If Doug Jones narrowly loses, will it encourage Democrats elsewhere?
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  If Doug Jones narrowly loses, will it encourage Democrats elsewhere?
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Author Topic: If Doug Jones narrowly loses, will it encourage Democrats elsewhere?  (Read 1239 times)
I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« on: November 28, 2017, 06:39:49 PM »
« edited: November 28, 2017, 06:49:18 PM by ERM64man »

Alabama is so red that even a narrow loss for Doug Jones would be an impressive performance. Would this be encouraging for Democrats in other states that are less red (TX, IA, KS, LA, AZ, MO, GA, NC, MT, IN, SC, and AK)?
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Green Line
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« Reply #1 on: November 28, 2017, 06:41:38 PM »

There are some.. unique.. circumstances.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #2 on: November 28, 2017, 06:50:00 PM »

But things in Alabama are so messed up that if Doug Jones can't win there, why should they have any faith they can win in deep red America. Just sayin...
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #3 on: November 28, 2017, 06:57:59 PM »

But things in Alabama are so messed up that if Doug Jones can't win there, why should they have any faith they can win in deep red America. Just sayin...
Alabama is redder than all the other states I mentioned. It's because the states I mentioned (MT, AZ, IN, IA, AK, MO, KS, NC, LA, and SC) are far more likely to vote for a Democrat than Alabama.
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Former Kentuckian
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« Reply #4 on: November 28, 2017, 08:03:29 PM »

Alabama is so red that even a narrow loss for Doug Jones would be an impressive performance. Would this be encouraging for Democrats in other states that are less red (TX, IA, KS, LA, AZ, MO, GA, NC, MT, IN, SC, and AK)?

I think it would/will be incredibly discouraging. Roy Moore is being outraised and outspent, is politically isolated, and is literally accused of being a pedophile and a Democrat may still lose to him? It's hard to spin that into a positive.
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Beet
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« Reply #5 on: November 28, 2017, 08:09:54 PM »

Alabama is so red that even a narrow loss for Doug Jones would be an impressive performance. Would this be encouraging for Democrats in other states that are less red (TX, IA, KS, LA, AZ, MO, GA, NC, MT, IN, SC, and AK)?

I think it would/will be incredibly discouraging. Roy Moore is being outraised and outspent, is politically isolated, and is literally accused of being a pedophile and a Democrat may still lose to him? It's hard to spin that into a positive.

Exactly. The Democrats can’t rely on scandal. Not every Republican is a pedophile. And if one can be one and still get elected, what hope do other Democrats have? On the one hand they might not be running in Alabama. On the other hand, they may not be running against pedophiles either. And many of them are running in areas almost as Republican as Alabama, like Tester, Donnelly, Manchin, and McCaskill.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #6 on: November 28, 2017, 08:27:48 PM »

Alabama is so red that even a narrow loss for Doug Jones would be an impressive performance. Would this be encouraging for Democrats in other states that are less red (TX, IA, KS, LA, AZ, MO, GA, NC, MT, IN, SC, and AK)?

I think it would/will be incredibly discouraging. Roy Moore is being outraised and outspent, is politically isolated, and is literally accused of being a pedophile and a Democrat may still lose to him? It's hard to spin that into a positive.

Exactly. The Democrats can’t rely on scandal. Not every Republican is a pedophile. And if one can be one and still get elected, what hope do other Democrats have? On the one hand they might not be running in Alabama. On the other hand, they may not be running against pedophiles either. And many of them are running in areas almost as Republican as Alabama, like Tester, Donnelly, Manchin, and McCaskill.
Montana, Indiana, and Missouri are very Republican, but nowhere near as Republican as Alabama.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: November 28, 2017, 08:28:44 PM »

Alabama is so red that even a narrow loss for Doug Jones would be an impressive performance. Would this be encouraging for Democrats in other states that are less red (TX, IA, KS, LA, AZ, MO, GA, NC, MT, IN, SC, and AK)?

I think it would/will be incredibly discouraging. Roy Moore is being outraised and outspent, is politically isolated, and is literally accused of being a pedophile and a Democrat may still lose to him? It's hard to spin that into a positive.

Exactly. The Democrats can’t rely on scandal. Not every Republican is a pedophile. And if one can be one and still get elected, what hope do other Democrats have? On the one hand they might not be running in Alabama. On the other hand, they may not be running against pedophiles either. And many of them are running in areas almost as Republican as Alabama, like Tester, Donnelly, Manchin, and McCaskill.
Montana, Indiana, and Missouri are very Republican, but nowhere near as Republican as Alabama.

And yeah, Manchin is finished.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #8 on: November 28, 2017, 08:37:18 PM »

Alabama is so red that even a narrow loss for Doug Jones would be an impressive performance. Would this be encouraging for Democrats in other states that are less red (TX, IA, KS, LA, AZ, MO, GA, NC, MT, IN, SC, and AK)?

I think it would/will be incredibly discouraging. Roy Moore is being outraised and outspent, is politically isolated, and is literally accused of being a pedophile and a Democrat may still lose to him? It's hard to spin that into a positive.

Exactly. The Democrats can’t rely on scandal. Not every Republican is a pedophile. And if one can be one and still get elected, what hope do other Democrats have? On the one hand they might not be running in Alabama. On the other hand, they may not be running against pedophiles either. And many of them are running in areas almost as Republican as Alabama, like Tester, Donnelly, Manchin, and McCaskill.
Montana, Indiana, and Missouri are very Republican, but nowhere near as Republican as Alabama.

And yeah, Manchin is finished.
Manchin is still leading in the polls against both Morrisey and Jenkins.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: November 28, 2017, 11:49:29 PM »

Alabama is so red that even a narrow loss for Doug Jones would be an impressive performance. Would this be encouraging for Democrats in other states that are less red (TX, IA, KS, LA, AZ, MO, GA, NC, MT, IN, SC, and AK)?

I think it would/will be incredibly discouraging. Roy Moore is being outraised and outspent, is politically isolated, and is literally accused of being a pedophile and a Democrat may still lose to him? It's hard to spin that into a positive.

Exactly. The Democrats can’t rely on scandal. Not every Republican is a pedophile. And if one can be one and still get elected, what hope do other Democrats have? On the one hand they might not be running in Alabama. On the other hand, they may not be running against pedophiles either. And many of them are running in areas almost as Republican as Alabama, like Tester, Donnelly, Manchin, and McCaskill.
Montana, Indiana, and Missouri are very Republican, but nowhere near as Republican as Alabama.

And yeah, Manchin is finished.
Manchin is still leading in the polls against both Morrisey and Jenkins.

Doesn't matter. Pryor and Landrieu had bigger leads in 2013. He's done.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #10 on: November 29, 2017, 04:41:21 AM »

Alabama is so red that even a narrow loss for Doug Jones would be an impressive performance. Would this be encouraging for Democrats in other states that are less red (TX, IA, KS, LA, AZ, MO, GA, NC, MT, IN, SC, and AK)?

I think it would/will be incredibly discouraging. Roy Moore is being outraised and outspent, is politically isolated, and is literally accused of being a pedophile and a Democrat may still lose to him? It's hard to spin that into a positive.

Exactly. The Democrats can’t rely on scandal. Not every Republican is a pedophile. And if one can be one and still get elected, what hope do other Democrats have? On the one hand they might not be running in Alabama. On the other hand, they may not be running against pedophiles either. And many of them are running in areas almost as Republican as Alabama, like Tester, Donnelly, Manchin, and McCaskill.
Montana, Indiana, and Missouri are very Republican, but nowhere near as Republican as Alabama.

And yeah, Manchin is finished.
Manchin is still leading in the polls against both Morrisey and Jenkins.

Doesn't matter. Pryor and Landrieu had bigger leads in 2013. He's done.

Different circumstances this time around though..
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: November 29, 2017, 01:29:21 PM »

Alabama is so red that even a narrow loss for Doug Jones would be an impressive performance. Would this be encouraging for Democrats in other states that are less red (TX, IA, KS, LA, AZ, MO, GA, NC, MT, IN, SC, and AK)?

I think it would/will be incredibly discouraging. Roy Moore is being outraised and outspent, is politically isolated, and is literally accused of being a pedophile and a Democrat may still lose to him? It's hard to spin that into a positive.

Exactly. The Democrats can’t rely on scandal. Not every Republican is a pedophile. And if one can be one and still get elected, what hope do other Democrats have? On the one hand they might not be running in Alabama. On the other hand, they may not be running against pedophiles either. And many of them are running in areas almost as Republican as Alabama, like Tester, Donnelly, Manchin, and McCaskill.
Montana, Indiana, and Missouri are very Republican, but nowhere near as Republican as Alabama.

And yeah, Manchin is finished.
Manchin is still leading in the polls against both Morrisey and Jenkins.

Doesn't matter. Pryor and Landrieu had bigger leads in 2013. He's done.

Different circumstances this time around though..

Yeah, I know. I'm just saying that leading in the polls a year out means nothing.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #12 on: November 29, 2017, 02:06:52 PM »

I think Kander should be more of a motivation/inspiration. He did better in MO than Obama 2012 and came within 3 points despite Trump winning the state by almost 20.
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #13 on: November 29, 2017, 03:31:56 PM »

And many of them are running in areas almost as Republican as Alabama, like Tester



Seriously though, I doubt the outcome of the election (regardless of who wins) will have any impact on other races in 2018 in the end.

MT is Republican for different reasons than Alabama is though, and it's way more elastic & open to ticket-splitting.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #14 on: November 29, 2017, 04:24:00 PM »

Alabama is the most inelastic red state I can think of. Steve Bullock could never win in Alabama. In Alabama, Bullock would lose by 20+%.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: November 29, 2017, 04:32:16 PM »

MT is Republican for different reasons than Alabama is though, and it's way more elastic & open to ticket-splitting.

I know, hence the picture. I doubt someone like Tester would be able to get reelected in any other "red" state save for MO or maybe WV.

Last time I checked Tester is a member of the anti white hate group, so he'd stand no chance in WV.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #16 on: November 30, 2017, 04:22:52 PM »

I'm almost positive it accelerates the Democratic trend in CA, AZ, GA, and VA.
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VPH
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« Reply #17 on: November 30, 2017, 05:13:30 PM »

There are some.. unique.. circumstances.

It also shows the merit in making sure there's a credible candidate in even the most uphill battles. Politics is a game of uncertainty!
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #18 on: November 30, 2017, 05:18:31 PM »

I'm almost positive it accelerates the Democratic trend in CA, AZ, GA, and VA.
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mcmikk
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« Reply #19 on: November 30, 2017, 07:58:13 PM »

There are some.. unique.. circumstances.

It also shows the merit in making sure there's a credible candidate in even the most uphill battles. Politics is a game of uncertainty!
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #20 on: November 30, 2017, 08:24:07 PM »

Alabama is so red that even a narrow loss for Doug Jones would be an impressive performance. Would this be encouraging for Democrats in other states that are less red (TX, IA, KS, LA, AZ, MO, GA, NC, MT, IN, SC, and AK)?

I think it would/will be incredibly discouraging. Roy Moore is being outraised and outspent, is politically isolated, and is literally accused of being a pedophile and a Democrat may still lose to him? It's hard to spin that into a positive.

Exactly. The Democrats can’t rely on scandal. Not every Republican is a pedophile. And if one can be one and still get elected, what hope do other Democrats have? On the one hand they might not be running in Alabama. On the other hand, they may not be running against pedophiles either. And many of them are running in areas almost as Republican as Alabama, like Tester, Donnelly, Manchin, and McCaskill.
Montana, Indiana, and Missouri are very Republican, but nowhere near as Republican as Alabama.

And yeah, Manchin is finished.

Manchin should eat a lump of coal on the debate stage to win over WV voters
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IceSpear
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« Reply #21 on: November 30, 2017, 08:26:10 PM »
« Edited: November 30, 2017, 08:31:32 PM by IceSpear »

Alabama is so red that even a narrow loss for Doug Jones would be an impressive performance. Would this be encouraging for Democrats in other states that are less red (TX, IA, KS, LA, AZ, MO, GA, NC, MT, IN, SC, and AK)?

I think it would/will be incredibly discouraging. Roy Moore is being outraised and outspent, is politically isolated, and is literally accused of being a pedophile and a Democrat may still lose to him? It's hard to spin that into a positive.

Exactly. The Democrats can’t rely on scandal. Not every Republican is a pedophile. And if one can be one and still get elected, what hope do other Democrats have? On the one hand they might not be running in Alabama. On the other hand, they may not be running against pedophiles either. And many of them are running in areas almost as Republican as Alabama, like Tester, Donnelly, Manchin, and McCaskill.
Montana, Indiana, and Missouri are very Republican, but nowhere near as Republican as Alabama.

And yeah, Manchin is finished.

Manchin should eat a lump of coal on the debate stage to win over WV voters

Nick Rahall metaphorically did that in 2014. Didn't matter. Still got crushed because he was a member of the anti white hate group.
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