Polish Politics and Elections

[Logical]

Turnout by Voivodeship

Turnout increase by Voivodeships.


Turnout in cities 23.25% (+4.73)
Turnout in villages 21.61 (+4.05)

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

My cousin got stranded in India and wasn't able to vote. She's a bit dissapointed by that.

[Mike88]

Increase in turnout seems higher in areas where the Opposition is stronger, although both sides seem to be turning out in good numbers.

[Epaminondas]

At what time were results announced in 2019?

[Germany1994]

How turnout was at noon in the five biggest cities of Poland.

Warsaw -  2019: 20,73 %
               2023: 25,43 %


Kraków   - 2019: 19,73 %
                2023: 23,59 %
 

Wrocław  - 2019: 18,33 %
                2023: 23,67 %
 

Łódź       - 2019: 18,98 %
                2023: 23,41 %
 

Poznań   - 2019: 19,35 %
               2023:  23,00 %
   

[Germany1994]

At what time were results announced in 2019?

Polls close at 9 pm local time and then Exit polls are revealed.

[windjammer]

At what time were results announced in 2019?

Polls close at 9 pm local time and then Exit polls are revealed.

How reliable are they?

[Germany1994]

At what time were results announced in 2019?

Polls close at 9 pm local time and then Exit polls are revealed.

How reliable are they?

Don´t know.

[Mike88]

At what time were results announced in 2019?

Polls close at 9 pm local time and then Exit polls are revealed.

How reliable are they?

In the 2015 and 2019 elections, the Ipsos exit poll basically matched the final results. In the 2020 Presidential election, the exit poll was also spot on.

[Logical]

Much more reliable than Slovakian exits.

[Logical]

Turnout at 5 p.m : 57.54% (+11.6)

[Mike88]

Turnout at 5 p.m : 57.54% (+11.6)

Turnout in 2019 was 61.7%. With these kind of figures at 5pm, the final turnout will probably surpass 70%.

[Germany1994]

Any suggestions who benefits??

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

This will be the highest turnout ever.

From what I have read on Wikipedia, no election in Poland had more than 70% participation.

But it makes sense: Eastern Europe, as they get wealthier and more educated, have seen steady increases in turnout. We have seen the same in Czechia.

[Logical]

Turnout increase by Voivodeships as of 5 p.m

[Logical]

If you're wondering why Gdansk is an outlier, it's currently raining heavily along the Baltic coast.

[Keep Calm and ...]

Any suggestions who benefits??

Increase  of turnout is much higher in places where the opposition is stronger.

Turnout increase by Voivodeships as of 5 p.m

https://twitter.com/electo_mania/status/1713549844533440912

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

Did I get this right?

-> PIS will remain largest party but without a majority, but Confederacy won't join their government, even with a majority for both of them?

-> PO-Third Way-Leftica could have a majority, but are they governing together? DId all 3 agree?

[Logical]

Did I get this right?

-> PIS will remain largest party but without a majority, but Confederacy won't join their government, even with a majority for both of them?

-> PO-Third Way-Leftica could have a majority, but are they governing together? DId all 3 agree?

PO + TD + Lewica have repeatedly said that they will govern together if they win a majority.

Some parts of KON are more amenable to PIS, if PIS is close enough to a majority they could conceivably bribe a few.

[Germany1994]

If you're wondering why Gdansk is an outlier, it's currently raining heavily along the Baltic coast.

Rain has moved from Northern Virginia to Gdansk.

[Germany1994]

Any streams that aren´t geoblocked??

[CityofSinners]

Any good twitter recommendations that are in english?

[Logical]

Live links
https://stream.tvp.pl/  (state broadcaster)

https://www.polsatnews.pl/wiadomosc/2023-10-15/wybory-parlamentarne-2023-polska-wybiera-wieczor-wyborczy-w-polsat-news-ogladaj/?ref=slider

[Keep Calm and ...]

Increase  of turnout is much higher in places where the opposition is stronger.

But: (from: https://vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/17546/2023-polish-general-election?page=2)

bigger increases in the west versus the east (favouring the opposition), however, the turnout increase in cities versus rural areas now slightly favours rural areas (favouring PiS)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Massive turnout in Warsaw, low turnout in the SE rurals even though PISS offered bribes.