AL-DDHQ/Opinion Savvy: TIED (Post-Sexual Allegations), Jones +3 w/ Strange WI

[The Other Castro]

Roy Moore - 46%
Doug Jones - 46%
Other - 4%
Undecided - 4%

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https://s3.amazonaws.com/ddhqpolls/AL+Sen+11.9.17.pdf

Including Luther Strange as a Write-In candidate:

Doug Jones - 44%
Roy Moore - 41%
Luther Strange - 12%
Other - 1%
Undecided - 2%

"Have you read, seen, or heard any news stories in the past 24 hours regarding Senate candidate
Roy Moore, which allege that Moore engaged in a sexual encounter with a 14-year-old girl in
1979, when he was 32 years old?"

Yes - 82%
No - 9%
Unsure - 8%

"Given the current allegations made against Senate candidate Roy Moore, do you believe that he should withdraw himself as a candidate in the Senate election?"

Yes - 35%
No - 54%
Unsure - 11%

[swf541]

Thats some decent progress, very curious to see JMC's now since it would factor in some more time for the story to bake in

[ajc0918]

Great poll!

[IceSpear]

Yeah, if Jones can't even lead now at the height of the backlash he's definitely going to lose. I will now accept my accolades.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Thats some decent progress, very curious to see JMC's now since it would factor in some more time for the story to bake in

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Yeah, if Jones can't even lead now at the height of the backlash he's definitely going to lose. I will now accept my accolades.

There is a good chance Luther Strange will run as a write in, causing Jones to win 45-35-20

[Matty]

Yeah, if Jones can't even lead now at the height of the backlash he's definitely going to lose. I will now accept my accolades.

Yea, also I assume the non-response rate of moore voters may skew this a bit.

I don't think it is super scientific to have a one day poll, either.

[Gass3268]

#RoyMooreChildMolester will probably still win

[swf541]

Yeah, if Jones can't even lead now at the height of the backlash he's definitely going to lose. I will now accept my accolades.

Yea, also I assume the non-response rate of moore voters may skew this a bit.

I don't think it is super scientific to have a one day poll, either.

Agreed on the one day poll bit

[Yank2133]

Jones has a twenty point lead with women.

So that gives me some hope.

[IceSpear]

#RoyMooreChildMolester will probably still win

Petition to rename the state Pedobama.

[Oryxslayer]

Yeah, if Jones can't even lead now at the height of the backlash he's definitely going to lose. I will now accept my accolades.

Yea, also I assume the non-response rate of moore voters may skew this a bit.

I don't think it is super scientific to have a one day poll, either.

Agreed on the one day poll bit

Also only 500ish responses - higher margin of error.

[Holmes]

Yeah, if Jones can't even lead now at the height of the backlash he's definitely going to lose. I will now accept my accolades.

There is a good chance Luther Strange will run as a write in, causing Jones to win 45-35-20

More like 45-40-15.

[The Other Castro]

One thing to remember: Luther Strange is pretty easy to spell.

[Oryxslayer]

One thing to remember: Luther Strange is pretty easy to spell.

Does one need to write the full name? I seem to recall in Alaska, people only needed to write Murkowski. If people only need to write Strange - well that is incredibly easy.

[Roronoa D. Law]

I refuse to get my hopes up I don't believe this poll especially post Trump. These people are probably lying to throw off pollster or because of social desirability.

[BudgieForce]

One thing to remember: Luther Strange is pretty easy to spell.

And even if they spell it wrong, voter intent is the important part. I forget how many ballots Joe Miller challenged because Murkowski was spelt wrong and yet they still got counted.

[Tintrlvr]

Jones has a twenty point lead with women.

So that gives me some hope.

That's a fairly typical gender gap in the South because black women are so much more likely to vote than black men.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

It's a flash Opinion Savvy poll and you guys are taking it seriously? And yet you mock things like trafalgar and the polling company

lol

[swf541]

It's a flash Opinion Savvy poll and you guys are taking it seriously? And yet you mock things like trafalgar and the polling company

lol

Opinion savvy aint great but its definitely better than those two partisan hacks

also it being paired with ddhq gives it some legitimacy

[Holmes]

It's a flash Opinion Savvy poll and you guys are taking it seriously? And yet you mock things like trafalgar and the polling company

lol

Well those were both proven wrong Tuesday in Virginia.

[Pyro]

Trending to Jones as expected. However, only with Strange as a write-in is a D pickup in the cards.
One-day poll and all, take it with a grain of salt as others have implied. Also, 77% polled were over 45.

[heatcharger]

It's a flash Opinion Savvy poll and you guys are taking it seriously? And yet you mock things like trafalgar and the polling company

lol

 :
Wow, the overconfidence from Republicans. You'd think they'd learn from 2012 and 2017...

[IceSpear]

What it takes to elect a Republican Senator in Massachusetts: The Democratic candidate being a lazy milquetoast who didn't feel like campaigning during a poor political climate for the Democrats.

What it takes to elect a Democratic Senator in Alabama: The Republican candidate being a literal pedophile. N/A

And then people say I'm wrong when I say that blue states are more open minded and that many red states would vote for Satan (R) over Jesus (D).

[McGovernForPrez]

What it takes to elect a Republican Senator in Massachusetts: The Democratic candidate being a lazy milquetoast who didn't feel like campaigning during a poor political climate for the Democrats.

What it takes to elect a Democratic Senator in Alabama: The Republican candidate being a literal pedophile. N/A

And then people say I'm wrong when I say that blue states are more open minded and that many red states would vote for Satan (R) over Jesus (D).

Listen you aren't totally wrong but you're mind state is toxic and miserable to listen to. We get it, you think states like AL and WV are full of racist hicks.