VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[senyor_brownbear]

Aren't all these house of delegate seats up for re-election in 2019?  Wouldn't the GOP be able to take back control then if they lose now?

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Aren't all these house of delegate seats up for re-election in 2019?  Wouldn't the GOP be able to take back control then if they lose now?

I thought it was a different set of HoD seats.

[super6646]

Shocked that NJ is about as close as Virginia right now.

At one point it was closer than Virginia. Murphy flat-out sucks.

But boy, what a great day it is to be a Democrat!

Kinda ironic the "competitive" Virginia race is about as close as the blowout NJ race. Congrats to dems tonight, but you're not winning 2018 without a fight

[Dr. Arch]

Virginia HoD at D+11 and growing. Ds look poised to flip the HoD, exceeding WAYYY beyond expectations.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I still can't believe Ed lost Loudon by 20 points after winning it in 2014.

[Holmes]

Have absentees been counted yet?

[DFL]

Shocked that NJ is about as close as Virginia right now.

At one point it was closer than Virginia. Murphy flat-out sucks.

But boy, what a great day it is to be a Democrat!

Kinda ironic the "competitive" Virginia race is about as close as the blowout NJ race. Congrats to dems tonight, but you're not winning 2018 without a fight

You vs me super bring it on

[136or142]

Shocked that NJ is about as close as Virginia right now.

At one point it was closer than Virginia. Murphy flat-out sucks.

But boy, what a great day it is to be a Democrat!

Kinda ironic the "competitive" Virginia race is about as close as the blowout NJ race. Congrats to dems tonight, but you're not winning 2018 without a fight

The Republican areas in New Jersey have come in earlier than the Democratic areas.

[Nyvin]

Aren't all these house of delegate seats up for re-election in 2019?  Wouldn't the GOP be able to take back control then if they lose now?

I thought it was a different set of HoD seats.

No, all 100 seats are up every two (odd) years.

[MasterJedi]

Virginia HoD at D+11 and growing. Ds look poised to flip the HoD, exceeding WAYYY beyond expectations.

Not paying that close of attention so I don't know which one but NYT has it D +12 now.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Shocked that NJ is about as close as Virginia right now.

At one point it was closer than Virginia. Murphy flat-out sucks.

But boy, what a great day it is to be a Democrat!

Kinda ironic the "competitive" Virginia race is about as close as the blowout NJ race. Congrats to dems tonight, but you're not winning 2018 without a fight

Guys, Hudson County (Jersey City) is less than 20% in.  Even Essex has 200 precincts out.

[Dr. Arch]

Virginia HoD at D+11 and growing. Ds look poised to flip the HoD, exceeding WAYYY beyond expectations.

Not paying that close of attention so I don't know which one but NYT has it D +12 now.

Following VPAP right now.

Edit: It's at +12 now.

[Oryxslayer]

Aren't all these house of delegate seats up for re-election in 2019?  Wouldn't the GOP be able to take back control then if they lose now?

I thought it was a different set of HoD seats.

No, all 100 seats are up every two (odd) years.

Yes, but the 2019 elections have even lower turnout then 2017, and traditionally are even more influenced by the white house. Dems could loose HoD seats but it is more likely they gain/hold their current gains.

speaking of which:

Update
seat  D  R  precincts
02: 63-37, 96% Called D + 1 by NYT
10: 52-48, 100% D + 2
12: 54-46, 94% D +3
13: 55-45, 95% D + 4
21: 53-47, 95%
26: 47-53, 96% Called R Hold
27: 50-50, 95%
28* out of left field: 50-50, goes to probable recount
31: 54-45, 96% D + 5
32: 59-42, 100% D + 6
33: 45-55, 100% Called R Hold
40: 50-50, 87%
42: 61-39, 89% D + 7
50: 55-45, 94% D + 8
51: 53-47, 95% D + 9
62: 48-52, 92%
67:58-42, 95% D + 10
68: 51-49, 93%
72: 53-47, 96% D + 11
73: 52-48, 96% D + 12
84* new addition: 50-50, 89%
85: 51-49, 94%
87: 62-38, 93% Called D Hold
93: 60-40, 100% Called D Hold
94: 49-49, 100%, goes to probable recount
100: 48-52, 100% Called R Hold

Dems are probably on tract to tie/take the chamber, or at least come close enough to take it in 2019.

[Hydera]

hemmmmm.....

[Antonio the Sixth]

Right now Dems are leading in exactly 50 HoD seats...

[GlobeSoc]

Could provisional ballots flip Nelson county?

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Aren't all these house of delegate seats up for re-election in 2019?  Wouldn't the GOP be able to take back control then if they lose now?

I thought it was a different set of HoD seats.

No, all 100 seats are up every two (odd) years.

Why aren't the State Senate and HOD seats held at the same time? Was it some bizarre scheme by the state Dixiecrats back in the day to help shield the state Democrats from Republican federal landslides?

[super6646]

Shocked that NJ is about as close as Virginia right now.

At one point it was closer than Virginia. Murphy flat-out sucks.

But boy, what a great day it is to be a Democrat!

Kinda ironic the "competitive" Virginia race is about as close as the blowout NJ race. Congrats to dems tonight, but you're not winning 2018 without a fight

You vs me super bring it on

I'm Canadian. We can bitch a little bit and enjoy a beer afterwards. XD

Seriously America, start getting along better. We need you to :-p

[Shadows]

Dems have won 47, leading in 4 (51). GOP will win 2-3 close seats by less than 1%, probably will go to a recount !

[Gass3268]

Northam could still win Chesterfield County, the absentee vote has yet to be entered.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION: DEMS GET DISTRICT 21

21    53%Kelly Convirs-Fowler DEM.    47%Ronald Villanueva* REP.   95%


R 47
D 47 (Net: D + 13)

Districts called(D):
13, 10, 32, 2, 50, 34, 87, 93, 51, 31, 73, 42, 12, 67, 72, 21

Districts Called (R): 62, 100, 28, 26, 33, 83

Undecided: 27 (recount likely), 40, 68, 84, 85, 94 (recount likely)

[Cactus Jack]

Sweet holy s**t, I come back from work and a trip to the store and I'm greeted by a VAGOP doomsday.

I predicted Northam+9 and it looks like the final margin will be Northam+8.4. I think I'll frontend-load that case of Dos Equis in celebration now.

[Oryxslayer]

Aren't all these house of delegate seats up for re-election in 2019?  Wouldn't the GOP be able to take back control then if they lose now?

I thought it was a different set of HoD seats.

No, all 100 seats are up every two (odd) years.

Yes, but the 2019 elections have even lower turnout then 2017, and traditionally are even more influenced by the white house. Dems could loose HoD seats but it is more likely they gain/hold their current gains.

speaking of which:

Update
seat  D  R  precincts
02: 63-37, 96% Called D + 1 by NYT
10: 52-48, 100% D + 2
12: 54-46, 94% D +3
13: 55-45, 95% D + 4
21: 53-47, 95%
26: 47-53, 96% Called R Hold
27: 50-50, 95%
28* out of left field: 50-50, goes to probable recount
31: 54-45, 96% D + 5
32: 59-42, 100% D + 6
33: 45-55, 100% Called R Hold
40: 50-50, 87%
42: 61-39, 89% D + 7
50: 55-45, 94% D + 8
51: 53-47, 95% D + 9
62: 48-52, 92%
67:58-42, 95% D + 10
68: 51-49, 93%
72: 53-47, 96% D + 11
73: 52-48, 96% D + 12
84* new addition: 50-50, 89%
85: 51-49, 94%
87: 62-38, 93% Called D Hold
93: 60-40, 100% Called D Hold
94: 49-49, 100%, goes to probable recount
100: 48-52, 100% Called R Hold

Dems are probably on tract to tie/take the chamber, or at least come close enough to take it in 2019.

21st is now D + 13.

[OneJ]

The first Latina AND the first Asian-American woman to be elected in the VA HoD. That's amazing!

[Kamala]

Take away Fairfax County, and Northam still wins.