VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[The Govanah Jake]

NYT says 14% for Hyra in Fairfax

NYT is glitching a lot tonight. It's really annoying.

Sad!

[cvparty]

where are you guys seeing northam having a huge lead? so confused rn

[TheSaint250]

Did we...did we actually win something?

What about those state legislature special elections?

[The Other Castro]

Calling it. Northam wins.

[Oryxslayer]

Some competitive HoD races with significant margins in:

         D   R
HD 2: 80-20, 22%
HD 13: 58-42, 35%
HD 27: 56-44, 45%
HD 31: 53 - 45, 23%
HD 50: 54 - 46 31%
HD 51: 45 - 55, 18%
HD 62: 51 - 49, 23%
HD 68: 44-56, 24%
HD 72: 57-43, 18
HD 73: 53-48, 22%
HD 87: 44-56, 7%
HD 93: 61-39, 32%

Update
         D   R     precincts
HD 21: 55-45, 20%
HD 27: 49-51, 55%
HD 31: 49-49, 27%
HD 32: 57-43, 50%
HD 33: 46-54, 26%
HD 50: 53-47, 50%
HD 62: 56-44, 38%
HD 68: 46-54, 31%
HD 85: 50-50, 22%
HD 87: 60-40, 45%

[JerryArkansas]

NYT says 14% for Hyra in Fairfax

That's likely a typo, like Giles country which has dems sweeping two precints

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

NYT now projecting a 6.5 win for Northam.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

I regret making a rating change from Likely D to Lean D in this race yesterday.

[erſatz-york]

Shame...


Why couldn't Hillary have won last November?

We'd be on our way to 60 senate seats and 40 governorships right now, a real realignment.

[IceSpear]

where are you guys seeing northam having a huge lead? so confused rn

It's not that he CURRENTLY has a huge lead, it's that he has a lead at all pre-Fairfax vote dump.

[swf541]

Wow were actually winning so far.....

[The Govanah Jake]

Ouch. Northam has nearly 60% in Loudoun with 70% in.

[Kamala]

How many HoD pickups? I think 10 is now solidly in the picture.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION: DEMS TAKE DISTRICT 32

32    59%David Reid DEM.    41%Thomas Greason* REP.   88%

Count at Rep 41 Dem 35

[Green Line]

Well, get used to it Republicans.  This is what you get when you make a deal with the devil.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Ouch. Northam has nearly 60% in Loudoun with 70% in.

Loudon was supposed to be Gillespie's strongest NOVA county...

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

How many HoD pickups? I think 10 is now solidly in the picture.

I've projected 4 so far: 27, 32, 10, 13

[MT Treasurer]

I regret making a rating change from Likely D to Lean D in this race yesterday.

I regret buying that this race was ever anything other than Safe D.

Also pretty devastating result for the GOP in the HoD.

[The Govanah Jake]

Vogel still holding on with 26%. Though narrower with 51-48%. Though with not much in NoVa Fairfax now as a increased chance of winning.

[heatcharger]

Roem (D) leads Marshall (R) by 1200 votes with 2 precincts left.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

If you're a Democrat right now, you've got to be bouncing off the freaking walls with excitement.

[Suburbia]

It looks like Northam will win the Virginia governorship in 2017.

Gillespie could run for a congressional seat or be a lobbyist or a businessman in the future.

[Tintrlvr]

I count 12 incumbent Republicans in the House of Delegates currently trailing in their reelection bids on WaPo's website (some of those are with just a few precincts in but others are well over 50% reporting). No incumbent Democrats are trailing. Did not look at open-seat races.

Edit: 13 incumbents trailing, was not counting Marshall because WaPo listed that race separately as a "Key Race".

[BudgieForce]

Holy sh**t...Quinnipiac might not have been far off.

[Alabama_Indy10]

Well, get used to it Republicans.  This is what you get when you make a deal with the devil.

What?! Republicans have won nearly every other special election since Trump took office.