxer or the PiS guy who's so desperate to win he had Kaczynski give a speech at one of his rallies saying the Ukrainians would invade if he didn't win? I'm rooting for the Kukizoid just because it'll be funnier.

No, anti-vaxxers can't be indulged in any way.

[Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela]

And thus it ends, not with a bang but with a whimper.

Kraków:
Jacek Majchrowski (incumbent, PO+.N+SLD+PSL) 64.6%
Małgorzata Wassermann (PiS) 35.4%

Gdańsk:
Paweł Adamowicz (incumbent, PO genepool indo) 64.7%
Kacper Płażyński (PiS) 35.3%

Kielce:
Bogdan Wenta (PO genepool indo) 64%
Wojciech Lubawski (incumbent, PiS genepool indo) 36%

lol

Nothing from Olsztyn, or Szczecin for that matter (but the incumbent there is guaranteed to win so it doesn't really matter).

[Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela]

Kukiz candidate, MP Wojciech Bakun, has beaten the PiS candidate to become mayor of Przemysl by around 75-25. He is an anti-vaxxer, but more worryingly he is also obsessed with the supposed threat of Ukrainian nationalism and his council group will include two Sputnik News regular contributors and a local football hooligan.

Meanwhile, in Nowy Sacz, PiS candidate, local teacher Iwona Mularczyk, is getting demolished by fake moderate Ludomir Handzel, and in Olsztyn, rapist Czeslaw Malkowski is losing to incumbent Piotr Grzymowicz by around 60-40.

So, a mixed night.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

Post Options Post by kataak on 5 minutes ago
Very interesting article about that whole judicial system affair in Poland but for a little bit different perspective, I highly recommend to read it:

visegradplus.org/jaroslaw-kaczynski-the-last-revolutionary-of-the-third-polish-republic/?fbclid=IwAR3iSs2gQNiGxebVrzwl-J9C8aVzw3icGYlLBwUNwLT74Ff86scxRaWt-B8


Slaughter of PiS candidates in big cities but also in towns, biggest city ruled by PiS mayor will be probably ca. 50k population level or even smaller as they are loosing in places like Nowy Sącz, Biała Podlaskaor Konin (although many of the towns were expected to reject PiS candidates). PiS is strong due to party name in "big elections" like parliamentary or sejmik elections but due to lack of good candidates and years of ignoring of local government they just can't win many cities where they should win easily.

[Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela]

- Olsztyn: For the third time in a row, the incumbent mayor will face his predecessor, who has been convicted of rape but somehow has almost half the city convinced he's the victim of a conspiracy. Will he be narrowly rejected again, or will Olsztyn make worldwide headlines for all the wrong reasons?

The rapist lost 54-46 this time. Because the world is in fact a morality tale written by a heavy-handed hack, his two strongest polling districts, where he received 95% and 89% respectively, were both of the city's jails.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

I am not sure if I should write there about it but cluster around official commemorations of 100th anniversary of Poland receiving independence is now so absurd, disgusting, funny and emotionally absorbing and probably I should mention it there.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

https://www.euractiv.com/section/future-eu/news/tensions-mount-ahead-of-polands-centenary-march

[bigic]

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/world-europe-46867286
RIP
So there would be a repeat election for mayor of Gdansk or the mayor will be chosen by the city council?

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/world-europe-46867286
RIP
So there would be a repeat election for mayor of Gdansk or the mayor will be chosen by the city council?

The Prime Minister shall appoint the Acting Mayor and then have 90 days to call a special election. According to unconfirmed reports, Morawiecki will name one of Adamowicz's deputies.

If I remember correctly it depends on how much time's left before the next regular municipal election. For example when Kaczyński left to become President in late 2005, with less than a year to go, the government just named an acting mayor to fill in. But we just have the election.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Update: PiS won't run their candidate in special mayoral race.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

Should we start new thread for the Sejm elections or you will Kal change the name of that topic?