Post Random US Election County Maps Here
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  Post Random US Election County Maps Here
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Author Topic: Post Random US Election County Maps Here  (Read 64577 times)
DPKdebator
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« Reply #125 on: December 16, 2017, 06:42:42 PM »

I decided to make a revised version of my original Baker v. Manchin map, since the original was way too generous for Baker in rural areas:


Manchin vastly improves upon recent Democrats in the South and rural Midwest, while Baker does better in New England, the Mountain West, and suburban areas.
Who wins?
America does.

A lot of states would be really close in this scenario (virtually every state east of the Mississippi could go either way), and I would say the winner comes down to margins. For example, in Pennsylvania, Manchin is able to win a lot of ancestrally Democratic WCW areas, but Baker also does a lot better than Trump in the Philly suburbs; how well either candidate does in these areas would ultimately determine who wins.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #126 on: December 16, 2017, 07:00:55 PM »

I could see Miami-Dade Cty as very competitive in such a scenario, I'm 50/50 on who it would eventually go for
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Solid4096
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« Reply #127 on: December 17, 2017, 12:43:34 PM »

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Calthrina950
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« Reply #128 on: December 17, 2017, 03:22:57 PM »


What does this represent?
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Solid4096
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« Reply #129 on: December 17, 2017, 03:56:20 PM »


The gradual loss of Democrat voting Counties in TN from 1992 to 2016.
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TexArkana
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« Reply #130 on: December 17, 2017, 03:57:49 PM »

Could you explain this further?
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Solid4096
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« Reply #131 on: December 17, 2017, 04:00:57 PM »


The Darkest shade of Blue are Bush 1992 Counties.

The Darkest shade of Red are Clinton 2016 Counties.

Everything in between is a gradient representation of the year in which the County flipped.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #132 on: December 17, 2017, 04:03:38 PM »


The Darkest shade of Blue are Bush 1992 Counties.

The Darkest shade of Red are Clinton 2016 Counties.

Everything in between is a gradient representation of the year in which the County flipped.
I see. Very interesting map.
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The Govanah Jake
Jake Jewvinivisk
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« Reply #133 on: December 17, 2017, 04:05:35 PM »

For some actual county maps now:

1936 California massacre:



1860 New York



And some other maps i have on my hard drive:

1998 New York Senate, No Schumer



And this:



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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #134 on: December 17, 2017, 04:42:50 PM »

For some actual county maps now:

1936 California massacre:



1860 New York



And some other maps i have on my hard drive:

1998 New York Senate, No Schumer



And this:




It's sort of fascinating to compare the county maps and think that FDR only did a few points better than Clinton '16 in California.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #135 on: December 17, 2017, 09:52:37 PM »


1999 Atlantic Republic Presidential Election Round 1 - May 1

Social Labor Party - 34%
Workers' Party - 25%
Conservative Party - 22%
Liberal Party - 12%
Christian Democratic Party - 5%
Socialist Party - 2%


1999 Atlantic Republic Presidential Election Round 2 - May 14

Social Labor Party - 53%
Workers' Party - 47%
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #136 on: December 18, 2017, 01:11:43 PM »

Here's another one. I took the Goldwater 2016 map from this thread (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=255434.0), giving to the Democrat all Goldwater counties won by Clinton, as well as most of the Johnson counties from 1964 (except for some in Arizona, Illinois, and California that I swapped). And I came up with this map:



The only states that I know for sure would flip from Republican to Democratic would be Arizona and Georgia. What about the other Deep South states? I think Mississippi and Alabama would still be Republican, but Louisiana and South Carolina are ambiguous. And what would the congressional district map look like? Which ones would be Republican, and which ones Democratic?
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TexArkana
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« Reply #137 on: December 18, 2017, 06:55:48 PM »

Here's another one. I took the Goldwater 2016 map from this thread (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=255434.0), giving to the Democrat all Goldwater counties won by Clinton, as well as most of the Johnson counties from 1964 (except for some in Arizona, Illinois, and California that I swapped). And I came up with this map:



The only states that I know for sure would flip from Republican to Democratic would be Arizona and Georgia. What about the other Deep South states? I think Mississippi and Alabama would still be Republican, but Louisiana and South Carolina are ambiguous. And what would the congressional district map look like? Which ones would be Republican, and which ones Democratic?
Mississippi and Alabama definitely go R here. Louisiana and South Carolina would be very close, but the Democrat probably wins both.
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Metalhead123
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« Reply #138 on: December 20, 2017, 11:23:21 AM »

WARNING: non atlas colors




I increased Obama's 2008 margin of victory in the popular vote from 7.26% to 12.26%.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #139 on: December 20, 2017, 11:35:55 AM »

WARNING: non atlas colors




I increased Obama's 2008 margin of victory in the popular vote from 7.26% to 12.26%.

Am I correct in saying that Georgia, Montana, and Missouri would flip to Obama here? And that Texas, South Carolina, etc. would be closer?
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TexArkana
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« Reply #140 on: December 20, 2017, 11:46:19 AM »

WARNING: non atlas colors




I increased Obama's 2008 margin of victory in the popular vote from 7.26% to 12.26%.
Very cool!
I don't expect you to say yes, but would you be willing to make the same map for if Obama had won by the same margin as LBJ or Nixon '72 in 2008?
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Metalhead123
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« Reply #141 on: December 20, 2017, 11:47:45 AM »

WARNING: non atlas colors




I increased Obama's 2008 margin of victory in the popular vote from 7.26% to 12.26%.

Am I correct in saying that Georgia, Montana, and Missouri would flip to Obama here? And that Texas, South Carolina, etc. would be closer?
Montana and Missouri flip. McCain would win Georgia by 0.2%.
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Canis
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« Reply #142 on: December 20, 2017, 05:31:29 PM »

Donald Trump vs Bernie Sanders in west virginia

Donald Trump 55.77%
Bernie Sanders 44.23%
This is only counting ballots in the primaries
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TexArkana
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« Reply #143 on: December 20, 2017, 05:34:20 PM »

Donald Trump vs Bernie Sanders in west virginia

Donald Trump 55.77%
Bernie Sanders 44.23%
This is only counting ballots in the primaries
Looks very similar to Reagan's win in the state in 1984. I also think this could have been the actual result in a Sanders vs Cruz election, but probably not Sanders vs Trump.
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Jalawest2
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« Reply #144 on: December 20, 2017, 11:23:05 PM »

1914 Confederate Presidential Elections
The 54 straight years of Democratic dominance over the confederacy were ended tonight, with the Populist-Whig Alliance winning their first ever presidential victory, by a 4 point popular vote margin and with 12 more electors than required.
https://imgur.com/a/zOWtA
Which states stayed democratic here?
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TexArkana
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #145 on: December 21, 2017, 11:57:28 AM »

1914 Confederate Presidential Elections
The 54 straight years of Democratic dominance over the confederacy were ended tonight, with the Populist-Whig Alliance winning their first ever presidential victory, by a 4 point popular vote margin and with 12 more electors than required.
https://imgur.com/a/zOWtA
Which states stayed democratic here?
Are the Democrats red or blue?
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Jalawest2
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« Reply #146 on: December 21, 2017, 03:54:06 PM »

1914 Confederate Presidential Elections
The 54 straight years of Democratic dominance over the confederacy were ended tonight, with the Populist-Whig Alliance winning their first ever presidential victory, by a 4 point popular vote margin and with 12 more electors than required.
https://imgur.com/a/zOWtA
Which states stayed democratic here?
Are the Democrats red or blue?
Red.
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The Govanah Jake
Jake Jewvinivisk
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« Reply #147 on: December 21, 2017, 04:07:04 PM »

Donald Trump vs Bernie Sanders in west virginia

Donald Trump 55.77%
Bernie Sanders 44.23%
This is only counting ballots in the primaries
Looks very similar to Reagan's win in the state in 1984. I also think this could have been the actual result in a Sanders vs Cruz election, but probably not Sanders vs Trump.

I doubt this could every happen with Trump. I doubt Sanders could get 44% against almost any republican with the exception of minor candidates like Pataki, or perhaps Bush.
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TexArkana
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #148 on: December 21, 2017, 08:30:43 PM »

Donald Trump vs Bernie Sanders in west virginia

Donald Trump 55.77%
Bernie Sanders 44.23%
This is only counting ballots in the primaries
Looks very similar to Reagan's win in the state in 1984. I also think this could have been the actual result in a Sanders vs Cruz election, but probably not Sanders vs Trump.

I doubt this could every happen with Trump. I doubt Sanders could get 44% against almost any republican with the exception of minor candidates like Pataki, or perhaps Bush.
I think Sanders could have got 44% against Cruz - if he, for some inexplicable reason, decided to campaign in the state and contest it.
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The Govanah Jake
Jake Jewvinivisk
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« Reply #149 on: December 21, 2017, 09:38:34 PM »

Donald Trump vs Bernie Sanders in west virginia

Donald Trump 55.77%
Bernie Sanders 44.23%
This is only counting ballots in the primaries
Looks very similar to Reagan's win in the state in 1984. I also think this could have been the actual result in a Sanders vs Cruz election, but probably not Sanders vs Trump.

I doubt this could every happen with Trump. I doubt Sanders could get 44% against almost any republican with the exception of minor candidates like Pataki, or perhaps Bush.
I think Sanders could have got 44% against Cruz - if he, for some inexplicable reason, decided to campaign in the state and contest it.

I mean if he actually campaigned in the state then yes. Though if the "culture wars" are dominant in that election, like with most recent elections, then it could drag him below 40% still.
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