Post Random US Election County Maps Here

[MATTROSE94]

5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1996.

Which states does Clinton gain here?

A 5% universal swing to Bill Clinton would have been enough for him to win Colorado, Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, South Carolina, Mississippi, Alabama, Texas, Oklahoma, Montana, Indiana, North Dakota, and South Dakota, so I assume he wins those states in the map.

[Metalhead123]

5% swing to Bill Clinton in 1996.

Which states does Clinton gain here?

A 5% universal swing to Bill Clinton would have been enough for him to win Colorado, Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, South Carolina, Mississippi, Alabama, Texas, Oklahoma, Montana, Indiana, North Dakota, and South Dakota, so I assume he wins those states in the map.

wrong. Just Georgia, Colorado, Virginia, Montana, South Dakota, North Carolina, and Texas. Mississippi comes within 0.13 percent of flipping.

[Metalhead123]

This is the election results of the 1982 senate elections.

[CookieDamage]

How do you guys calculate posts like 5% swing to Nixon, 10% swing to Hillary? Plus, more importantly, how do y'all put that into map form/how do you know what counties to flip? Thanks, since I'd like to make some of these types of maps on my own.

just divide the percentage by two, add half of it to one candidate and talk half from another. For example, let’s say you want to do a 5% swing to Walter Mondale. What you would do is add 2.5% to Mondale and take 2.5% from Reagan.

Thanks! Do you guesstimate which counties go to whom? Or do you do it by state and use past elections as references? So if I did a ~% swing to Hillary and it made her win Pennsylvania, I'll just flip the most likely counties that would have enabled a win?

I do it by state using previous elections. You would flip whatever country margins fall into the amount ur swinging to

Thanks!

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

This is the election results of the 1982 senate elections.

This is so cool. Could you maybe do this for other years as well? Specifically pre-'82 if you can find the data.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Guess

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Guess

Some sort of swing to HRC in 2016.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Guess

Some sort of swing to HRC in 2016.

Correct. Guess the level of the swing.

[Metalhead123]

This is the election results of the 1982 senate elections.

This is so cool. Could you maybe do this for other years as well? Specifically pre-'82 if you can find the data.

Im thinking about doing 1978.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

This is the election results of the 1982 senate elections.

This is so cool. Could you maybe do this for other years as well? Specifically pre-'82 if you can find the data.

Im thinking about doing 1978.

That would be awesome.

[_]

Alternate 2010 Races (Part 2)
Connecticut Senate Race

Rob Simmons (R):  55.31%
Chris Dodd (D-inc):  43.59%
Other:  1.10%

(Next will be an alternate CA-Sen and NY-Sen Special, then moving on to Alternate Governors)

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Guess

Some sort of swing to HRC in 2016.

Correct. Guess the level of the swing.

Looks like a 5% swing.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Guess

Some sort of swing to HRC in 2016.

Correct. Guess the level of the swing.

Looks like a 5% swing.

Wrong. Higher than 5%.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Guess

Some sort of swing to HRC in 2016.

Correct. Guess the level of the swing.

Looks like a 5% swing.

Wrong. Higher than 5%.

Well it's not a 10% swing, so is it a 7  or 8% swing?

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Guess

Some sort of swing to HRC in 2016.

Correct. Guess the level of the swing.

Looks like a 5% swing.

Wrong. Higher than 5%.

Well it's not a 10% swing, so is it a 7  or 8% swing?

9% swing of only the 2-party vote.

[Metalhead123]

This is so cool. Could you maybe do this for other years as well? Specifically pre-'82 if you can find the data.

Im thinking about doing 1978.

That would be awesome.

here ya go

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

This is so cool. Could you maybe do this for other years as well? Specifically pre-'82 if you can find the data.

Im thinking about doing 1978.

That would be awesome.

here ya go

Beautiful Titanium D Alabama.

[_]

2010 Alternate Races (Part 3)
New York Special Senate Race

Peter King (R):  48.92%
Kirsten Gillibrand (D-inc):  48.82%
Other:  2.26%

California Senate Race

Barbara Boxer (D-inc):  47.52%
Steve Poizner (R):  47.47%
Other:  5.01%

(Next up is alternate Gubernatorial Elections)

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

What if the Democratic nominee won literally every county?

[Calthrina950]

This is so cool. Could you maybe do this for other years as well? Specifically pre-'82 if you can find the data.

Im thinking about doing 1978.

That would be awesome.

here ya go

Beautiful Titanium D Alabama.

It is amazing to see how strong the Democrats still were in the South, on the downballot level, at this time. Mind you, this was more than a decade after the Civil Rights Act.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

This is so cool. Could you maybe do this for other years as well? Specifically pre-'82 if you can find the data.

Im thinking about doing 1978.

That would be awesome.

here ya go

Beautiful Titanium D Alabama.

It is amazing to see how strong the Democrats still were in the South, on the downballot level, at this time. Mind you, this was more than a decade after the Civil Rights Act.

The Deep South was still favorable to Democrats at the state level until the early 2000's for the most part.

[Calthrina950]

This is so cool. Could you maybe do this for other years as well? Specifically pre-'82 if you can find the data.

Im thinking about doing 1978.

That would be awesome.

here ya go

Beautiful Titanium D Alabama.

It is amazing to see how strong the Democrats still were in the South, on the downballot level, at this time. Mind you, this was more than a decade after the Civil Rights Act.

The Deep South was still favorable to Democrats at the state level until the early 2000's for the most part.

Yes I know, but it's still interesting to see.

As to your other map, it is also interesting. I wonder if you plan on doing a map for if the Republicans won every county.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

This is so cool. Could you maybe do this for other years as well? Specifically pre-'82 if you can find the data.

Im thinking about doing 1978.

That would be awesome.

here ya go

Beautiful Titanium D Alabama.

It is amazing to see how strong the Democrats still were in the South, on the downballot level, at this time. Mind you, this was more than a decade after the Civil Rights Act.

The Deep South was still favorable to Democrats at the state level until the early 2000's for the most part.

Yes I know, but it's still interesting to see.

As to your other map, it is also interesting. I wonder if you plan on doing a map for if the Republicans won every county.

I do, I'm working on it now. I currently have about 15 states done but I can already tell that the Deep South and Texas are going to be tricky because of the traditonal Democratic strongholds of South Texas and the Black Belt. For instance, in the 1998 Texas Gubernatorial Election, George W. Bush won with almost 70% of the vote statewide, but Duval County still voted over 70% Democrat.

[Calthrina950]

This is so cool. Could you maybe do this for other years as well? Specifically pre-'82 if you can find the data.

Im thinking about doing 1978.

That would be awesome.

here ya go

Beautiful Titanium D Alabama.

It is amazing to see how strong the Democrats still were in the South, on the downballot level, at this time. Mind you, this was more than a decade after the Civil Rights Act.

The Deep South was still favorable to Democrats at the state level until the early 2000's for the most part.

Yes I know, but it's still interesting to see.

As to your other map, it is also interesting. I wonder if you plan on doing a map for if the Republicans won every county.

I do, I'm working on it now. I currently have about 15 states done but I can already tell that the Deep South and Texas are going to be tricky because of the traditonal Democratic strongholds of South Texas and the Black Belt. For instance, in the 1998 Texas Gubernatorial Election, George W. Bush won with almost 70% of the vote statewide, but Duval County still voted over 70% Democrat.

That is an issue. I would guess than when you were making the Democratic sweep map, the staunchly Republican counties out on the Great Plains (in Western Nebraska and North Texas particularly, like King County), were also very challenging.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

This is so cool. Could you maybe do this for other years as well? Specifically pre-'82 if you can find the data.

Im thinking about doing 1978.

That would be awesome.

here ya go

Beautiful Titanium D Alabama.

It is amazing to see how strong the Democrats still were in the South, on the downballot level, at this time. Mind you, this was more than a decade after the Civil Rights Act.

The Deep South was still favorable to Democrats at the state level until the early 2000's for the most part.

Yes I know, but it's still interesting to see.

As to your other map, it is also interesting. I wonder if you plan on doing a map for if the Republicans won every county.

I do, I'm working on it now. I currently have about 15 states done but I can already tell that the Deep South and Texas are going to be tricky because of the traditonal Democratic strongholds of South Texas and the Black Belt. For instance, in the 1998 Texas Gubernatorial Election, George W. Bush won with almost 70% of the vote statewide, but Duval County still voted over 70% Democrat.

That is an issue. I would guess than when you were making the Democratic sweep map, the staunchly Republican counties out on the Great Plains (in Western Nebraska and North Texas particularly, like King County), were also very challenging.

With the Democratic sweep map, I used quite a few older elections (Texas is the 1964 Attorney General race, for instance) so it wasn't much of an issue. I did have to do some swings for existing races though, which I will likely have to do with the GOP sweep map as well. However, in the case of states like Mississippi and Alabama, the Republican would end up getting 85%+ of the vote if I swing existing elections so that they win every county, which is obviously absurd, but fits well considering these states are already solidly R and the GOP nominee must be winning over 80% of the national PV to win every county.