WPA Intelligence (Cruz Internal): Cruz +18
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  WPA Intelligence (Cruz Internal): Cruz +18
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Author Topic: WPA Intelligence (Cruz Internal): Cruz +18  (Read 2026 times)
Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
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« on: January 02, 2018, 01:23:18 PM »

Cruz: 52
O’Rourke: 34
Undecided: 13
http://www.houstonchronicle.com/news/politics/amp/GOP-study-Ted-Cruz-begins-2018-Senate-race-with-12467377.php?utm_campaign=twitter-premium&utm_source=CMS%20Sharing%20Button&utm_medium=social&__twitter_impression=true
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #1 on: January 02, 2018, 01:27:17 PM »

These the same polls that had Hillary +16% over Trump with a 98% chance of winning?

Shills....when will they learn
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #2 on: January 02, 2018, 01:48:35 PM »

oh sh!t
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #3 on: January 02, 2018, 01:55:34 PM »

I expect Lyin' Ted to win, but he's not gonna win by 18 points.
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Keep cool-idge
Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #4 on: January 02, 2018, 01:56:54 PM »

I told you safe republican.
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Cactus Jack
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« Reply #5 on: January 02, 2018, 02:00:30 PM »

Still too early, plus WPA Intelligence is garbage.
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OneJ
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« Reply #6 on: January 02, 2018, 02:31:30 PM »

Lol, Cruz ain't winnin' by eighteen points.
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Keep cool-idge
Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #7 on: January 02, 2018, 04:27:38 PM »

Lol, Cruz ain't winnin' by eighteen points.
Um Greg Abbot will be on the ballot so it’s unlikely but there is a 30% chance he wins by 18 or more.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #8 on: January 02, 2018, 04:34:03 PM »

Something like 55-42 Cruz wins sounds about right.
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Keep cool-idge
Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #9 on: January 02, 2018, 04:35:40 PM »

Something like 55-42 Cruz wins sounds about right.
Yep anything from 53-45 Cruz to 60-40 Cruz.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #10 on: January 02, 2018, 04:38:27 PM »

Cruz is probably going to win, but not by 18%. I would be very surprised if Cruz did better than Trump did in 2016, and I think he should do slightly worse at the very least.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #11 on: January 02, 2018, 05:01:17 PM »

Wonderful poll! Early polls from PPP and others showed Abbott winning by 6-8 points in the 2014 election. Not this time.
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OneJ
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« Reply #12 on: January 02, 2018, 05:37:36 PM »

Lol, Cruz ain't winnin' by eighteen points.
Um Greg Abbot will be on the ballot so it’s unlikely but there is a 30% chance he wins by 18 or more.
It's still highly unlikely Cruz will win by that much and a 30% chance is too high considering that Cruz himself is underwater if I'm not mistaken.
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Keep cool-idge
Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #13 on: January 02, 2018, 06:05:06 PM »

Lol, Cruz ain't winnin' by eighteen points.
Um Greg Abbot will be on the ballot so it’s unlikely but there is a 30% chance he wins by 18 or more.
It's still highly unlikely Cruz will win by that much and a 30% chance is too high considering that Cruz himself is underwater if I'm not mistaken.
Ted Cruz has a good approval rating.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #14 on: January 02, 2018, 06:32:42 PM »

Something like 55-42 Cruz wins sounds about right.
Yep anything from 53-45 Cruz to 60-40 Cruz.

Barring scandals, his floor is about a 52-46 win and his ceiling is about a 58-39.
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Doimper
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« Reply #15 on: January 02, 2018, 06:35:43 PM »

Beto will win, folks. It's over for the bathrobe bater.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #16 on: January 02, 2018, 07:51:53 PM »

Lol, Cruz ain't winnin' by eighteen points.
Um Greg Abbot will be on the ballot so it’s unlikely but there is a 30% chance he wins by 18 or more.
It's still highly unlikely Cruz will win by that much and a 30% chance is too high considering that Cruz himself is underwater if I'm not mistaken.
Ted Cruz has a good approval rating.
Admittedly this is not the most current poll but from October he has a 38-43 approval rating which is not great.
https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/set/ted-cruz-job-approval-october-2017
 
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: January 03, 2018, 05:59:28 PM »

>taking internals seriously
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King Lear
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« Reply #18 on: January 03, 2018, 08:18:09 PM »

I told everyone Texas is Safe Republican, Cruz is a sure bet for reelection.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #19 on: January 07, 2018, 06:25:09 AM »

Junk poll, though Cruz is likely to be favored to win reelection. 53-44% would be my prediction right now.
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Doimper
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« Reply #20 on: January 07, 2018, 08:55:29 PM »

Junk poll, though Cruz is likely to be favored to win reelection. 53-44% would be my prediction right now.

So you think the perfect candidate in a wave election is going to do 4% better than a nobody in 2012? Ok, lol.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #21 on: January 08, 2018, 08:27:42 PM »

Junk poll, though Cruz is likely to be favored to win reelection. 53-44% would be my prediction right now.

So you think the perfect candidate in a wave election is going to do 4% better than a nobody in 2012? Ok, lol.

O'Rourke is hardly the "perfect candidate", lol. He's vastly overrated here, not that TX Dems have too many better choices. But I agree with your point in general.
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Doimper
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« Reply #22 on: January 10, 2018, 01:19:27 PM »

Junk poll, though Cruz is likely to be favored to win reelection. 53-44% would be my prediction right now.

So you think the perfect candidate in a wave election is going to do 4% better than a nobody in 2012? Ok, lol.

O'Rourke is hardly the "perfect candidate", lol. He's vastly overrated here, not that TX Dems have too many better choices. But I agree with your point in general.

The only candidates I think you could make a case for being better than O'Rourke are the Castros, speaking of vastly overrated.
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Shadows
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« Reply #23 on: January 10, 2018, 01:25:24 PM »

Does anyone take an Internal poll of Lyin' Ted seriously? The man possibly fudged the results before releasing/leaking !
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IceSpear
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« Reply #24 on: January 10, 2018, 01:27:02 PM »

Junk poll, though Cruz is likely to be favored to win reelection. 53-44% would be my prediction right now.

So you think the perfect candidate in a wave election is going to do 4% better than a nobody in 2012? Ok, lol.

O'Rourke is hardly the "perfect candidate", lol. He's vastly overrated here, not that TX Dems have too many better choices. But I agree with your point in general.

The only candidates I think you could make a case for being better than O'Rourke are the Castros, speaking of vastly overrated.

Are we talking realistic candidates, or ideal candidates? If you mean the former I agree (I'd rather have O'Rourke than the Castros, who I agree are also overrated) but he is far from "perfect" if we're talking ideal.
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