MO-PPP: McCaskill +1

[heatcharger]

Link.

McCaskill 45%
Hawley 44%

Boom!

[heatcharger]

Approvals:

Trump: 48/47
McConnell 23/54

Favorables:

McCaskill 44/44
Hawley: 29/26

Rats are jumping off the sinking ship here.

[TheSaint250]

Boom!

Because she's winning by one with 11% not choosing either?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

McCaskill will probably pull off the win in the end.

[windjammer]

It's a toss up. She was never going to get blanched.

[LimoLiberal]

I'm excited to get a steady (as in at least two a week) flow of senate polls as the year begins. We really need polls from Indiana, Montana, Wisconsin, and North Dakota where we haven't seen any.

[Gass3268]

If the polling stays close here, I feel pretty good about her chances given what we've seen with Democratic turnout. Also the age and racial breakdown is much more reflective of Missouri than the Remington Poll.

[Young Conservative]

The sponsor of this poll is a liberal organization. I would say this would adjust to +1 point Hawley lead if 538 analyzed it.

[Doimper]

Lmao, tie Hawley to McConnell and he's done.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

If you look at the actual PDF, this is clearly a push poll. They asked 8 questions before the horserace question. Enough said. https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/MissouriPollJanuary2018.pdf

[TheRocketRaccoon]

Polling has not been bad for McCaskill, and this is yet another data point on the pile.

[jamestroll]

Guys.. she literally gets 45% in every poll.

Now politicians of the party who is riding the wave at the polls tend to get a boost. So I would add 3 points to it.

So yea its a tied race. She will probably end up with about 46 to 48% but I am willing to say its a toss up.

[Holmes]

Some of y'all really doing the most to justify your "McCaskill is done" narratives huh?

[Former Kentuckian]

Some of y'all really doing the most to justify your "McCaskill is done" narratives huh?

[MT Treasurer]

“D-The Majority Institute”? Okay. McCaskill leading by 1 in a blatant push poll sponsored by a liberal organization is far from joyous news for her and her fan club like most people here seem to think. Granted, this race shouldn't even be a Tossup, but that's testament to the astounding incompetence of the national and MO Republican Party as well as the NRSC.

Also, if we're gonna unskew polls again, why is Hawley trailing by 1 even though he's leading Independents by 4? Interestingly enough, McCaskill has been stuck at 45% in the last four polls, though that may not mean much, honestly. Anyway, I'd rather Republicans don't take this race for granted, and if polls like this one help the cause, then good. Tossup/Tilt R.

[Sir Mohamed]

Not bad, though I still consider her the most endangered Dem for 2018.

LOL at McConnell's numbers.

[henster]

I think McCaskill is in more danger than Heitkamp and Manchin she has never been popular.

[KingSweden]

Tossup, as I’ve been saying all along. This is THE toughest Dem hold

[InheritTheWind]

I swear this race brings out the worst in Atlas

[100% pro-life no matter what]

On the immigration and Obamacare questions, there is a pretty significant reverse age gap in this poll.  But, it's crazy that McCaskill is barely up in a push poll.  Leans R.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Greitens has probably pushed this to about a McCaskill 1+ or 2+ at this point now, I wonder if it will stay.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

So not the most reliable poll. Also keep in mind incumbents often have an advantage in early polling so it's not exactly a great sign she is only up by 1.

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[IceSpear]

Yeah PPP is basically a junk pollster now, but Remington is a Republican leaning pollster as well. Regardless, it's pretty safe to say at this point that it is a close race.

I think as long as Trump remains a divisive figure in MO McCaskill has a decent chance of winning, even though I'd still bet on Hawley.

[Sestak]

This poll doesn't really show much, seems very skewed. McCaskill should be somewhat worried by this.


Then again, no one seems to have pointed this out: This poll is pre-Greitens scandal.

[IceSpear]

This poll doesn't really show much, seems very skewed. McCaskill should be somewhat worried by this.


Then again, no one seems to have pointed this out: This poll is pre-Greitens scandal.

Why should she be worried? That she might not be up 1 and instead be down 4 or somewhere in between? Such slim margins hardly matter 10 months before the election.

And the Greitens thing will have no impact.