AZ-Data Orbital (GOP Primary): McSally 31, Arpaio 22, Ward 19

[TheRocketRaccoon]

http://mailchi.mp/543b03a5310e/qplstoe1xh-1198025?e=e64f1d2a6c

Undecideds at 27%.

Trump approval at 74/17 (was 71/22).

McSally leads even in Maricopa.

[Sir Mohamed]

Looks like Arpaio and Ward are splitting the Trumpist vote. That may have saved Flake. LOL

[Bismarck]

Hope these are accurate. McSally is a strong candidate.

[BudgieForce]

Ward is probably ready to slash Apriao's tires. He just turned a sure thing into third place.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

This is good news for McSally, but the poll still shows that she will go through an exhausting and competitive primary. I want to see some general election matchups.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Hope these are accurate. McSally is a strong candidate.

Yes, but her biggest disadvantage in the primary and general is her low profile in Maricopa county. Meanwhile Sinema and Arpaio are from Maricopa. Ward may be able to split the vote and Marciopa is still more Republican than the state as a whole  but McSally is walking a fine line right now.

[BudgieForce]

This is good news for McSally, but the poll still shows that she will go through an exhausting and competitive primary. I want to see some general election matchups.

I know people say McSally is the most electable, but I don't see how a candidate unpopular with the base inspires strong enough turnout to hold a competitive seat. Especially after what is going to be a hard fought primary.

[YE]

I'd be inclined to think Ward's support will eventually collapse and move to presumably Arpaio as the primary get closer, as what often happens in 3 way races (see SD-SEN in 2014).

[KingSweden]

I'd be inclined to think Ward's support will eventually collapse and move to presumably Arpaio as the primary get closer, as what often happens in 3 way races (see SD-SEN in 2014).

I think that’s quite possible

[Sir Mohamed]

I'd be inclined to think Ward's support will eventually collapse and move to presumably Arpaio as the primary get closer, as what often happens in 3 way races (see SD-SEN in 2014).

I think that’s quite possible

Well, Ward could claim that she's to more electable Trumpist. In addition to the age factor.

[Webnicz]

I’m taking this with a grain of salt. McSally doesn’t have much name rec. Also arpaio won 66% of the maricopa GOP in his primary in ‘16 which is the same group which are voting in this electorate.  Looks good for Martha, but appears her ceiling is in the 30’s while the “trumpist” are the majority of the party.

[Webnicz]

This might lead Sinema to pull a mccaskill and start attacking Martha McConnell(I’m sorry I meant McSally) from the beginning to weaken her, sounds like a good idea. Martha has nearly 3x less than her and she will have to use nearly all of it to attack in her primary.

[Young Conservative]

McSally isn't that unpopular with the base.

[Landslide Lyndon]

The primary is 8 months away and we all know that intraparty elections are incredibly volatile.
I can bet you that the final results will look probably nothing like this poll.

[Cactus Jack]

McSally is going to crush it guys!!!

Just wait until Arpaio starts cheese-grating her for being a Mitch puppet.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Good.

[Bidenworth2020]

Good.

why?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Good.

why?

I don't want Arpaio or Ward.

[Bidenworth2020]

Good.

why?

I don't want Arpaio or Ward.

you realize both would go down badly if nominated, right?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Good.

why?

I don't want Arpaio or Ward.

you realize both would go down badly if nominated, right?

Probably, but I want a level of decency restored to American politics.

[Webnicz]

Good.

why?

I don't want Arpaio or Ward.

you realize both would go down badly if nominated, right?

Probably, but I want a level of decency restored to American politics.

I would enjoy a McSally v Sinema  match up because it would be able to focus on local issues instead of nasty mudslinging(though I'm sure there would be some of that like always)

Sinema would do well with a local issues race, she spent many years in local government and understands the issues especially in the phoenix metro. McSally isn't even from AZ, she moved here to pursue her ladder climbing agenda in the federal government and doesn't know anything about local issues.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Good.

why?

I don't want Arpaio or Ward.

you realize both would go down badly if nominated, right?

Probably, but I want a level of decency restored to American politics.

I would enjoy a McSally v Sinema  match up because it would be able to focus on local issues instead of nasty mudslinging(though I'm sure there would be some of that like always)

Sinema would do well with a local issues race, she spent many years in local government and understands the issues especially in the phoenix metro. McSally isn't even from AZ, she moved here to pursue her ladder climbing agenda in the federal government and doesn't know anything about local issues.

I'd like this race as well.

[IceSpear]

The primary is 8 months away and we all know that intraparty elections are incredibly volatile.
I can bet you that the final results will look probably nothing like this poll.

That's an easy guarantee considering 28% of the vote is still unaccounted for.

[UWS]

Hope these are accurate. McSally is a strong candidate.

And I think she's the only one who can defeat Kyrsten Sinema.

[Cactus Jack]

Hope these are accurate. McSally is a strong candidate.

And I think she's the only one who can defeat Kyrsten Sinema.

Actually, McSally is even worse than Flake.