PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (user search)
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  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 203390 times)
MaxQue
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« on: March 13, 2018, 07:11:14 PM »
Quote from: History505 on March 13, 2018, 07:10:32 PM
I'm not quite sure why CNN put Santorum on their panel.

He's a former Pennsylvania Senator.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2018, 07:35:55 PM »
Quote from: Sestak on March 13, 2018, 07:30:06 PM
Allegheny precinct and he's only up by that much?

Pleasant Hills is confortable Republican suburbia.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #2 on: March 13, 2018, 07:40:16 PM »
Quote from: Young Conservative on March 13, 2018, 07:38:47 PM
Early votes dump first. Makes sense Lamb would lead in these given the enthusiasm gap. Still a tossup. No clear winner or favorite.

PA special elections have no early vote, I'm pretty sure.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #3 on: March 13, 2018, 07:42:28 PM »

What's the exact meaning? They retain all results topost them at 9:30?
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MaxQue
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« Reply #4 on: March 13, 2018, 08:06:01 PM »
Quote from: AMB1996 on March 13, 2018, 08:03:35 PM
Can anyone explain why NYT is making it look like it's Saccone to lose? Everyone seems to believe it's leaning strongly to Lamb. Buzzfeed/DDHQ seems like they're about to call it for Lamb.

Their model doesn't seem to take differential turnout in account. It will be reliable once we have some Westmorland votes.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #5 on: March 13, 2018, 08:09:57 PM »
27% of Westmoreland in and it's 8144 to 6692 for Saccone. I think it's good for Lamb.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #6 on: March 13, 2018, 08:11:24 PM »
Quote from: AMB1996 on March 13, 2018, 08:10:06 PM
They must have recalibrated the needle.

Well, the needle issue was the absence of any results from Westmoreland. Issue is now solved.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #7 on: March 13, 2018, 08:12:14 PM »
Quote from: Pennsylvania Deplorable on March 13, 2018, 08:10:23 PM
Saccone is doing well in the southern tip of Allegheny. It appears that Lamb, while making substantial gains among traditionally democrat WWC voters who supported Trump, isn't getting the same swing from more educated suburban white voters.

Southern tip of Allegheny is also the area Saccone represents in the State Assembly.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #8 on: March 13, 2018, 08:50:19 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on March 13, 2018, 08:48:16 PM
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I almost hate to task this, but...what are the recount rules in PA?

0.5% margin (or 3 electors asking for a county recount).
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MaxQue
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« Reply #9 on: March 14, 2018, 04:37:13 AM »
Well, yes, totals changed, which means Washington County reported absentee.

Lamb leads by 677 votes, which is more than the number of votes left to count.
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