With Modern-Day Demographics, What Would the Outcome of Historical Elections...

[Calthrina950]

from 1896 to the present have looked like? What I mean is, how would past elections have turned out with today's racial, ethnic, gender demographics etc, along with today's turnout and partisan patterns? How would the landslides of 1920, 1936, 1964, 1972, 1984, etc. have looked like with modern-day demographics? Would they have remained landslides? And which close elections (i.e. 1916, 1948, 1960, 1976, 2000), would have been decided differently?

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

I remember I once saw a post in Post Random Maps that answered this question for 1988. I wasn't sure if Dukakis won or not, but it was about as close as 2016.

[Dr. MB]

Nixon still would win but McGovern would win all the strong D states. Same with Reagan vs Mondale.

Goldwater would have performed better in the west and upper south.

[Calthrina950]

Nixon still would win but McGovern would win all the strong D states. Same with Reagan vs Mondale.

Goldwater would have performed better in the west and upper south.

So what would that have looked like, on a electoral map?

[DPKdebator]

Nixon still would win but McGovern would win all the strong D states. Same with Reagan vs Mondale.

Goldwater would have performed better in the west and upper south.

So what would that have looked like, on a electoral map?

How these would actually look is anybody's guess, but I'll take a gander at it.

1964 might look like this:

AZ (kept it R because Goldwater is its senator), TX, GA, NC, IN, and MO could go either way.

1972 might look like this: