Why are Missouri primary results so extremely narrow?

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Barack Obama: 49.32% Hillary Clinton: 47.90%	John McCain: 32.95% Mike Huckabee: 31.53% Mitt Romney: 29.27%
Hillary Clinton: 49.61% Bernie Sanders: 49.36%	Donald Trump: 40.84% Ted Cruz: 40.63%

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

holy sh**t i didn't realize cruz vs trump was so close in missouri lol

i'm not really sure. i guess there's a lot of difference between members of the same party there?

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

holy sh**t i didn't realize cruz vs trump was so close in missouri lol

I don't even know where Cruz got all his voted from. Nearly all of his support must have been compacted in Kansas City, Springfield and Columbia.

[VPH]

holy sh**t i didn't realize cruz vs trump was so close in missouri lol

I don't even know where Cruz got all his voted from. Nearly all of his support must have been compacted in Kansas City, Springfield and Columbia.

I'm curious as to why much of SW MO was so strong for Cruz and not Trump

[100% pro-life no matter what]

holy sh**t i didn't realize cruz vs trump was so close in missouri lol

I don't even know where Cruz got all his voted from. Nearly all of his support must have been compacted in Kansas City, Springfield and Columbia.

I'm curious as to why much of SW MO was so strong for Cruz and not Trump

Neighboring areas of Kansas, Oklahoma, and Arkansas were also strongly for Cruz

[Rookie Yinzer]

I wonder why Hillary held up so well in the Southeastern corner of the state. Arkansas effect?

[VPH]

I wonder why Hillary held up so well in the Southeastern corner of the state. Arkansas effect?

Perhaps the open primary format meant that more people in these heavily D-registration counties crossed over to Trump, leaving more committed Democrats to support Hillary as opposed to anti-Hillary protest voting.

Or they're more similar in political culture to Southern White counties where Sanders bombed out.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

I wonder why Hillary held up so well in the Southeastern corner of the state. Arkansas effect?

It's a heavily black area.

[HAnnA MArin County]

I wonder why Hillary held up so well in the Southeastern corner of the state. Arkansas effect?

It's a heavily black area.

^^This.

Outside of St. Louis City, Pemiscot and Mississippi are the blackest counties in the state, and New Madrid and Scott counties aren't too far behind. I don't think there was an "Arkansas effect" during the 2016 primary insomuch as there was in 2008.

African American/Black Percentages By County  
1. St. Louis City (48.98%)
2. Pemiscot (26.67%)
3. Mississippi (23.84%)
4. Jackson (23.65%)
5. St. Louis County (23.20%)
6. New Madrid (15.74%)
7. Scott (11.32%)
8. DeKalb (11.28%)
9. Cole (11.08%)
10. Pulaski (10.87%)
11. Dunklin (9.64%)
12. Boone (9.19%)
13. Pike (7.17%)
14. Cape Girardeau (6.99%)
15. Cooper (6.82%)
16. Audrain (6.41%)
17. Randolph (5.81%)
18. Platte (5.76%)
19. Butler (5.22%)
20. Saline (5.21%)
21. Howard (5.20%)
22. Buchanan (5.13%)
23. Clay (5.06%)

I'm curious as to why much of SW MO was so strong for Cruz and not Trump

Bible Belt/Jesus voters. The counties in Southwest Missouri have significantly higher percentages of churchgoers than in Southeast Missouri. There was the perception that Cruz was the candidate for the Bible thumpers (look at how well he did with the Mormons), as we all know he exploited the Jesus card strong (remember his smug comment about New York values?) while Trump was talking more about jobs and the economy and "Make America Great Again" (I have to go wash my hands now after typing that).

[Hydera]

holy sh**t i didn't realize cruz vs trump was so close in missouri lol

I don't even know where Cruz got all his voted from. Nearly all of his support must have been compacted in Kansas City, Springfield and Columbia.

I'm curious as to why much of SW MO was so strong for Cruz and not Trump

That portion of Missouri is an anomaly and one of the rural areas in the state that his higher household income compared to that northern and southeastern regions of missouri. As we know working class populist voters in the republican primary tended to be more supportive of Trump and you could see a pattern of how lower income counties tended to be stronger for him compared to counties with higher incomes.

[HAnnA MArin County]

holy sh**t i didn't realize cruz vs trump was so close in missouri lol

I don't even know where Cruz got all his voted from. Nearly all of his support must have been compacted in Kansas City, Springfield and Columbia.

I'm curious as to why much of SW MO was so strong for Cruz and not Trump

That portion of Missouri is an anomaly and one of the rural areas in the state that his higher household income compared to that northern and southeastern regions of missouri. As we know working class populist voters in the republican primary tended to be more supportive of Trump and you could see a pattern of how lower income counties tended to be stronger for him compared to counties with higher incomes.

Very low cost of living in that quadrant of the state.

[nclib]

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In SE Missouri you mean?

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

Cruz winning the population areas helped him made that race extremely close. That is how Obama narrowly won the Primary in 2008 and almost in the general as well in 2008.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Barack Obama: 49.32% Hillary Clinton: 47.90%	John McCain: 32.95% Mike Huckabee: 31.53% Mitt Romney: 29.27%
Hillary Clinton: 49.61% Bernie Sanders: 49.36%	Donald Trump: 40.84% Ted Cruz: 40.63%

[UWS]

John McCain's win is notably due to his strong performance in the urban areas like in Saint Louis as well as in Kansas City and to the divide of the social evangelicals between Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee which made the difference in awarding aall the 58 delegates for John McCain: