WV-03: Williams out

[I’m not Stu]

Steve Williams drops out. Richard Ojeda will get the nomination.

[OneJ]

Good for Ojeda. Probably is the best candidate for the district.

[YE]

YES!!!

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Ojeda cannot win in R+23 territory.

He is a strong candidate, but R+23 is just too much for him to beat.

[LimoLiberal]

Ojeda cannot win in R+23 territory.

He is a strong candidate, but R+23 is just too much for him to beat.

Manchin is going to be winning WV-03 by 10+ points...

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Ojeda cannot win in R+23 territory.

He is a strong candidate, but R+23 is just too much for him to beat.

Manchin is going to be winning WV-03 by 10+ points...

WV-03: R+23
WV-01: R+19
WV-02: R+17

and Manchin (D) will perform best in the most Republican District in the state?

[YE]

Ojeda cannot win in R+23 territory.

He is a strong candidate, but R+23 is just too much for him to beat.

In an open race in an ancestrally Democrat area with a great candidate during a likely wave with Joe Manchin likely to carry this CD at the top of the ticket, it's not far fetched to see him winning.

_{(don't tell this to IceSpear)}

[YE]

Ojeda cannot win in R+23 territory.

He is a strong candidate, but R+23 is just too much for him to beat.

Manchin is going to be winning WV-03 by 10+ points...

WV-03: R+23
WV-01: R+19
WV-02: R+17

and Manchin (D) will perform best in the most Republican District in the state?

Look at the 2016 Governor races results, where the guy with a D next to his name did the best here than the other 2 CD's IIRC. For a change, LimoLiberal is right.

[IceSpear]

Ojeda cannot win in R+23 territory.

He is a strong candidate, but R+23 is just too much for him to beat.

Manchin is going to be winning WV-03 by 10+ points...

Just like Nick Rahall was safe.

[IceSpear]

Ojeda cannot win in R+23 territory.

He is a strong candidate, but R+23 is just too much for him to beat.

Manchin is going to be winning WV-03 by 10+ points...

WV-03: R+23
WV-01: R+19
WV-02: R+17

and Manchin (D) will perform best in the most Republican District in the state?

Look at the 2016 Governor races results, where the guy with a D next to his name did the best here than the other 2 CD's IIRC. For a change, LimoLiberal is right.

Jim Justice (R) is a Republican.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Joe Manchin is probably going to win statewide, but he will likely perform better in WV-02 and WV-01 than he will in WV-03 (especially considering his likely opponent, Evan Jenkins, was from WV-03, being the Representative there).

[Canis]

Ojeda cannot win in R+23 territory.

He is a strong candidate, but R+23 is just too much for him to beat.

Manchin is going to be winning WV-03 by 10+ points...

WV-03: R+23
WV-01: R+19
WV-02: R+17

and Manchin (D) will perform best in the most Republican District in the state?

Look at the 2016 Governor races results, where the guy with a D next to his name did the best here than the other 2 CD's IIRC. For a change, LimoLiberal is right.

Jim Justice (R) is a Republican.

State Treasure John Perdue   (D) elected in 2016 by a larger margin then Justice would like to have a few words with you

[IceSpear]

Ojeda cannot win in R+23 territory.

He is a strong candidate, but R+23 is just too much for him to beat.

Manchin is going to be winning WV-03 by 10+ points...

WV-03: R+23
WV-01: R+19
WV-02: R+17

and Manchin (D) will perform best in the most Republican District in the state?

Look at the 2016 Governor races results, where the guy with a D next to his name did the best here than the other 2 CD's IIRC. For a change, LimoLiberal is right.

Jim Justice (R) is a Republican.

State Treasure John Perdue   (D) elected in 2016 by a larger margin then Justice would like to have a few words with you

Wow, I didn't even know there was a Treasurer election in 2016. And I'm stunned that it took until now for someone to use this against me, LOL. Touche!

[I’m not Stu]

Jim Justice (R) endorses Manchin.

[Cactus Jack]

Isn't the GOP bench here absolute garbage?

[I’m not Stu]

Isn't the GOP bench here absolute garbage?

State Delegates, Carol Miller, Rupert Phillips, and Marty Gearheart are in.

[Adam Griffin]

This is good news. Williams was a serious candidate and would be qualified in most jurisdictions, but his "generic Democratic"/polished style would have automatically doomed him in a district like this.

Worth noting that Ojeda won his State Senate district by the same amount as Justice did last year (58%), and his Senate district is a pretty good microcosm of WV-3 as a whole. Here are the gubernatorial numbers for WV-3:

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[TheRocketRaccoon]

Didn't Charlotte Pritt once beat Joe Manchin for the Democratic governor nomination, only to lose in the general because Manchin endorsed the Republican?

[Adam Griffin]

Didn't Charlotte Pritt once beat Joe Manchin for the Democratic governor nomination, only to lose in the general because Manchin endorsed the Republican?

1996, yeah. Honestly, her prior name rec and nomination was likely the only reason she almost cleared 6% statewide. Mountain-Green tends to do OK statewide in WV but not that well.

[Canis]

This is good news. Williams was a serious candidate and would be qualified in most jurisdictions, but his "generic Democratic"/polished style would have automatically doomed him in a district like this.

Worth noting that Ojeda won his State Senate district by the same amount as Justice did last year (58%), and his Senate district is a pretty good microcosm of WV-3 as a whole. Here are the gubernatorial numbers for WV-3:

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Where are you getting these numbers?

[McGovernForPrez]

To all the haters, Ojeda won his state senate seat in a landslide while Trump won it by 60 points. He'll have no problem winning this district. His challengers are also really weak. Remember he got 35% in the primary against Rahall as well. Ojeda is seriously such a strong fit for this district.

[Adam Griffin]

This is good news. Williams was a serious candidate and would be qualified in most jurisdictions, but his "generic Democratic"/polished style would have automatically doomed him in a district like this.

Worth noting that Ojeda won his State Senate district by the same amount as Justice did last year (58%), and his Senate district is a pretty good microcosm of WV-3 as a whole. Here are the gubernatorial numbers for WV-3:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Where are you getting these numbers?

Compiled via Atlas data. It's easy enough to do since WV mandates that counties not be split for congressional lines.

[MT Treasurer]

Joe Manchin is probably going to win statewide, but he will likely perform better in WV-02 and WV-01 than he will in WV-03 (especially considering his likely opponent, Evan Jenkins, was from WV-03, being the Representative there).

Is Jenkins really his likely opponent, though? To me, it seems as if Morrisey has a slight edge in the R primary.

[_]

Joe Manchin is probably going to win statewide, but he will likely perform better in WV-02 and WV-01 than he will in WV-03 (especially considering his likely opponent, Evan Jenkins, was from WV-03, being the Representative there).

Is Jenkins really his likely opponent, though? To me, it seems as if Morrisey has a slight edge in the R primary.

Yep, the Bannon Endorsed candidate will win.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

It will be so beautiful to see a dem in an R +23 district. When can we expect some polling?