PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (user search)
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  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 202598 times)
junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #50 on: March 13, 2018, 08:21:46 PM »

This is exactly why I tell people to ignore models

They are useless
Logged
junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #51 on: March 13, 2018, 08:34:26 PM »


Big if true
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #52 on: March 13, 2018, 08:39:26 PM »

Monomouth polling choked like Nate's model
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #53 on: March 13, 2018, 08:42:56 PM »

Monomouth polling choked like Nate's model

Someone here mentioned a 3 point win for Lamb as a possibility, which would be in line with Monmouths polling results.

Edit: One of monmouth's turnout models had Lamb up by 2.

But that was a 2% lead in a low turnout Election

This isn't a low turnout Election I'm led to believe
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #54 on: March 13, 2018, 08:55:57 PM »

This race is exactly why I think polls and models are junk
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #55 on: March 13, 2018, 09:10:18 PM »

No offense to John Couvillion but if you have to adjust your prediction every second, its probably wasn't very good in the first place.

Lol....this guy sounds like he's basing his predictions of what we post here
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #56 on: March 13, 2018, 09:39:40 PM »



Nate cohn expects a 541 Saccone net from the remaining precincts, puts this really close for Lamb.

That guy never predicts anything right
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #57 on: March 13, 2018, 10:15:43 PM »

+1 D for impeachment/hating God
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #58 on: March 13, 2018, 10:19:29 PM »



Big if big
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #59 on: March 13, 2018, 10:36:26 PM »

Beginning to notice a pattern among winning Democratic candidates but I can't put my finger on it.




They all won because Hillary lost and this never would of happened had she of won?
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #60 on: March 13, 2018, 10:50:12 PM »

114 GOP seats that are less Republican than this one. November just might be a bloodbath of epic proportions.

Cheesy
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #61 on: March 13, 2018, 10:53:58 PM »

CNN saying trump is on track to lose 118 house seats in 2018, beating fdr's 71 seat loss in 1942.

List of the seats:

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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #62 on: March 14, 2018, 10:51:11 AM »

Imagine being this cucked:

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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #63 on: March 14, 2018, 01:42:09 PM »


"Here's a riddle, it's a killer
Who the hell is Drew Miller?"
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #64 on: March 14, 2018, 02:24:57 PM »

Crazy Drumpf

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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #65 on: March 14, 2018, 06:50:39 PM »

GOP cries voter fraud....DRINK

Rep. Steve Stivers, NRCC Chair, suggests voter fraud may have helped Conor Lamb
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #66 on: March 14, 2018, 11:41:02 PM »

As embarrassing as Suckone's loss was....he actually overpreformed!



GOP in big trouble
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
« Reply #67 on: March 20, 2018, 03:04:16 PM »



Whew, lad. 2 more buses.

Soros needs to train these bus drivers better
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