CA-SurveyUSA: Feinstein 34, Kalemkarian 6, de Leon in fourth

[I’m not Stu]

New California poll. I added it to Wikipedia.

[Landslide Lyndon]

New California poll. I added it to Wikipedia.

That's one crappy poll.
Astonishing how much SurveyUSA has fallen since the glory days of 2008.

[I’m not Stu]

De Leon is in fourth, but there are many undecideds.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

6% is 2nd place? Yeah, that's not in line with other polls.

[BudgieForce]

For an A list pollster like SurveyUSA, they sure do release a lot of off polls.

[I’m not Stu]

A candidate could theoretically finish second in a jungle primary with 6% in a race with at least 30 candidates. It isn't an open seat race. This poll is the first with more than just Feinstein, de Leon, and "others." Polling California is difficult because of the large population.

[Coastal Elitist]

That's one crappy poll.
Astonishing how much SurveyUSA has fallen since the glory days of 2008.

How is it a crappy poll. It includes all the candidates that will currently be on the ballot.

[Jeppe]

Feinstein has 49% support of all decided voters, de Leon has 6%.

[I’m not Stu]

Feinstein has 49% support of all decided voters, de Leon has 6%.

No. This poll shows Tim Kalemkarian (R) in second with 6%. Patrick Little (R), Steven Schrader (R), and Caren Lancona (R) in third with 5%. De Leon is shown in fourth with 4%. 30% are undecided.

[heatcharger]

You either have to be Rochambeau or OC/Da-Jon's literate brother.

[I’m not Stu]

You either have to be Rochambeau or OC/Da-Jon's literate brother.

Read the poll. This poll shows 5 Rs and 8 Ds. 9 Ds counting Michael Eisen (I). This might indicate a split Democratic vote.

[Jeppe]

Feinstein has 49% support of all decided voters, de Leon has 6%.

No. This poll shows Tim Kalemkarian (R) in second with 6%. Patrick Little (R), Steven Schrader (R), and Caren Lancona (R) in third with 5%. De Leon is shown in fourth with 4%. 30% are undecided.

That’s why I said decided, i.e. without the undecided voters included.

[I’m not Stu]

Is a sexual harassment scandal hurting his poll numbers?

[Coastal Elitist]

Is a sexual harassment scandal hurting his poll numbers?

I think it's more due to the fact that he has poor name recognition when you include all the candidates running. Most people don't who the California State Senators are. Previous polls were just him and Feinstein and the Republicans helped prop up his poll numbers in a head to head matchup. More polls with the full field of candidates will be needed in the future.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

It's definitely better to include all the candidates then to put everyone aside from DeLeon/Feinstein into an "other" basket. But still, I highly doubt DeLeon has only 4% support.

[Jeppe]

It's definitely better to include all the candidates then to put everyone aside from DeLeon/Feinstein into an "other" basket. But still, I highly doubt DeLeon has only 4% support.

And neither is Feinstein at 34%. Once the undecideds are removed, you get more realistic figures. Feinstein at 49% and De Leon at 6%.

[henster]

I think D vs. D Senate race is a tossup right now and D vs. D Gov is Lean. Someone like Steyer or some group should really commit to spending for de Leon.

[I’m not Stu]

It's definitely better to include all the candidates then to put everyone aside from DeLeon/Feinstein into an "other" basket. But still, I highly doubt DeLeon has only 4% support.

And neither is Feinstein at 34%. Once the undecideds are removed, you get more realistic figures. Feinstein at 49% and De Leon at 6%.

Where would Kalemkarian be without the undecideds?

[Jeppe]

It's definitely better to include all the candidates then to put everyone aside from DeLeon/Feinstein into an "other" basket. But still, I highly doubt DeLeon has only 4% support.

And neither is Feinstein at 34%. Once the undecideds are removed, you get more realistic figures. Feinstein at 49% and De Leon at 6%.

Where would Kalemkarian be without the undecideds?

8.5%

One nitpick I have with the poll is that the poll is 53% male, when the electorate will likely be around 55% female. The numbers without undecideds also likely bring down Feinstein’s numbers as a lot more females than males are undecided. With this in mind, she’s probably hovering around the mid-high 50’s.

[I’m not Stu]

D vs. D races are more likely in open seat races. Many CA safe D House races are D vs. R when an incumbent doesn't retire.

[King Lear]

Though I support Feinstein, I want De León to make the runoff in order to have both the Senate and Governors races be D vs. D so Republicans can stay home and make it easier for Democrats to flip the 7 Clinton-Republican House  seats.

[smoltchanov]

Support Feinstein as well, and think that idea of primaring her is, generally, silly, but may serve it's purpose and guarantee D-D race in general.

[Former Kentuckian]

Support Feinstein as well, and think that idea of primaring her is, generally, silly, but may serve it's purpose and guarantee D-D race in general.

de Leon is apparently term-limited in his current office, so he might see this as a prepper for future runs.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

So much for de Leon being the resistance. Alison Hartson is second with AA voters.

[I’m not Stu]

So much for de Leon being the resistance. Alison Hartson is second with AA voters.

Hartson will not finish second in the primary. De Leon is the only Democrat who could face Feinstein, unless Tom Steyer gets in.