PPP CA-22 (Janz internal): Nunes (R) 50, Generic D 45

[TheRocketRaccoon]

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2018/1/16/1733013/-Poll-Shows-Devin-Nunes-is-in-Danger-of-Losing-his-Seat-CA-22

lol

Obviously meant to solicit donations (why no release of Nunes-Janz polling?), but sure.

[Young Conservative]

Disappointing result for him.

Here're the facts:

The district has a CPVI of R +8.
The RealClearPolitics average for a the national congressional ballot of D +11.2.
A generic Democrat is down by 5.
The Democrat is under performing the national environment by about 8..... in an internal.

[Bidenworth2020]

Disappointing result for him.

Here're the facts:

The district has a CPVI of R +8.
The RealClearPolitics average for the national congressional ballot of D +11.2.
A generic Democrat is down by 5.
The Democrat is underperforming the national environment by about 8..... in an internal.

1. Nunes is the incumbent

2. where is his internal

[Chief Justice Keef]

Disappointing result for him.

Here're the facts:

The district has a CPVI of R +8.
The RealClearPolitics average for a the national congressional ballot of D +11.2.
A generic Democrat is down by 5.
The Democrat is under performing the national environment by about 8..... in an internal.

That's...now how it works.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Disappointing result for him.

Here're the facts:

The district has a CPVI of R +8.
The RealClearPolitics average for a the national congressional ballot of D +11.2.
A generic Democrat is down by 5.
The Democrat is under performing the national environment by about 8..... in an internal.

R+8 doesn't mean republicans have an 8% advantage. It's actually a far bigger advantage than it looks.

Nunes won his district by 34 points in 2016, Romney by 15, and Trump by 10%.

[Young Conservative]

The district is calculated by the CPVI as 8 points more Republican than the nation as a whole, it Nunes still has a 5 point lead in a massively democratic national environment. Why can’t atlas liberals accept their good results??? Must they obsessively focus on the Just argument that not every result is good for them? Their incessant refusal to accept basic facts is so tiresome. YOU ARE WINNING, that doesn’t mean you have to win every time. Calm down.

[Kamala]

The district is calculated by the CPVI as 8 points more Republican than the nation as a whole, it Nunes still has a 5 point lead in a massively democratic national environment. Why can’t atlas liberals accept their good results??? Must they obsessively focus on the Just argument that not every result is good for them? Their incessant refusal to accept basic facts is so tiresome. YOU ARE WINNING, that doesn’t mean you have to win every time. Calm down.

don't defund education, folks

[YE]

The district is calculated by the CPVI as 8 points more Republican than the nation as a whole, it Nunes still has a 5 point lead in a massively democratic national environment. Why can’t atlas liberals accept their good results??? Must they obsessively focus on the Just argument that not every result is good for them? Their incessant refusal to accept basic facts is so tiresome. YOU ARE WINNING, that doesn’t mean you have to win every time. Calm down.

R+8 means the GOP gets 58% of the vote. So this poll is in line with the wave environment, given incumbency.

[Arkansas Yankee]

The district is calculated by the CPVI as 8 points more Republican than the nation as a whole, it Nunes still has a 5 point lead in a massively democratic national environment. Why can’t atlas liberals accept their good results??? Must they obsessively focus on the Just argument that not every result is good for them? Their incessant refusal to accept basic facts is so tiresome. YOU ARE WINNING, that doesn’t mean you have to win every time. Calm down.

Yep! Sounds like some posters think there will be at least 400 Democrats in the next Congress.

Emerson has the National generic at Dem +5.  What if that were correct?  I am not saying it is.

[Arkansas Yankee]

The district is calculated by the CPVI as 8 points more Republican than the nation as a whole, it Nunes still has a 5 point lead in a massively democratic national environment. Why can’t atlas liberals accept their good results??? Must they obsessively focus on the Just argument that not every result is good for them? Their incessant refusal to accept basic facts is so tiresome. YOU ARE WINNING, that doesn’t mean you have to win every time. Calm down.

R+8 means the GOP gets 58% of the vote. So this poll is in line with the wave environment, given incumbency.

So are you implying that Janz will do as well as generic?

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

The district is calculated by the CPVI as 8 points more Republican than the nation as a whole, it Nunes still has a 5 point lead in a massively democratic national environment. Why can’t atlas liberals accept their good results??? Must they obsessively focus on the Just argument that not every result is good for them? Their incessant refusal to accept basic facts is so tiresome. YOU ARE WINNING, that doesn’t mean you have to win every time. Calm down.

R+8 means the GOP gets 58% of the vote. So this poll is in line with the wave environment, given incumbency.

58% vs 42% means a 16 point advantage, something Young Conservative can't seem to wrap his head around lol.

[Pericles]

The district is calculated by the CPVI as 8 points more Republican than the nation as a whole, it Nunes still has a 5 point lead in a massively democratic national environment. Why can’t atlas liberals accept their good results??? Must they obsessively focus on the Just argument that not every result is good for them? Their incessant refusal to accept basic facts is so tiresome. YOU ARE WINNING, that doesn’t mean you have to win every time. Calm down.

Yep! Sounds like some posters think there will be at least 400 Democrats in the next Congress.

Emerson has the National generic at Dem +5.  What if that were correct?  I am not saying it is.

Remember when your favorite pedophile Roy Moore lost despite Emerson having him up by 9 points? The moral of the story is that Emerson is a terrible pollster.

[TheSaint250]

This district is likely to be a tossup or tilt D following whenever Nunes retires or loses.