Predict the amount of seats the Democrats pick up.
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  Predict the amount of seats the Democrats pick up.
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Poll
Question: How many seats?
#1
+60
 
#2
+50
 
#3
+40
 
#4
+30
 
#5
+20
 
#6
+10
 
#7
+5
 
#8
Lose Seats
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 108

Author Topic: Predict the amount of seats the Democrats pick up.  (Read 2515 times)
JGibson
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« Reply #25 on: January 09, 2018, 05:15:51 PM »

I'd say 33-48 seats, enough to take the House back.

Voted 40-50.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #26 on: January 15, 2018, 05:16:58 AM »

I'm going to say +47, but I think the current range is a net gain of +40-60. If Republican retirements continue as they have and Democratic recruitment does well and we see Democrats hold high teen leads in the generic ballot in late October, I'll predict one of the most catastrophic and consequential midterms in several decades. If a scenario like that happens, I think Republicans lose at least 60-80 seats.
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Horus
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« Reply #27 on: January 15, 2018, 05:35:10 AM »

Maybe 3 or 4, but more likely they lose around 10-15. Trump's popularity is roaring back and there aren't many strong candidates running.
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NatAl
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« Reply #28 on: January 15, 2018, 08:56:18 AM »

10 and the Senate stays Republican, whites disappointed with Trump are not going to vote for a party that hates them and will not abstain
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #29 on: January 15, 2018, 09:55:06 AM »
« Edited: January 15, 2018, 10:09:46 AM by BundouYMB »

153 seats in the House, 3 seat gain in the Senate.

Edit: One-Five-Three. Can't wait to bump this in November LOL.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #30 on: January 15, 2018, 10:04:32 AM »

153 seats in the House, 3 seat gain in the Senate.

Did you mean 53?
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #31 on: January 15, 2018, 10:05:24 AM »

My gut feeling says about 33. However, I'm not saying Dems definitely take over the House. There is also some chance the GOP only loses about 15 seats (although I don't see that happening today).

153 seats in the House, 3 seat gain in the Senate.

LOL. Maybe 53, though that's even a little off.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #32 on: January 15, 2018, 12:21:49 PM »

Around 20
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Confused Democrat
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« Reply #33 on: January 15, 2018, 01:08:40 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2018, 01:12:54 PM by Confused Democrat »

They'll gain 40-50 seats. It'll be similar to the Republican gains in '94. However, I could easily see it going the way of 2010 with Democrats picking up around 60 seats.
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King Lear
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« Reply #34 on: January 15, 2018, 02:20:19 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2018, 02:22:39 PM by King Lear »

These are my Midterm predictions.
2018 House Results: R+2
2018 Senate Results: R+7
In the house, I’m predicting the Republicans to have a net gain of 2, due to Republicans flipping 10 Democratic districts (MN-01, MN-07, MN-08, NH-01, NV-03, PA-17, AZ-01, WI-03, IA-02, and IL-17), and Democrats flipping 8 Republican districts (CA-49, CA-25, CA-10, CO-06, TX-23, VA-10, FL-26, and FL-27). Meanwhile, in the senate, I’m predicting the Republicans to have a net gain of 7, due to flipping 7 Democratic Senate seats (WV, IN, MO, ND, MT, OH, and FL).
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Cactus Jack
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« Reply #35 on: January 15, 2018, 02:28:47 PM »

Maybe 3 or 4, but more likely they lose around 10-15. Trump's popularity is roaring back and there aren't many strong candidates running.

Well, that's great. Another idiot wrapped in a moron.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #36 on: January 15, 2018, 02:32:58 PM »

Maybe 3 or 4, but more likely they lose around 10-15. Trump's popularity is roaring back and there aren't many strong candidates running.

Well, that's great. Another idiot wrapped in a moron.

It will be interesting to look back on this thread in 10 months and see who was right and who was wrong. 
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #37 on: January 15, 2018, 02:34:58 PM »

I would guess in the 75-90 range. I'll say 82 to be conservative.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #38 on: January 15, 2018, 02:51:47 PM »

These are my Midterm predictions.
2018 House Results: R+2

Oh lordy
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Horus
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« Reply #39 on: January 15, 2018, 04:41:55 PM »

Maybe 3 or 4, but more likely they lose around 10-15. Trump's popularity is roaring back and there aren't many strong candidates running.

Well, that's great. Another idiot wrapped in a moron.

It will be interesting to look back on this thread in 10 months and see who was right and who was wrong. 

I was also called a fool when I predicted a Trump victory, with a win in PA. I said it then and I'll say it again now, hopefully I am wrong.
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Doimper
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« Reply #40 on: January 15, 2018, 04:45:56 PM »

60-80.

153 seats in the House, 3 seat gain in the Senate.

Edit: One-Five-Three. Can't wait to bump this in November LOL.

You'll be an accolade millionaire if this somehow comes to pass
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #41 on: January 15, 2018, 04:52:41 PM »

These are my Midterm predictions.
2018 House Results: R+2
2018 Senate Results: R+7
In the house, I’m predicting the Republicans to have a net gain of 2, due to Republicans flipping 10 Democratic districts (MN-01, MN-07, MN-08, NH-01, NV-03, PA-17, AZ-01, WI-03, IA-02, and IL-17), and Democrats flipping 8 Republican districts (CA-49, CA-25, CA-10, CO-06, TX-23, VA-10, FL-26, and FL-27). Meanwhile, in the senate, I’m predicting the Republicans to have a net gain of 7, due to flipping 7 Democratic Senate seats (WV, IN, MO, ND, MT, OH, and FL).
Um, Hillary Clinton isn't President.  Donald Trump is.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #42 on: January 15, 2018, 04:58:50 PM »

These are my Midterm predictions.
2018 House Results: R+2
2018 Senate Results: R+7
In the house, I’m predicting the Republicans to have a net gain of 2, due to Republicans flipping 10 Democratic districts (MN-01, MN-07, MN-08, NH-01, NV-03, PA-17, AZ-01, WI-03, IA-02, and IL-17), and Democrats flipping 8 Republican districts (CA-49, CA-25, CA-10, CO-06, TX-23, VA-10, FL-26, and FL-27). Meanwhile, in the senate, I’m predicting the Republicans to have a net gain of 7, due to flipping 7 Democratic Senate seats (WV, IN, MO, ND, MT, OH, and FL).

Somebody please tell Lear that Hillary lost the election.
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Lachi
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« Reply #43 on: January 15, 2018, 05:20:11 PM »

Range: (Intentionally keeping it relatively open, because we're still 10 1/2 months out)

Lower end: around 25
Middle: around 45
Upper end: around 75
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #44 on: January 15, 2018, 05:55:43 PM »

153 seats in the House, 3 seat gain in the Senate.

Edit: One-Five-Three. Can't wait to bump this in November LOL.

Wouldn't that be the biggest wave election in history?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #45 on: January 15, 2018, 06:26:00 PM »

35 House seats, one Senate seat net.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #46 on: January 15, 2018, 06:28:47 PM »

153 seats in the House, 3 seat gain in the Senate.

Edit: One-Five-Three. Can't wait to bump this in November LOL.

Wouldn't that be the biggest wave election in history?

By far.  The most previously was the GOP losing 101 in the 1932 elections (+ nearby specials).  Democrats gained 97 of those; the Farmer-Labor party gained the other 4.
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Boss_Rahm
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« Reply #47 on: January 15, 2018, 07:03:21 PM »

153 seats in the House, 3 seat gain in the Senate.

Edit: One-Five-Three. Can't wait to bump this in November LOL.

Wouldn't that be the biggest wave election in history?

By far.  The most previously was the GOP losing 101 in the 1932 elections (+ nearby specials).  Democrats gained 97 of those; the Farmer-Labor party gained the other 4.

1894 actually had the biggest swing, the GOP lost 125(!) seats that year.
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Doimper
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« Reply #48 on: January 15, 2018, 07:07:11 PM »

153 seats in the House, 3 seat gain in the Senate.

Edit: One-Five-Three. Can't wait to bump this in November LOL.

Wouldn't that be the biggest wave election in history?

By far.  The most previously was the GOP losing 101 in the 1932 elections (+ nearby specials).  Democrats gained 97 of those; the Farmer-Labor party gained the other 4.

1894 actually had the biggest swing, the GOP lost 125(!) seats that year.

No, you're thinking of the Democrats.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #49 on: January 15, 2018, 07:22:16 PM »

153 seats in the House, 3 seat gain in the Senate.

Edit: One-Five-Three. Can't wait to bump this in November LOL.

Wouldn't that be the biggest wave election in history?

By far.  The most previously was the GOP losing 101 in the 1932 elections (+ nearby specials).  Democrats gained 97 of those; the Farmer-Labor party gained the other 4.

1894 actually had the biggest swing, the GOP lost 125(!) seats that year.

No, you're thinking of the Democrats.

I forgot about that one!  And there were only 357 House seats then.  In percentage terms, that would be very close to 153 out of 435.  So I guess it's theoretically possible (but it ain't gonna happen).
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