VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[Kamala]

My experts are telling me Northam is winning over a lot of diabetic libertarians and recently divorced soccer moms, cutting into Gillespie's base. Expect a margin of +13 or +14 Northam.

[Rookie Yinzer]

MSNBC Exit Polls:
Gun Owners: 63-36 Gillespie
McAuliffe Approval: 53-43 Approve
Age of Voters: 66: 45 or over 34: Younger than 45
Confederate Monuments- Stay or Remove: 60-36: Stay
Trump's Role in Vote: 16- Voting for Trump 32- Voting Against Trump 49- Not a Factor

[DFL]

MSNBC Exit Polls:
Gun Owners: 63-36 Gillespie
McAuliffe Approval: 53-43 Approve
Age of Voters: 66: 45 or over 34: Younger than 45
Confederate Monuments- Stay or Remove: 60-36: Stay
Trump's Role in Vote: 16- Voting for Trump 32- Voting Against Trump 49- Not a Factor

Is this statewide?

[IceSpear]

The rain will create a hurricane with such force it will drag Guadagno into office with its mega coattails.

[mvd10]

MSNBC Exit Polls:
Gun Owners: 63-36 Gillespie
McAuliffe Approval: 53-43 Approve
Age of Voters: 66: 45 or over 34: Younger than 45
Confederate Monuments- Stay or Remove: 60-36: Stay
Trump's Role in Vote: 16- Voting for Trump 32- Voting Against Trump 49- Not a Factor

Northam is done

[swf541]

MSNBC Exit Polls:
Gun Owners: 63-36 Gillespie
McAuliffe Approval: 53-43 Approve
Age of Voters: 66: 45 or over 34: Younger than 45
Confederate Monuments- Stay or Remove: 60-36: Stay
Trump's Role in Vote: 16- Voting for Trump 32- Voting Against Trump 49- Not a Factor

Northam is done

Yep with his boss having a net 10 approval rating, surely signals doom......

[Rookie Yinzer]

MSNBC Exit Polls:
Gun Owners: 63-36 Gillespie
McAuliffe Approval: 53-43 Approve
Age of Voters: 66: 45 or over 34: Younger than 45
Confederate Monuments- Stay or Remove: 60-36: Stay
Trump's Role in Vote: 16- Voting for Trump 32- Voting Against Trump 49- Not a Factor

Is this statewide?

Yes. Contrary to the media narrative most people really don't care about Confederate monuments. There was a poll that had a plurality of black Americans wanting them to remain as is. It just does not resonate.

[InheritTheWind]

My uncle's dog's hairdresser's college roommate's second cousin is really good friends with Obama and he told me that Gillespie is going to win with 99 percent of the vote!!!

[Rookie Yinzer]

Ideology: 28- Liberal 39- Moderate 33-Conservative
Income:  23- under 50K 32 50-100K 45- 100K+
Most Important Issue: 37- Health Care 17- Guns 14- Immigration 14- Taxes

[Yank2133]

Ideology: 28- Liberal 39- Moderate 33-Conservative
Income:  23- under 50K 32 50-100K 45- 100K+
Most Important Issue: 37- Health Care 17- Guns 14- Immigration 14- Taxes

Medicaid expansion....

[Matty]

Trump's approvals seem higher than you'd expect

A lot of polls  had him in the 30s here

[henster]

Trump JA matches the Rasmussen poll. Which had him at 45/54.

[swf541]

Whats the point of releasing exit polling data collected before the post 5 voting rush?

[BudgieForce]

Whats the point of releasing exit polling data collected before the post 5 voting rush?

To make Henster and Limoliberal have panic attacks.

[Ebsy]

Really low conservative ideology number for Virginia.

[Adam the Gr8]

Whats the point of releasing exit polling data collected before the post 5 voting rush?

What else are we supposed to do?

[swf541]

Whats the point of releasing exit polling data collected before the post 5 voting rush?

What else are we supposed to do?

Well i guess your right we did need something to panic over

[The Other Castro]

Breaking: early exits right here

https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/928023885299281920

[Beet]

Well. After years of being mocked, made fun of, looked down on, and (I'm sure) gossiped about on the IRC and other backchannel places, the Forum is finally caught up to my level of anxiety in the past year. Once again, Beet is ahead of the curve. I'll let you guys know if I have any other flashes of brilliance.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Really low conservative ideology number for Virginia.

People who may have called themselves Conservative a few years ago may identify as Moderate in Trump's America?

[BudgieForce]

Nate Cohn says the Sienna poll also has Trump at -12.

[Kamala]

Really low conservative ideology number for Virginia.

People who may have called themselves Conservative a few years ago may identify as Moderate in Trump's America?

Most conservatives I know are proud to call themselves one.

[swf541]

Really low conservative ideology number for Virginia.

People who may have called themselves Conservative a few years ago may identify as Moderate in Trump's America?

Most conservatives I know are proud to call themselves one.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I love how the Trumpers over at predictit are taking this exit poll as a massive Gillespie win. Think Trump's approvals are good.

[Roronoa D. Law]

The NBC monument number seems reasonable I think a Marist poll showed AA split on the issue.