Griff's Competitive House of America

[Adam Griffin]

Introducing the Competitive States of America: my side project for House redistricting built off of PVI. The primary goal of this redistricting was to create as much of a competitive climate as possible.

My guidelines, in order of priority, were:

• Maintaining existing/likely VRA districts
• Maximizing competitiveness in the House nationally (potentially sorry, NYGOP)
• Maximizing competitiveness within state congressional delegations, even when absolute results aren't produced (see OK)
• Maintaining whole counties wherever possible

TX may be screwed - not an expert at court-mandated Latino districts - but I think most everything else be solid in terms of VRA. I'm leaving CA the way it is IRL, partially for the same reason. I have all the PVIs saved and most are in a spreadsheet, but I need to transfer some of the later states I did into it, after which I'll upload it.

This map has 90 districts that are less than D/R+5, compared to 65 in real life; 176 that are less than +10, compared to 175. By party:

PVI	GOP	DEM
<+5	40	50
<+10	79	97

218-217

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[Adam Griffin]

STATE	GOP	DEM
AL	6	1
AK	1	0
AZ	5	4
AR	3	1
CA	14	39
CO	3	4
CT	1	4
DE	0	1
FL	14	13
GA	7	7
HI	0	2
ID	2	0
IL	8	10
IN	7	2
IA	3	1
KS	3	1
KY	5	1
LA	4	2
ME	1	1
MD	3	5
MA	1	8
MI	8	6
MN	4	4
MS	3	1
MO	6	2
MT	1	0
NE	2	1
NV	2	2
NH	1	1
NJ	4	8
NM	1	2
NY	7	20
NC	7	6
ND	1	0
OH	9	7
OK	5	0
OR	3	2
PA	9	9
RI	0	2
SC	5	2
SD	1	0
TN	7	2
TX	21	15
UT	3	1
VT	0	1
VA	5	6
WA	4	6
WV	3	0
WI	4	4
WY	1	0
TOTAL	218	217

[Kamala]

KS-02 is .... cute.

[Mike Thick]

Excellent work!

Interesting that this produces a substantial Republican gerrymander in Oregon, though.

[Adam Griffin]

KS-02 is .... cute.

It's a funny look, but I definitely wanted that 2nd strip of competitive real estate along I-35 to have a shot at producing some competitive elections under the right circumstances. Given that, the only other option as I recall was to draw 2 safe GOP districts spanning the length of the state.

Excellent work!

Interesting that this produces a substantial Republican gerrymander in Oregon, though.

FWIW, OR-3 has a PVI of R+0.16; OR-1 is R+4 and OR-2 is R+7. It's definitely possible for Dems to win 3/5 seats there.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Very Cool!!!!!!!

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

What's the PVI of that lean D NM seat?

[Adam Griffin]

What's the PVI of that lean D NM seat?

D+1 (0.87 to be precise).

[Adam Griffin]

Added the data to a spreadsheet for the districts. I still need to add FL, TX & NJ (the last of which I'll need to redo due to an error). CA & HI are the same as real life, so I've omitted adding their data as well. I didn't bother adding the at-large states yet, either.

But other than those 12 states...