Current House Rating?

[Bidenworth2020]

I say Tilt D. In terms of seats, I say they gain about 30, and that is being conservative

[Doimper]

Gonna be bold and say Llkely D. These are wave conditions, and Trump is only going to make things worse.

[windjammer]

Likely dem for now?

I mean, with a 15 points lead for now, it wouldn't be even close if the elections were held today.

[Pericles]

Lean D

[GeorgiaModerate]

Likely dem for now?

I mean, with a 15 points lead for now, it wouldn't be even close if the elections were held today.

Agree with Likely D, guessing a pickup of 40-45 seats (+10 from my estimate a few months ago).

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Lean D (D+33)

[Bidenworth2020]

Sorry mods, can you move this to congressional?

[Xing]

To be cautious, Toss-Up.

[Horus]

Toss up, slight Republican advantage.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Giving all pure toss-ups to the Republicans, D +35; the House overall is Likely D right now although I could see an argument for keeping it Lean D for another month or two.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Lean D, would be Likely D but I'm a cautious prognosticator.

[YE]

Lean D but we're getting close to Likely D.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Lean D;a lot can happen plus several polls do show Democrats at or below 50%. However  the CB lead by Democrats and general environment  can not be ignored so Democrats  definitely do have an advantage. In % chances I would say a 60-65% chance of a Democratic house in 2018.

[MarkD]

Likely D. The signs are there that this election cycle is a Democratic wave. There's a huge number of Democrats running for Republican seats that are R+5 or less.

[Bidenworth2020]

thanks, virg

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I don't know where I would put it in terms of Tilt/Lean/Likely/Safe but I would say that the Democrats are definitely favored to win.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I don't know where I would put it in terms of Tilt/Lean/Likely/Safe but I would say that the Democrats are definitely favored to win.

I differentiate them this way:

Safe: The outcome is all but certain barring some crazily unexpected development (candidate is revealed as an Al-Qaeda agent, etc.)

Likely: It would be a surprise if the favored candidate/party lost, but it could plausibly happen.

Lean: One candidate/party has the advantage, but neither outcome would surprise me.

Tilt: It's really close, but if forced to choose there's one I'd go with.

Tossup: I don't have a clue.

Based on these criteria, the House is Likely D at this point; it would surprise me if the D's don't take the majority, but it's not out of the question.  The Senate is Lean R (before Jones won, it was Likely R.)

For comparison, on this scale I rated VA-Gov as Likely Northam.  AL-Sen was Lean Jones (at the end, anyway; I wandered through a few other ratings along the way.)  Atlanta Mayor was Tilt Bottoms.

[junior chįmp]

100% Titanium D

[SWE]

Lean D, because I'm not comfortable saying Likely D this far out. I'd say Likely D if the election were held now.

[Cactus Jack]

Likely D. Barring a massive shift in public opinion, there's almost no way they don't pick up the 25 seats they need.

[junior chįmp]

100% Titanium D

I'm at my parents house for Christmas and Jesse Watters is going on about how the tax bill and "soaring economy" is going to reward Republicans in 2018. And something about Dems beinng screwed cuz the DNC is broke lol. Straight up state-sanctioned television at this point

GOP is in for the cucking of a lifetime....get ready for Republican tears in 11 months. As the news announces Pelosi is the new Speaker of the House....a loud yet faint autistic screeching wail will sound from the distance as the collective cries of anguish from Trumptards fill the night sky

[Bidenworth2020]

100% Titanium D

I'm at my parents house for Christmas and Jesse Watters is going on about how the tax bill and "soaring economy" is going to reward Republicans in 2018. And something about Dems beinng screwed cuz the DNC is broke lol. Straight up state-sanctioned television at this point

GOP is in for the cucking of a lifetime....get ready for Republican tears in 11 months. As the news announces Pelosi is the new Speaker of the House....a loud yet faint autistic screeching wail will sound from the distance as the collective cries of anguish from Trumptards fill the night sky

I feel for the people who liver next to greedo and krazen.

[LimoLiberal]

Likely R
D+5

[Bidenworth2020]

Likely R
D+5

lmfao

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Likely R
D+5

Lol shut up