2016: Clinton/Manchin (D-NY/WV) vs. Trump/Pence (R-NY/IN)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 06:38:05 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  2016: Clinton/Manchin (D-NY/WV) vs. Trump/Pence (R-NY/IN)
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2016: Clinton/Manchin (D-NY/WV) vs. Trump/Pence (R-NY/IN)  (Read 586 times)
WestVegeta
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 364
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: -2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 16, 2017, 11:41:18 AM »

I think having the Clinton's longtime friend and centrist Sen. Manchin as her VP could increase WWC appeal to the point where PA and MI go Democrat, and WV comes extremely close to flipping for Hillary (Manchin's WWC appeal is intensified here, and with him as VP she never says "we're going to put a lot of coal miners out of business!") but ultimately doesn't.

Discuss?


Logged
Lechasseur
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,767


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 16, 2017, 12:48:05 PM »

I think having the Clinton's longtime friend and centrist Sen. Manchin as her VP could increase WWC appeal to the point where PA and MI go Democrat, and WV comes extremely close to flipping for Hillary (Manchin's WWC appeal is intensified here, and with him as VP she never says "we're going to put a lot of coal miners out of business!") but ultimately doesn't.

Discuss?




Clinton would also take Wisconsin and maybe Florida
Logged
WestVegeta
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 364
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: -2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 16, 2017, 01:01:20 PM »

I only changed PA and MI because they were the closest margins of defeat. She could maybe pick up WI because of the WWC appeal, but idk about Florida.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,919
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 16, 2017, 02:40:49 PM »

I think there wouldn't be a big difference. In most cases, the effects of a running mate are overrated. There are only few exceptions in history, like Palin doing harm for McCain and LBJ helping JFK.
Logged
America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 16, 2017, 02:47:44 PM »

I think there wouldn't be a big difference. In most cases, the effects of a running mate are overrated. There are only few exceptions in history, like Palin doing harm for McCain and LBJ helping JFK.

At the very least, I think Clintons wins a few counties in West Virginia and Kentucky with Manchin as her running mate.
Logged
WestVegeta
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 364
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: -2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 16, 2017, 03:20:10 PM »

I think there wouldn't be a big difference. In most cases, the effects of a running mate are overrated. There are only few exceptions in history, like Palin doing harm for McCain and LBJ helping JFK.

i think that maybe by selecting a West Virginian who errs to towards the Blue Dog side of the party would help offset that "liberal elitist who wants to steal all our jobs" image, and it could be enough to turn 50,000 or so votes in two states for her, from people who didn't like Trump as a person but thought they'd lose their livelihoods under Clinton.
Logged
bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,617
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 16, 2017, 06:38:48 PM »



Trump still wins
Logged
AtorBoltox
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,044


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 16, 2017, 08:13:57 PM »

Progressive enthusiasm for Clinton is even lower than it was in real life, loses Minnesota and New Hampshire
Logged
GoTfan
GoTfan21
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,711
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 16, 2017, 08:17:47 PM »

Progressive enthusiasm for Clinton is even lower than it was in real life, loses Minnesota and New Hampshire

This. It would destory whatever following she had with the left, as well as alienating women who find Manchin's stance on Planned Parenthood troubling.
Logged
The Govanah Jake
Jake Jewvinivisk
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,234


Political Matrix
E: -2.39, S: -5.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 17, 2017, 10:28:02 AM »

Progressive enthusiasm for Clinton is even lower than it was in real life, loses Minnesota and New Hampshire

This. It would destory whatever following she had with the left, as well as alienating women who find Manchin's stance on Planned Parenthood troubling.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.03 seconds with 12 queries.