VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)
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  VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)
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Author Topic: VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)  (Read 96158 times)
Holmes
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« Reply #1500 on: November 07, 2017, 10:35:57 PM »

The nice part is that even going into 2019, there should still be enough competitive districts for Democrats to make some gains. And if they can convince a Republican senator to go turncoat, they can completely redraw the HoD maps before 2019 - assuming the HoD is at least 50-50 in the end.

Democrats went to the Supreme Court to fight gerrymandering, right? So redrawing the map before 2019 would be pretty hypocritical.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #1501 on: November 07, 2017, 10:36:05 PM »

Berniecrat Lee Carter defeated the Virginia House Republican Whip.

Oh right, Berniecrats can't win in Virginia.

hahahahahahahahahaha
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1502 on: November 07, 2017, 10:37:43 PM »

Berniecrat Lee Carter defeated the Virginia House Republican Whip.

Oh right, Berniecrats can't win in Virginia.

Eternally bitter, lmao
Bernie Sanders could win all 50 states by 20 points and Jfern would complain that Hillary and the DNC prevented him from winning by 25.
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Cactus Jack
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« Reply #1503 on: November 07, 2017, 10:39:14 PM »

Berniecrat Lee Carter defeated the Virginia House Republican Whip.

Oh right, Berniecrats can't win in Virginia.

F**k off.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #1504 on: November 07, 2017, 10:40:27 PM »

Well, get used to it Republicans.  This is what you get when you make a deal with the devil.

What?! Republicans have won nearly every other special election since Trump took office.
They have held open seats, but haven't made any gains.

Virginia is not a gain for the D's.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1505 on: November 07, 2017, 10:40:34 PM »

 Can we not relitigate Bernie vs Hillary in this thread?  Please???
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1506 on: November 07, 2017, 10:41:21 PM »

Well, get used to it Republicans.  This is what you get when you make a deal with the devil.

What?! Republicans have won nearly every other special election since Trump took office.
They have held open seats, but haven't made any gains.

Virginia is not a gain for the D's.

The New Jersey Governor is.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #1507 on: November 07, 2017, 10:41:35 PM »

Are the next set of district lines going to be enacted before the next gubernatorial election in 2021, or will the next governor get to oversee that?
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Virginiá
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« Reply #1508 on: November 07, 2017, 10:41:56 PM »

Democrats went to the Supreme Court to fight gerrymandering, right? So redrawing the map before 2019 would be pretty hypocritical.

I was just thinking a redraw in general. The current HoD map is a gerrymander for Republicans, which makes tonight's results so much more impressive. It fell apart.

Democrats would really just have to draw a neutral map to take it in 2019.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #1509 on: November 07, 2017, 10:42:01 PM »

Well, get used to it Republicans.  This is what you get when you make a deal with the devil.

What?! Republicans have won nearly every other special election since Trump took office.
They have held open seats, but haven't made any gains.

Virginia is not a gain for the D's.

They might win the house of delegates, which they haven't done in 20 years.

Republicans can try to spin this, but the down the ballot numbers here are awful.
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Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #1510 on: November 07, 2017, 10:42:02 PM »

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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #1511 on: November 07, 2017, 10:42:40 PM »

Well, get used to it Republicans.  This is what you get when you make a deal with the devil.

What?! Republicans have won nearly every other special election since Trump took office.
They have held open seats, but haven't made any gains.

Virginia is not a gain for the D's.

The New Jersey Governor is.

Republicans were going to lose New Jersey regardless.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #1512 on: November 07, 2017, 10:42:57 PM »

Well, get used to it Republicans.  This is what you get when you make a deal with the devil.

What?! Republicans have won nearly every other special election since Trump took office.
They have held open seats, but haven't made any gains.

Virginia is not a gain for the D's.

No, but it a seat that Republicans failed to gain and they are stuck at zero gains for seats of any sort this year.
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Hydera
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« Reply #1513 on: November 07, 2017, 10:43:03 PM »

Berniecrat Lee Carter defeated the Virginia House Republican Whip.

Oh right, Berniecrats can't win in Virginia.

F**k off.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #1514 on: November 07, 2017, 10:43:12 PM »

No. He'll run for governor in 2021 or Senate again, or head the RNC again.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #1515 on: November 07, 2017, 10:44:24 PM »

JFern, no.

Berniecrats and Centrists won side by side, why can't you shut up and enjoy a victory?
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Virginiá
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« Reply #1516 on: November 07, 2017, 10:45:11 PM »


They might win the house of delegates, which they haven't done in 20 years.

Republicans can try to spin this, but the down the ballot numbers here are awful.

There is really no way to spin this result. This is a disaster for Republicans. This many incumbent lawmakers losing in a single election, this many seats, it just doesn't happen. At least not in Virginia. I stated above that the last time this many seats flipped at once was 1895. Republicans can't spin this.


Are the next set of district lines going to be enacted before the next gubernatorial election in 2021, or will the next governor get to oversee that?

It depends if Democrats can work some magic and get a Republican or two to go against their party. But if not, Democrats will either need to win the state Senate in 2019, and/or win the gubernatorial race in 2021, or hold the HoD.

Either way it's looking good that next redistricting will see at least neutral maps across the board.


JFern, no.

Berniecrats and Centrists won side by side, why can't you shut up and enjoy a victory?

It's amazing how negative this guy is. It's like all he can see in life.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1517 on: November 07, 2017, 10:46:53 PM »

JFern, no.

Berniecrats and Centrists won side by side, why can't you shut up and enjoy a victory?

Have a Constitutional convention, bring in a Parliament with proportional representation, and you can split apart.
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Shadows
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« Reply #1518 on: November 07, 2017, 10:47:45 PM »

JFern, no.

Berniecrats and Centrists won side by side, why can't you shut up and enjoy a victory?

3 out of 4 Our-Revolution candidates won in NJ, one beat the GOP Whip. Our-Revolution candidates went 7 for 7 in Somerville, Mass. Krasner is the new DA, multiple DSA folks won.

And Northan & Murphy both won comfortably. Good night for Democrats, for centrists & progressives. Bad night for Trump & conservatives. Nothing to be an unhappy about for anyone.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #1519 on: November 07, 2017, 10:48:34 PM »

nah darlings, don't care that much about a State I don't live in, would care more if say a house or senate race flipped since those actually impact my life Tongue (or a major texas race)
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Gustaf
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« Reply #1520 on: November 07, 2017, 10:49:06 PM »

Well, get used to it Republicans.  This is what you get when you make a deal with the devil.

What?! Republicans have won nearly every other special election since Trump took office.
They have held open seats, but haven't made any gains.

Virginia is not a gain for the D's.

The New Jersey Governor is.

Republicans were going to lose New Jersey regardless.

No, no, no. You're trying to have it both ways. How are we counting? Is it "flipping seats" or is it "winning races you're not favoured to win". You can't flip between metrics from case to case unless you're an idiot hack.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1521 on: November 07, 2017, 10:49:49 PM »

Virginia House of Delegates, D+15! One more to flip and the Democrat is leading. Absentee ballots still outstanding, and they are more Democrat than the election day vote.

Link: https://www.vpap.org/electionresults/house/
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Holmes
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« Reply #1522 on: November 07, 2017, 10:50:13 PM »

Turns out the winning coalition for Democrats is still moderates and progressives and you guys better learn to work together come 2019.

At least nothing can be as horrible as how the Republican caucus has governed, but still.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #1523 on: November 07, 2017, 10:50:19 PM »


They might win the house of delegates, which they haven't done in 20 years.

Republicans can try to spin this, but the down the ballot numbers here are awful.

There is really no way to spin this result. This is a disaster for Republicans. This many incumbent lawmakers losing in a single election, this many seats, it just doesn't happen. At least not in Virginia. I stated above that the last time this many seats flipped at once was 1895. Republicans can't spin this.


Are the next set of district lines going to be enacted before the next gubernatorial election in 2021, or will the next governor get to oversee that?

It depends if Democrats can work some magic and get a Republican or two to go against their party. But if not, Democrats will either need to win the state Senate in 2019, and/or win the gubernatorial race in 2021, or hold the HoD.

Either way it's looking good that next redistricting will see at least neutral maps across the board.


JFern, no.

Berniecrats and Centrists won side by side, why can't you shut up and enjoy a victory?

It's amazing how negative this guy is. It's like all he can see in life.

I don't believe I'm trying to spin anything? All I said was (in reference to a previous post) that Republicans have won nearly all the previous special elections since Trump took office and that the Virginia governorship is not a gain for the Democrats.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #1524 on: November 07, 2017, 10:50:50 PM »

JFern, no.

Berniecrats and Centrists won side by side, why can't you shut up and enjoy a victory?

3 out of 4 Our-Revolution candidates won in NJ, one beat the GOP Whip. Our-Revolution candidates went 7 for 7 in Somerville, Mass. Krasner is the new DA, multiple DSA folks won.

And Northan & Murphy both won comfortably. Good night for Democrats, for centrists & progressives. Bad night for Trump & conservatives. Nothing to be an unhappy about for anyone.

It's pretty surprising to me that there can't be a deal, formal or not, where Berniecrats get to run in safe seats and in return back moderates in swing seats.
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