Way to early 2020 Dem primary map

[Sherrod Brown Shill]

I've been hanging on to this map for a few months and I want some of you guys to pick it apart.

Note that NJ, MT, ND, SD, and DC (AND NM!) are at >90% because I'm assuming only one candidate will be left in the race at that time.

For reference:
Sherrod Brown
Kamala Harris
Cory Booker

Not knowledgeable enough to pop. vote margins!

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Possibility. Only thing is that Kamala would probably win in this sort of matchup. But if Brown won in a way similar to this, I would give Harris New York and Nevada. New Mexico would be a lot lighter and so would Pennsylvania.

[Sherrod Brown Shill]

Possibility. Only thing is that Kamala would probably win in this sort of matchup. But if Brown won in a way similar to this, I would give Harris New York and Nevada. New Mexico would be a lot lighter and so would Pennsylvania.

I forgot to mention that I'm also assuming there will be only one candidate by the NM primary. It was one of the last states in 2016 but the schedule will probably be different. We already California will be earlier which is why I didn't include it with the other Super Tuesday IV states.

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

In my opinion, Harris would win NY, NV, and NJ (assuming Booker is gone by then), and she would probably win CT and HI.I also think SD and NM would be very narrow victories for Brown if he does end up winning them. Otherwise this is feasible (although I don’t Brown picks up this much steam).

[IceSpear]

Where's Oprah?

[Joey1996]

As someone who lived in Newark until I was 15 I can say Booker probably wouldn't win NJ. His capitalist war against public schooling was hated

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

As someone who lived in Newark until I was 15 I can say Booker probably wouldn't win NJ. His capitalist war against public schooling was hated

The popular incumbent senator will totally lose his home state.

[Mr. Morden]

As someone who lived in Newark until I was 15 I can say Booker probably wouldn't win NJ. His capitalist war against public schooling was hated

The popular incumbent senator will totally lose his home state.

It's very possible that he won't win it, simply because New Jersey votes last, and Booker presumably won't be in the race anymore by that point, unless he's one of the final two.  Though, yeah, that's unrelated to the education issue mentioned above.

[Joey1996]

Because that didn't happen in 2016 with Rubio and has never happened in the history of primary races, right?

If he runs, Cory DeVos... I mean Booker will face teacher's unions and parents in Newark, and he'll have to explain why 10 public schools, including my elementary school, were all abandoned in favor of charter and private schools... good chance he doesn't even make it to the NJ primary election though.  

[Sherrod Brown Shill]

As someone who lived in Newark until I was 15 I can say Booker probably wouldn't win NJ. His capitalist war against public schooling was hated

The popular incumbent senator will totally lose his home state.

It's very possible that he won't win it, simply because New Jersey votes last, and Booker presumably won't be in the race anymore by that point, unless he's one of the final two.  Though, yeah, that's unrelated to the education issue mentioned above.

Yeah that's why I put it like that. In a real 3-way race, probably resulting in a contested convention, Booker would win New Jersey and maybe a few other states I gave to Harris, Harris would win New Mexico, etc.

[Holmes]

Brown wins IA, NH and NV means he probably comes second in SC and Booker and Harris splitting the vote on Super Tuesday probably seals the deal for Brown.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

NY, CT, MA, NV, CO, SC, PA and MI would probably go for Harris.