CA-GOV: Newsom vs. ???
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  CA-GOV: Newsom vs. ???
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Poll
Question: Who makes runoff?
#1
Antonio Villaraigosa (D)
 
#2
John Chiang (D)
 
#3
Delaine Eastin (D)
 
#4
Doug Ose (R)
 
#5
John Cox (R)
 
#6
Travis Allen (R)
 
#7
Other (specify candidate)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 124

Author Topic: CA-GOV: Newsom vs. ???  (Read 35839 times)
I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #150 on: February 26, 2018, 03:49:14 PM »

Allen is toast. He was accused of sexual harassment.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #151 on: February 26, 2018, 03:51:46 PM »

Allen is toast. He was accused of sexual harassment.

Link please?
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Citizen (The) Doctor
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« Reply #152 on: February 26, 2018, 03:59:50 PM »

What the hell is wrong with Newson? He supports Single-Payer healthcare, stricter Gun Control, and was one of the First people to have the guts to support Same-Sex marriage, aren't these the issues Democrats are spose to stand up for?

My drop dead issue is that Newsom has, in the past, suggested that he may be in favor of stripping the University of California system of its legislative independence. Sadly, I cannot find the article in which he stated that he was in favor of this bill, but he has meddled in the affairs of my alma mater and the system as a whole in the past enough to make me extremely uncomfortable with him becoming governor. Also, I fear that he will not be able to control our legislature (like Brown has), and while Chiang is not Jerry Brown, he has the best shot at being able to keep Sacramento under control.

A lot of the student left at UC campuses are okay with this if it meant increasing the amount of funding to the UC from whatever paltry amount it is now (I believe <10%).
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Holmes
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« Reply #153 on: February 26, 2018, 04:26:24 PM »

Ose dropped out.
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Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #154 on: February 26, 2018, 07:09:13 PM »

Good to hear.
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Canis
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« Reply #155 on: February 26, 2018, 07:59:48 PM »

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Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #156 on: February 26, 2018, 08:12:40 PM »

Here you go https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/02/05/can-travis-allens-campaign-for-governor-survive-sexual-harassment-allegations/
It doesn't seem like that big of a deal to me.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #157 on: February 26, 2018, 09:53:28 PM »

An even better strategy for the GOP is to start running exactly 2 strong candidates in every race, and hope that the Democrats run 3+. Then results like this could happen (not that I think it will in this race, mainly because Newsom is too strong):

1. Allen 17%
2. Cox 17%
3. Newsom 16%
4. Villaraigosa 16%
5. Chiang 12%
6. Eastin 10%
7. Renteria 7%
Others 5%

Just like that, nearly 2 times fewer R votes than D votes, and yet the runoff is R vs. R.
Lmao Travis Allen and John Cox are not strong candidates by any stretch of the imagination.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #158 on: February 26, 2018, 09:55:16 PM »

An even better strategy for the GOP is to start running exactly 2 strong candidates in every race, and hope that the Democrats run 3+. Then results like this could happen (not that I think it will in this race, mainly because Newsom is too strong):

1. Allen 17%
2. Cox 17%
3. Newsom 16%
4. Villaraigosa 16%
5. Chiang 12%
6. Eastin 10%
7. Renteria 7%
Others 5%

Just like that, nearly 2 times fewer R votes than D votes, and yet the runoff is R vs. R.
Lmao Travis Allen and John Cox are not strong candidates by any stretch of the imagination.
Cox is the only one who even has a remote chance of making it to November. Allen is DOA.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #159 on: March 06, 2018, 05:00:21 AM »

Gavin Newsom has filed to run for Governor.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #160 on: March 06, 2018, 12:45:54 PM »


News of the decade right there
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TexArkana
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« Reply #161 on: March 06, 2018, 01:04:58 PM »

I'm shocked. Shocked!
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Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #162 on: March 07, 2018, 07:28:25 PM »
« Edited: March 07, 2018, 07:46:08 PM by Tea Party Hater »

It has been a long time since the last poll for this race. Also 79 candidates have filed statements of intention to run for governor, which is an absurd amount. With Renteria entering the race for the Democrats and Ose withdrawing for the Republicans I don't see how two Democrats can make the runoff. There are just to many top Democrats in this race.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #163 on: March 11, 2018, 09:28:19 PM »

Michael Shellenberger, who planned on running as an independent, decided to run as a Democrat. Amanda Renteria could possibly siphon votes from Villaraigosa in the Central Valley and cause Chiang or Cox to get the second runoff spot.

Democratic candidate list (13 Democratic candidates):
Akinyemi Agbede
Michael Bracamontes
Juan Bribiesca
John Chiang
Ted Crisell
Delaine Eastin
Harmesh Kumar
Albert Mezzetti
Gavin Newsom
Amanda Renteria
Michael Shellenberger
Klement Tinaj
Antonio Villaraigosa
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #164 on: March 11, 2018, 11:47:26 PM »

Forgive my nitpicking, but do we need an update whenever another one of the 70+ candidates enters this race?
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #165 on: March 12, 2018, 12:33:23 AM »

Forgive my nitpicking, but do we need an update whenever another one of the 70+ candidates enters this race?
Only if they're Democrats because it might cause Villaraigosa to miss the runoff.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #166 on: March 14, 2018, 09:55:23 PM »

Forgive my nitpicking, but do we need an update whenever another one of the 70+ candidates enters this race?
Only if they're Democrats because it might cause Villaraigosa to miss the runoff.
Like that could happen. He's tied with Newsom now, with momentum on his side.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #167 on: March 14, 2018, 10:27:29 PM »

Forgive my nitpicking, but do we need an update whenever another one of the 70+ candidates enters this race?
Only if they're Democrats because it might cause Villaraigosa to miss the runoff.
Like that could happen. He's tied with Newsom now, with momentum on his side.

He's not tied with Newsom. Two of the three latest polls show Villaraigosa with only 11%. Chiang is tied for second in the latest poll.
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Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #168 on: March 15, 2018, 01:38:48 AM »

Forgive my nitpicking, but do we need an update whenever another one of the 70+ candidates enters this race?
Only if they're Democrats because it might cause Villaraigosa to miss the runoff.
Like that could happen. He's tied with Newsom now, with momentum on his side.

He's not tied with Newsom. Two of the three latest polls show Villaraigosa with only 11%. Chiang is tied for second in the latest poll.
Yeah I don't understand why everyone is focusing on that one poll, when two others taken at around the same time are different. It seems like they stopped polling this race due to that.
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Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #169 on: March 15, 2018, 01:43:35 AM »

There's another forum this Sunday at 10:30 AM. Interestingly Newsom is not attending, but the other five main candidates are. There is a link in the article where you can submit your own questions.

http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/politics/sd-me-governor-candidates-20180314-story.html
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Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #170 on: March 16, 2018, 12:34:52 AM »
« Edited: March 16, 2018, 01:53:25 AM by Tea Party Hater »

Amanda Renteria who just entered the race, says Gavin Newsom's past affair should disqualifiy him from being governor and that he should resign his current position. Everyone is really starting to go after Newsom.

http://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article205313919.html

Also new poll from David Binder Research has John Cox in second place:
https://www.sfchronicle.com/politics/article/In-governor-s-race-polls-Cox-makes-a-case-for-12757085.php

Newsom 26%
Cox 16%
Chiang 13%
Villariagosa 12%
Allen 10%
Eastin 7%
Renteria 4%
Undecided 12%

Also in the article it mentions that an internal poll from the Cox campaign has Newsom at 45.1% and Cox at 44.6% in a general election race.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #171 on: March 16, 2018, 01:49:24 PM »

It looks like Newsom was looking for a poll that shows him winning easily.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #172 on: March 19, 2018, 06:07:38 PM »

Why did the strongest GOP candidate leave the race?
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #173 on: March 19, 2018, 06:08:38 PM »

Because he wasn't the strongest GOP candidate?
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Sestak
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« Reply #174 on: March 19, 2018, 06:38:20 PM »

Amanda Renteria who just entered the race, says Gavin Newsom's past affair should disqualifiy him from being governor and that he should resign his current position. Everyone is really starting to go after Newsom

Lol we're back to affairs disqualifying candidates? I guess because it's a Democrat now?

Seriously. Newsom isn't in danger of losing, especially not to a Republican.
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