VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[libertpaulian]

Gillespie is significantly underperforming Vogel and Adams. A great blow against resentful white identity politics. Thank you Virginia!

Where have YOU been?!  I haven't seen you post in almost a year!

[Pericles]

Wasserman has the Dems in the lead to pick up the HoD.

[IceSpear]

Gillespie is significantly underperforming Vogel and Adams. A great blow against resentful white identity politics. Thank you Virginia!

Where have YOU been?!  I haven't seen you post in almost a year!

I came back a few weeks ago, you're late.

[Nyvin]

It's looking pretty secure for dems to pickup 16 seats,  maybe five more.

The seats to watch are 40, 27, 84, 85, 94. 

It looks like the HoD will pretty darn close to 50-50 split.

[libertpaulian]

Brucer Rauner, Charlie Baker, and Larry Hogan are probably quaking in their boots right now, especially Bruce.

[Classic Conservative]

Gillespie is significantly underperforming Vogel and Adams. A great blow against resentful white identity politics. Thank you Virginia!

The funny thing is that Vogel and Adams campaigned with Stewart.

--Anyways this is some scary ass sh**t for my party specifically in those delegate races, because the base is not motivated in this off year and the Democrats, specifically in urban areas are very motivated. Should scare the living daylights for my party specifically in these swing districts.

[Holmes]

Brucer Rauner, Charlie Baker, and Larry Hogan are probably quaking in their boots right now, especially Bruce.

Hogan should be sweating. Rauner should already be packing his things. Baker isn't in any serious danger, though.

[Kamala]

I regret nothing about my earlier statements, Gillespie will always be Governor in my heart.

He'll never be the governor! Stop being so delusional!

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Brucer Rauner, Charlie Baker, and Larry Hogan are probably quaking in their boots right now, especially Bruce.

Honestly, I think Hogan is more vulnerable than Rauner.

[Shadows]

Dems have won 42, leading in 9. If they hold on it will be 52-41, 2-3 races are extremely close. The HoD will go down to the wire.

[Pericles]

"You can't really look at tonight's results and conclude that Democrats are anything other than the current favorites to pick up the U.S. House in 2018."-David Wasserman

[Yank2133]

Brucer Rauner, Charlie Baker, and Larry Hogan are probably quaking in their boots right now, especially Bruce.

Baker is popular in MA....he is safe.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Northam is almost 200k votes up.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Sampling some RW sites...RedState has this as a top article: https://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2017/11/07/breaking-historic-democrat-wave-wiping-virginia-gop/

Not much to see on FreeRepublic's first page.  An announcement of Northam winning and an item about Danica Roem.

[Statilius the Epicurean]

I think what should scare Republicans is that Gillespie ran a pure culture war campaign and was smoked

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION: REPS HOLD DISTRICT 33 & 83

33    55%David LaRock* REP.    45%Tia Walbridge DEM.   97%

83    56%Chris Stolle* REP.    44%David Rose-Carmack DEM.   77%

Republicans back with a slight lead at 47 seats to the democrats 46 seats

Districts called(D): 27,13, 10, 32, 2, 50, 34, 87, 93, 51, 31, 73, 42, 12, 67

Districts Called (R): 62, 100, 28, 26, 33, 83

[The Govanah Jake]

Brucer Rauner, Charlie Baker, and Larry Hogan are probably quaking in their boots right now, especially Bruce.

Baker is popular in MA....he is safe.

Yea come on. He has a 70% approval rating and is fairly popular. He shouldn't have much worrying for 2018.

[Antonio the Sixth]

D O M I N A T I N G
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[Classic Conservative]

Brucer Rauner, Charlie Baker, and Larry Hogan are probably quaking in their boots right now, especially Bruce.

Baker is popular in MA....he is safe.

Even my liberal family who have a,'Resist Trump', yard sign are voting for Baker.

[Oryxslayer]

Update
seat  D  R  precincts
02: 63-37, 96% Called D + 1 by NYT
10: 52-48, 97% D + 2
12: 54-46, 91% D +3
13: 55-45, 95% D + 4
21: 54-47, 40%
26: 47-53, 96% Called R Hold
27: 50-50, 95% (finally got correct returns)
31: 54-45, 96% D + 5
32: 59-41, 96% D + 6
33: 45-55, 97% Called R Hold
40: 50-50, 87%
42: 61-39, 84% D + 7
50: 55-45, 94% D + 8
51: 53-47, 95% D + 9
62: 48-52, 92%
67:58-42, 90% D + 10
68: 51-49, 86%
72: 52-48, 89%
73: 52-48, 96%
85: 51-49, 72%
87: 63-37, 90% Called D Hold
93: 60-40, 96%
94: 49-49, 96%
100: 47-53, 97% Called R Hold

Dems are probably on tract to tie/take the chamber, or at least come close enough to take it in 2019.

[Pericles]

"I’d pick Democrats if forced to make a choice. But I’d have to do a lot more analysis before I was ready to conclude whether they were like 51 percent favorites or 75 percent favorites. My answer would have been pretty similar if you’d asked me 24 hours ago, by the way."-Nate Silver on if the Dems are favorites to win the House

[136or142]

Political consultant Ron Gunzberger who operates Politics1.com is advising Larry Hogan.  Hogan will be reelected easily.

[AtorBoltox]

Brucer Rauner, Charlie Baker, and Larry Hogan are probably quaking in their boots right now, especially Bruce.

I think they're all wise enough not to run white cultural grievance campaigns in their states

[libertpaulian]

Brucer Rauner, Charlie Baker, and Larry Hogan are probably quaking in their boots right now, especially Bruce.

Baker is popular in MA....he is safe.

The Dems are very likely to pick up the VA HOD...there is no such thing as "safe" if you're a Trump-era Republican.

[GeorgiaModerate]

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