Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[junior chįmp]

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[BudgieForce]

Does anyone know how the night will go in terms of vote reporting - like should Moore be expected to post a big lead at first then Jones slowly whittles away at it, or vice versa, or?

I'd like to know this too. What reports early, what stays late?

Has anyone ever paid close enough attention to an Alabama race to know this?

The last competitive statewide election in Alabama seems to have been all the way back in 2002 so we're more or less going in blind.

Erm, no, not really.

Dem. Lt.G. Jim Folsom Jr. won with 50.61% of the vote in 2006, and now-Gov. Kay Ivey only beat him with 51.47% of the vote in 2010.

Oh, okay. Lets use that as a bench mark then.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Does anyone know how the night will go in terms of vote reporting - like should Moore be expected to post a big lead at first then Jones slowly whittles away at it, or vice versa, or?

I'd like to know this too. What reports early, what stays late?

Has anyone ever paid close enough attention to an Alabama race to know this?

The last competitive statewide election in Alabama seems to have been all the way back in 2002 so we're more or less going in blind.

I think the Moore-Strange margin was relatively constant through the night, if that helps.

[Matty]

FWIW, predictit seems unimpressed by all the turnout reports on twitter

The prices are virtually the same as they were this morning, with moore actually 1 cent higher

[BudgieForce]

FWIW, predictit seems unimpressed by all the turnout reports on twitter

The prices are virtually the same as they were this morning, with moore actually 1 cent higher

Well Im unimpressed by predictit so...

[Sestak]

FWIW, predictit seems unimpressed by all the turnout reports on twitter

The prices are virtually the same as they were this morning, with moore actually 1 cent higher

Huh, predictit not overreactign to every little thing? Color me surprised.

I guess people realize this race is too unpredictable to bet too much on.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

FWIW, predictit seems unimpressed by all the turnout reports on twitter

The prices are virtually the same as they were this morning, with moore actually 1 cent higher

So? The same people betting on that market are one-sided right-wingers celebrating that their accused-pedophile of a candidate is probably going to win in a state that makes Poland look like Vermont and that they can't wait to rub it in. That's how desperate conservatives are for bragging rights in an age of failed republican leadership.

Btw, they're posting dick pics now. Don't take them seriously.

[Matty]

FWIW, predictit seems unimpressed by all the turnout reports on twitter

The prices are virtually the same as they were this morning, with moore actually 1 cent higher

So? The same people betting on that market are one-sided right-wingers celebrating that their accused-pedophile of a candidate is probably going to win in a state that makes Poland look like Vermont and that they can't wait to rub it in. That's how desperate conservatives are for bragging rights in an age of failed republican leadership.

I have read the comment section and they aren't nearly as one sided as you think

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

FWIW, predictit seems unimpressed by all the turnout reports on twitter

The prices are virtually the same as they were this morning, with moore actually 1 cent higher

So? The same people betting on that market are one-sided right-wingers celebrating that their accused-pedophile of a candidate is probably going to win in a state that makes Poland look like Vermont and that they can't wait to rub it in. That's how desperate conservatives are for bragging rights in an age of failed republican leadership.

I have read the comment section and they aren't nearly as one sided as you think

I've been aimlessly monitoring it for two hours now and all it is is sh**tposting. They're posting dick pics now.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I wonder who's feeling more confident. Fox or Emerson?

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Polls close at 8 ET. Follow results at: https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones

Results coverage will be at the linked thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=261809.new#new, however I do ask that the following stay on THIS thread: Paragraphs/Essay-Style #Analysis, Discussion of whether the Senate should expel Moore, Discussion of whether AL should secede from the union, and Discussion of whether IceSpear should leave the forum.

[BudgieForce]

I wonder who's feeling more confident. Fox or Emerson?

Emerson probably doesn't give two craps about how accurate they are.

[Sestak]

I wonder who's feeling more confident. Fox or Emerson?

Emerson is closer to conventional wisdom, so I'd say Fox.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Win or lose tonight, I am proud of Doug and the campaign he ran.

Damn right. Doug has run a nearly flawless campaign, and if he does lose it'll be solely because Alabama is too red for any Democrat to win.

[cvparty]

Polls close at 8 ET. Follow results at: https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones

Results coverage will be at the linked thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=261809.new#new, however I do ask that the following stay on THIS thread: Paragraphs/Essay-Style #Analysis, Discussion of whether the Senate should expel Moore, Discussion of whether AL should secede from the union, and Discussion of whether IceSpear should leave the forum.

was just about to post that link I like the projected tie map they made near the bottom of the page

[heatcharger]

Polls close at 8 ET. Follow results at: https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones

Results coverage will be at the linked thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=261809.new#new, however I do ask that the following stay on THIS thread: Paragraphs/Essay-Style #Analysis, Discussion of whether the Senate should expel Moore, Discussion of whether AL should secede from the union, and Discussion of whether IceSpear should leave the forum.

Not sure why Wulfric got to dictate these terms. I had no part in these negotiations, and are therefore invalidated.

[BuckeyeNut]

Polls close at 8 ET. Follow results at: https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones

Results coverage will be at the linked thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=261809.new#new, however I do ask that the following stay on THIS thread: Paragraphs/Essay-Style #Analysis, Discussion of whether the Senate should expel Moore, Discussion of whether AL should secede from the union, and Discussion of whether IceSpear should leave the forum.

Not sure why Wulfric got to dictate these terms. I had no part in these negotiations, and are therefore invalidated.

Re-call Wulfric!

[Gass3268]

High turnout in Shelby County, but they are seeing a lot more younger and minority voters than typical:

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Source

[Sestak]

High turnout in Shelby County, but they are seeing a lot more younger and minority voters than typical:

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Source

Seems in line with what we've heard elsewhere.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Looking promising!

https://twitter.com/JoyceWhiteVance/status/940681439737188352

[Sestak]

Looking promising!

https://twitter.com/JoyceWhiteVance/status/940681439737188352

Well, there goes me not getting my hopes up. They're up.

Also, +940 is on the 2016 totals? Or just 940 votes??

[Matty]

If Moore is seen as toxic to so many GOP leaning voters, why did he win the primary by a comfortable margin?

Why didn't they come out and vote against him in the runoff?

[JA]

[Wisconsin+17]

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Puhleeze. Moore's been outspent 14:1 by Democrats. Desperation? Pitching 50 million to win a Senate race in Alabama.

[GeorgiaModerate]

If Moore is seen as toxic to so many GOP leaning voters, why did he win the primary by a comfortable margin?

Why didn't they come out and vote against him in the runoff?

The scandal story broke after the runoff.  If it had happened earlier, I'm sure Moore would have lost.