Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[The Other Castro]

I for one can’t believe J-Law is pro-Moore.

[Arkansas Yankee]

FF Gwen Moore:

http://thehill.com/homenews/house/364270-dem-lawmaker-calls-for-extra-protections-to-safeguard-senate-pages-if-roy

I, too, am impressed by tepid acts of virtue signaling! A true FF indeed.

So has he risen from just a Pedophile to sexual predator.. But Pedofiles generally do not like them older.

[Arkansas Yankee]

Does anyone know if their will be an exit poll released tomorrow?

Steven Shepard from Politico says there will be.

https://twitter.com/POLITICO_Steve/status/939109770937688065

Do you think it will be as accurate as the 2016 General Election exit poll?

I expect some Moore voters will not agree to be polled. Some will lie.

[The Other Castro]

Does anyone know if their will be an exit poll released tomorrow?

Steven Shepard from Politico says there will be.

https://twitter.com/POLITICO_Steve/status/939109770937688065

Do you think it will be as accurate as the 2016 General Election exit poll?

I expect some Moore voters will not agree to be polled. Some will lie.

Alabama didn't get an exit poll for the 2016 general election. But, I think it's possible you see some Jones voters lie about their intentions. A vote for a Democrat may be worse to admit than a vote for an alleged child molester.

[Pyro]

Does anyone know if their will be an exit poll released tomorrow?

Steven Shepard from Politico says there will be.

https://twitter.com/POLITICO_Steve/status/939109770937688065

Do you think it will be as accurate as the 2016 General Election exit poll?

I expect some Moore voters will not agree to be polled. Some will lie.

Alabama didn't get an exit poll for the 2016 general election. But, I think it's possible you see some Jones voters lie about their intentions. A vote for a Democrat may be worse to admit than a vote for an alleged child molester.

That is a definite possibility.

[Landslide Lyndon]

https://twitter.com/sadmonsters/status/940085167988752385?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dailykos.com%2Fstory%2F2017%2F12%2F11%2F1723039%2F-Daily-Kos-Elections-Live-Digest-12-11

AUDIENCE MEMBER: When was the last time you think America was great?

ROY MOORE: 1790.

AUDIENCE MEMBER: Because "families were united" back then?

ROY MOORE: No, because it was 14 years old.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Does anyone know if their will be an exit poll released tomorrow?

Steven Shepard from Politico says there will be.

https://twitter.com/POLITICO_Steve/status/939109770937688065

Do you think it will be as accurate as the 2016 General Election exit poll?

I expect some Moore voters will not agree to be polled. Some will lie.

Alabama didn't get an exit poll for the 2016 general election. But, I think it's possible you see some Jones voters lie about their intentions. A vote for a Democrat may be worse to admit than a vote for an alleged child molester.

That is a definite possibility.

I don't think the whole "social desirability bias" theory applies to Alabama. Exit polls might show a polling error in the Birmingham and Huntsville region.

[KingSweden]

I for one can’t believe J-Law is pro-Moore.

Wut

[The Other Castro]

I for one can’t believe J-Law is pro-Moore.

Wut

Joking, didn't make it clear enough to the response above that one:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

I for one can’t believe J-Law is pro-Moore.

Wut

Joking, didn't make it clear enough to the response above that one:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

And obviously a different "J-Law" given what the more well known J-Law said a few days back about Trump.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://twitter.com/sadmonsters/status/940085167988752385?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dailykos.com%2Fstory%2F2017%2F12%2F11%2F1723039%2F-Daily-Kos-Elections-Live-Digest-12-11

AUDIENCE MEMBER: When was the last time you think America was great?

ROY MOORE: 1790.

AUDIENCE MEMBER: Because "families were united" back then?

ROY MOORE: No, because it was 14 years old.

LOL, good job dude, this is an underrated comment! XD

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

He holds little girls high
And he molests them
Molestin' Moore!

[Matty]

So.....outside of fox, where are all the legit, good-brand polling firms for this race?

CNN hasn't polled it, ppp hasn't polled it, opinion saavy hasn't polled, quinipac hasn't polled

[Pericles]

WaPo polled it and gave Jones a 3-point lead.

[Doimper]

Yeah, and SurveyMonkey's not a bad pollster. All the reputable outfits seem to be giving Jones the advantage.

[Pericles]

Fox News says that Moore is the victim of an enthusiasm gap in the race as Democrats are more energized than Republicans.
https://www.google.co.nz/amp/www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/12/11/fox-news-poll-enthused-democrats-give-jones-lead-over-moore-in-alabama.amp.html

[Former Kentuckian]

It might have already been posted, but Nate Silver wrote about all the crazy polling we've had today: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-the-hell-is-happening-with-these-alabama-polls/

[Doimper]

lmao, check out the principled conservative take on this situation:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

"I'm pretty sure I couldn't tolerate a child molester in the Senate, but I'll leave myself enough wiggle room to go back on this if Moore does get elected."

[IceSpear]

Yeah, and SurveyMonkey's not a bad pollster.

Since when? Most of their 2016 polls were garbage.

[Doimper]

Yeah, and SurveyMonkey's not a bad pollster.

Since when? Most of their 2016 polls were garbage.

A lot of otherwise good pollsters got burned in 2016. Quinn's 2016 state polls were hot garbage, but they nailed Virginia last month.

[Holmes]

SurveyMonkey was a mixed bag last year.

[libertpaulian]

Yeah, and SurveyMonkey's not a bad pollster.

Since when? Most of their 2016 polls were garbage.

In the Indiana governor's race, SurveyMonkey showed Eric Holcomb with a statistical advantage, despite John Gregg leading in the actual polls.

Guess who's our Governor right now?

[The Other Castro]

Nate Cohn’s model is accounting for approximately 1.3 million votes, much higher than the 25% turnout predicted by the SoS.

https://mobile.twitter.com/nate_cohn/status/940360990167793664

[Mike Thick]

Nate Cohn’s model is accounting for approximately 1.3 million votes, much higher than the 25% turnout predicted by the SoS.

https://mobile.twitter.com/nate_cohn/status/940360990167793664

Yeah, this would be in the mid-to-high thirties range

[junior chįmp]

Nate Cohn’s model is accounting for approximately 1.3 million votes, much higher than the 25% turnout predicted by the SoS.

https://mobile.twitter.com/nate_cohn/status/940360990167793664

Nate's models literally haven't predicted a damn thing right since Election night 2016