PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (user search)
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  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 204391 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #150 on: March 13, 2018, 01:17:27 PM »
Republicans are really pessimistic about tonight

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From the hill
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #151 on: March 13, 2018, 02:28:52 PM »

Heavy turnout.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #152 on: March 13, 2018, 03:29:33 PM »
I keep hearing that turnout is high all accross the district. According to Monmouth, that bodes very well for Lamb.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #153 on: March 13, 2018, 03:41:58 PM »
If I read “GA-06” or “Jon Ossoff” one more time...
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #154 on: March 13, 2018, 04:01:00 PM »
Quote from: henster on March 13, 2018, 03:58:26 PM
Would have hoped for at least 40% in Allegheny, the snow has probably shaved 1-2% off of Lamb’s vote.

Lol no
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #155 on: March 13, 2018, 04:03:30 PM »
Anyways, Westmoreland having a slightly higher turnout than Allegheny is no big deal since the latter has more voters. But Allegheny having a higher turnout would certainly be more reassuring.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #156 on: March 13, 2018, 04:04:45 PM »
More good news for Lamb-
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #157 on: March 13, 2018, 04:06:29 PM »
Bad weather only deters those who aren't very enthusiastic about their candidate. In this election, that candidate is clearly Saccone.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #158 on: March 13, 2018, 04:08:35 PM »
So with the exceeding turnout we are seeing, this election should be leaning more towards the "High Turnout" model Monmouth gave us. But, Allegheny exceeding expectations does increase the changes of the "Surge" model. IMO
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #159 on: March 13, 2018, 04:11:47 PM »
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on March 13, 2018, 04:08:54 PM
Yeah I'm getting to a point where I'll be really shocked if Lamb loses

We should still remain cautiously optimistic. Saccone could still win, but turnout exceeding expectations makes that very hard to believe. Let's also remember Monmouth has an A+ rating from 538 and they said that Conor should win by a comfortable margin if turnout is high.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #160 on: March 13, 2018, 04:12:49 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on March 13, 2018, 04:10:19 PM
I can't help but think that Lamb needs more out of Allegheny if Westmoreland is keeping pace with it, but we will see in a few hours...

Remember that Allegheny has way more voters than Westmoreland. Also, Westmoreland has a lot of Trump Democrats in it.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #161 on: March 13, 2018, 04:16:34 PM »


I fail to see how Saccone would win with turnout exceeding expectations.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #162 on: March 13, 2018, 04:19:22 PM »
Quote from: DTC on March 13, 2018, 04:18:29 PM
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on March 13, 2018, 04:16:34 PM


I fail to see how Saccone would win with turnout exceeding expectations.

Obviously it's a red wave of Republicans for Saccone

The buffoons over at PredictIt would love to believe that!
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #163 on: March 13, 2018, 04:20:03 PM »
Ok! Everyone is getting off work and school. Let's light up this thread!
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #164 on: March 13, 2018, 04:27:00 PM »
Looking good...



50% turnout in Lebanon... that is... fantastic.

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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #165 on: March 13, 2018, 04:28:57 PM »
Mt. Lebanon just exceeded 50%... that's Lamb's hometown and it's the BLUEST of them all. Imagine the turnout in the other cities and towns.
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« Reply #166 on: March 13, 2018, 04:35:35 PM »
If he is exceeding 50% in Mt. Lebanon, just imagine what turnout will be for southern Allegheny by the end of the night...
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #167 on: March 13, 2018, 04:36:21 PM »

I don't want to jump the gun, but I agree. We have seen nothing but good news for Lamb, both today and the past week. And there is no way Saccone is going to win with how high that turnout is getting.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #168 on: March 13, 2018, 04:39:24 PM »
Quote from: History505 on March 13, 2018, 04:38:51 PM
What is the biggest margin Lamb could win by if he outperforms?

I am gonna be bold and say 7. These turnout reports are FANTASTIC.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #169 on: March 13, 2018, 04:45:13 PM »
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on March 13, 2018, 04:43:42 PM
It sounds weird to put any weight into this but MAGA Twitter spearheaded by that Scott idiot Limo hates, is trying to get "cons are being turned away at the polls because of redistricting"/voter fraud conspiracy going. So eveb they seem to be bracing for a loss

I saw that. They keep sharing the exact same screenshot of a text message: "They said I couldn't vote because I've been redistricted." No name or time, and claim it's happening all over the district.


Btw, it's not just Limo that hates that guy. It's also me and a few other Atlasians. The buffoons over at PredictIt make fun of him all the time.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #170 on: March 13, 2018, 04:55:21 PM »
If I was Lamb right now, I would be feeling very confident.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #171 on: March 13, 2018, 05:01:24 PM »
Two hours left!
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« Reply #172 on: March 13, 2018, 05:24:12 PM »
Quote from: Mondale on March 13, 2018, 05:21:49 PM


I REALLY can't see Lamb losing tonight.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #173 on: March 13, 2018, 05:32:24 PM »


Likely D
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #174 on: March 13, 2018, 05:56:54 PM »
Quote from: ExtremeConservative on March 13, 2018, 05:53:55 PM
I have followed this race remarkably little because I just assumed it would be a semi-underwhelming but ultimately comfortable win for Saccone.  It's clear that it will be close, though, so I'm just hoping for the best.  Also really waiting for TN SD 14.

It’ll be close, but not a nail biter.
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