More likely to win: Doug Jones or Jane Raybould?

[I’m not Stu]

Which Democrat is more likely to win, Doug Jones or Jane Raybould?

[Cactus Jack]

Jones by a country mile. Nebraska is theoretically friendlier territory, but Fischer is both an incumbent and exists on an entirely different plane of existence from Moore in terms of electability.

[I’m not Stu]

Jones by a country mile. Nebraska is theoretically friendlier territory, but Fischer is both an incumbent and exists on an entirely different plane of existence from Moore in terms of electability.

Alabama is more inelastic. Alabama voters would vote for Moore no matter what. If Fischer is brought down by scandal or gets primaried, Raybould would certainly have a better chance.

[Cactus Jack]

Jones by a country mile. Nebraska is theoretically friendlier territory, but Fischer is both an incumbent and exists on an entirely different plane of existence from Moore in terms of electability.

Alabama is more inelastic. Alabama voters would vote for Moore no matter what. If Fischer is brought down by scandal or gets primaried, Raybould would certainly have a better chance.

I see your point, and it's highly likely that Republican turnout will be depressed in the event of a Krist victory next year, but it's still difficult for me to see Fischer weakening like that or losing the primary. I know this is the Age of Trump, but Fischer has done nothing to offend anybody, as far as I know.

[Ye We Can]

Jones by a country mile. Nebraska is theoretically friendlier territory, but Fischer is both an incumbent and exists on an entirely different plane of existence from Moore in terms of electability.

Alabama is more inelastic. Alabama voters would vote for Moore no matter what. If Fischer is brought down by scandal or gets primaried, Raybould would certainly have a better chance.

I see your point, and it's highly likely that Republican turnout will be depressed in the event of a Krist victory next year, but it's still difficult for me to see Fischer weakening like that or losing the primary. I know this is the Age of Trump, but Fischer has done nothing to offend anybody, as far as I know.

Even if Krist wins, and that's a big if, there'd be plenty of Krist/Fischer voters. I mean while it made sense given trends, she did bury Bob Kerrey in 2012. I think she's the safest Republican up in 2018.

[I’m not Stu]

Jones by a country mile. Nebraska is theoretically friendlier territory, but Fischer is both an incumbent and exists on an entirely different plane of existence from Moore in terms of electability.

Alabama is more inelastic. Alabama voters would vote for Moore no matter what. If Fischer is brought down by scandal or gets primaried, Raybould would certainly have a better chance.

I see your point, and it's highly likely that Republican turnout will be depressed in the event of a Krist victory next year, but it's still difficult for me to see Fischer weakening like that or losing the primary. I know this is the Age of Trump, but Fischer has done nothing to offend anybody, as far as I know.

Even if Krist wins, and that's a big if, there'd be plenty of Krist/Fischer voters. I mean while it made sense given trends, she did bury Bob Kerrey in 2012. I think she's the safest Republican up in 2018.

Barrasso is the safest Republican in 2018.

[Ye We Can]

Jones by a country mile. Nebraska is theoretically friendlier territory, but Fischer is both an incumbent and exists on an entirely different plane of existence from Moore in terms of electability.

Alabama is more inelastic. Alabama voters would vote for Moore no matter what. If Fischer is brought down by scandal or gets primaried, Raybould would certainly have a better chance.

I see your point, and it's highly likely that Republican turnout will be depressed in the event of a Krist victory next year, but it's still difficult for me to see Fischer weakening like that or losing the primary. I know this is the Age of Trump, but Fischer has done nothing to offend anybody, as far as I know.

Even if Krist wins, and that's a big if, there'd be plenty of Krist/Fischer voters. I mean while it made sense given trends, she did bury Bob Kerrey in 2012. I think she's the safest Republican up in 2018.

Barrasso is the safest Republican in 2018.

Second safe, because of weird Bannon Erik Prince stuff

[BuckeyeNut]

I don't know how many times it needs repeating, but Roy Moore could hold a KKK rally and still have a 100% shot at winning. So, by default, Raybould.

No, he couldn't.

It's very unlikely Jones wins, but special elections are hella strange.

[Santander]

I don't know how many times it needs repeating, but Roy Moore could hold a KKK rally and still have a 100% shot at winning. So, by default, Raybould.

[I’m not Stu]

Jones by a country mile. Nebraska is theoretically friendlier territory, but Fischer is both an incumbent and exists on an entirely different plane of existence from Moore in terms of electability.

Alabama is more inelastic. Alabama voters would vote for Moore no matter what. If Fischer is brought down by scandal or gets primaried, Raybould would certainly have a better chance.

I see your point, and it's highly likely that Republican turnout will be depressed in the event of a Krist victory next year, but it's still difficult for me to see Fischer weakening like that or losing the primary. I know this is the Age of Trump, but Fischer has done nothing to offend anybody, as far as I know.

Even if Krist wins, and that's a big if, there'd be plenty of Krist/Fischer voters. I mean while it made sense given trends, she did bury Bob Kerrey in 2012. I think she's the safest Republican up in 2018.

Barrasso is the safest Republican in 2018.

Second safe, because of weird Bannon Erik Prince stuff

Bannon is also looking for someone to challenge Fischer.

[IceSpear]

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