PA Senate Race - Question
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Author Topic: PA Senate Race - Question  (Read 517 times)
LimoLiberal
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« on: January 02, 2018, 11:19:51 PM »
How does Barletta have any chance of winning whatsoever? Clinton lost the state by 0.7 points to Trump, as a horrible fit for the working-class areas in NE and SW PA. Trump underperformed in the Philly suburbs, home to many moderate college educated voters.

Now look at Casey vs. Barletta.

Casey has the benefits of - 
1) An incumbent
2) Popular
3) Will have a moderate to high D friendly environment
4) Good fit and proven electoral record in SW PA and Lackawanna/Luzerne
5) Cash

Not to mention Barletta is basically Trump lite, so he will probably get Gillespie-style blown out in Chester/Bucks/Montgomery.

How the hell does Barletta have any chance to win this thing?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1 on: January 03, 2018, 12:14:20 AM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on January 02, 2018, 11:19:51 PM
How does Barletta have any chance of winning whatsoever? Clinton lost the state by 0.7 points to Trump, as a horrible fit for the working-class areas in NE and SW PA. Trump underperformed in the Philly suburbs, home to many moderate college educated voters.

Now look at Casey vs. Barletta.

Casey has the benefits of - 
1) An incumbent
2) Popular
3) Will have a moderate to high D friendly environment
4) Good fit and proven electoral record in SW PA and Lackawanna/Luzerne
5) Cash

Not to mention Barletta is basically Trump lite, so he will probably get Gillespie-style blown out in Chester/Bucks/Montgomery.

How the hell does Barletta have any chance to win this thing?

Populism.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: January 03, 2018, 12:51:03 AM »
Barletta is an actual decent recruit, unlike Smith in 2012. Tons of people who voted for Obama twice flipped to Trump unexpectedly, a few of which will have to flip back for Casey to win. Also, Casey hates campaigning to the point where he did not campaign at all in 2012 until October, and was largely bailed out by Obama and the fact that Smith was a terrible candidate. I expect him to still hate campaigning in 2018.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #3 on: January 03, 2018, 03:14:41 AM »
Because Trump.

In all seriousness, Barletta won't win in a good year for the Democrats.
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Ye We Can
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« Reply #4 on: January 03, 2018, 04:17:23 AM »
Barletta isn't a bad candidate, and probably would be slightly favored in a Clinton midterm, but right now Casey will probably win comfortably.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #5 on: January 03, 2018, 10:00:30 AM »
Even though Barletta is a better candidate than smith was, I wouldn’t be surprised if he loses by a bigger margin. I cannot possibly see a Casey losing reelection in PA, especially in a big blue year.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: January 03, 2018, 06:33:50 PM »
Because Trump's 0.7% win makes PA a safe R state now, of course.
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