VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[Lachi]

This is an absolute landslide for Virginia...

[136or142]

Brucer Rauner, Charlie Baker, and Larry Hogan are probably quaking in their boots right now, especially Bruce.

Baker is popular in MA....he is safe.

Yea come on. He has a 70% approval rating and is fairly popular. He shouldn't have much worrying for 2018.

No Republican in a Clinton state is safe, even in a gubernatorial race. I definitely think he's still favored, though.

Don't forget though that when they're up for reelection in 2018, Trump will have completed MAGA.

[Crumpets]

Fun fact: 10 Republican-held House of Delegates seats went uncontested this year. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

[PragmaticPopulist]

Brucer Rauner, Charlie Baker, and Larry Hogan are probably quaking in their boots right now, especially Bruce.

Baker is popular in MA....he is safe.

Yea come on. He has a 70% approval rating and is fairly popular. He shouldn't have much worrying for 2018.

No Republican in a Clinton state is safe, even in a gubernatorial race. I definitely think he's still favored, though.

MD is very inelastic. Hogan may have a small advantage, but could easily be the next Ehrlich.

[Bidenworth2020]

Northam is almost 200k votes up.

thats hilldogs margin lol

[Oryxslayer]

Update
seat  D  R  precincts
02: 63-37, 96% Called D + 1 by NYT
10: 52-48, 97% D + 2
12: 54-46, 91% D +3
13: 55-45, 95% D + 4
21: 54-47, 40%
26: 47-53, 96% Called R Hold
27: 50-50, 95% (finally got correct returns)
31: 54-45, 96% D + 5
32: 59-41, 96% D + 6
33: 45-55, 97% Called R Hold
40: 50-50, 87%
42: 61-39, 84% D + 7
50: 55-45, 94% D + 8
51: 53-47, 95% D + 9
62: 48-52, 92%
67:58-42, 90% D + 10
68: 51-49, 86%
72: 52-48, 89%
73: 52-48, 96%
85: 51-49, 72%
87: 63-37, 90% Called D Hold
93: 60-40, 96%
94: 49-49, 96%
100: 47-53, 97% Called R Hold

Dems are probably on tract to tie/take the chamber, or at least come close enough to take it in 2019.

HD 93 was called D Hold.

[Gass3268]

Where is Greedo The Hunter?

[swf541]

Where is Greedo The Hunter?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Where is Greedo The Hunter?

Han shot him.

[Virginiá]

Let it be known that if Democrats win the HoD, it's a faint possibility they could flip a Republican state Senator to their party or get them to retire by promising a judicial position, since they could vote that person in via the legislature. Either that or get their vote on redrawing the HoD map. After all, Republicans only hold the state Senate by 1 seat (since lt gov breaks the tie).

VA Republicans could finally lose their status in the legislature long-term if Democrats win the HoD.

@heatcharger: what do you think of this idea?

[heatcharger]

What about henster and LimoLiberal lol? I can't believe it. We just have to take out Dick Black and we have control of all of Virginia again.

[Dr. Arch]

Where is Greedo The Hunter?

Figuring out how to say Northam+8 is no more than 3 either way.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Remember when Herring was supposed to be the one with the biggest win?

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION: CALLING DISTRICT 72 FOR DEMS

72    53%Schuyler VanValkenburg DEM.    47%Edward Whitlock REP.   93%


Tie at 47 now. Dems at a net gain of +13 per my projections.

Districts called(D): 27,13, 10, 32, 2, 50, 34, 87, 93, 51, 31, 73, 42, 12, 67, 72

Districts Called (R): 62, 100, 28, 26, 33, 83

[Lachi]

Where is Greedo The Hunter?

And Dfwlibertylover

Crying, hopefully.

[Crumpets]

I was misreading the New York Times results page and in the last minute went from "How the heck do people see the Democrats winning the HoD?" to "Holy schlamoli! The Democrats might actually be on track to win the HoD!"

[AndyHogan14]

What happens if the House of Delegates ends up with a 50-50 tie? Who is the tie breaker?

[Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God]

What happens if the House of Delegates ends up with a 50-50 tie? Who is the tie breaker?

Fairfax.

[_]

For anyone wondering where the Rs are, I'm here and I'm laughing.

Great freaking Job Tonight VA Dems, I'm betting you take the HOD.

CONGRATS DANICA ON BEING THE FIRST MEMBER OF THE TEAM ELECTED IN VA!

[Yank2133]

What about henster and LimoLiberal lol? I can't believe it. We just have to take out Dick Black and we have control of all of Virginia again.

It is a glorious day for the commonwealth!

[Roronoa D. Law]

Considering what happened in Virginia tonight i'm not all that interest in Maryland I mean Democrat have super majorities there. What about North Carolina? Charlotte swing was huge.

[Panhandle Progressive]

Where is Greedo The Hunter?

lol called this....and called the strong Dem outcome. Yeah, I'm that good.

[AndyHogan14]

What happens if the House of Delegates ends up with a 50-50 tie? Who is the tie breaker?

Fairfax.

So, he has the tie-break for both the HOD and Senate?

[GeorgiaModerate]

What happens if the House of Delegates ends up with a 50-50 tie? Who is the tie breaker?

The Lt. Governor.

[libertpaulian]

Charlotte, NC elected its first black woman mayor (who I assume is a Dem).

Northam wins and Dems make gains in the VA HOD.

Murphy picks up the NJ seat for the Dems, and the Dems are likely to increase their margins in the NJ legislature.

De Blasio wins re-election.

Larry Krasner wins the DA spot in Philly.

The first female (Dem) mayor elected in Manchester, NH.


If I was a Republican, tonight would be misery for me.