NV-JMC: Tarkanian +6 in GOP primary

[The Other Castro]

Tarkanian - 44%
Heller - 38%
Undecided - 17%

http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/Nevada-Senate-Executive-Summary.pdf

[windjammer]

Hahahahaha

[Holmes]

YIKES

[BudgieForce]

Heller has the political instincts of a potato.

[Fudotei]

Wow it's almost like the GOP base is more conservative than the establishment, and moving to the establishment's left is a bad idea

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Heller has the political instincts of a potato.

[Person Man]

Heller has the political instincts of a potato.

An expensive potato?

[Skill and Chance]

I'm at a point where I think NV and AZ will both be Lean D by next October due to Tarkanian and Ward either winning or severely damaging Heller/McSally, but 4 or 5 of the Trump Dems could go down simultaneously (probably not Manchin, but Heitkamp, Brown, etc. are very overestimated here).

[MT Treasurer]

It's not as if Heller was going to hold this seat anyway, he's an extremely overrated candidate. Lean D, I guess (still think Heller wins the primary, though).

[IceSpear]

Heller has the political instincts of a potato.

[IceSpear]

It's not as if Heller was going to hold this seat anyway, he's an extremely overrated candidate. Lean D, I guess (still think Heller wins the primary, though).

Yeah seriously. He only barely beat Shelley Berkley of all people, because he was lucky enough that tons of Obama voters voted NOTA due to her corruption issues. And as others have said, he managed to pull a Blanche Lincoln and alienate left, right, and center during the healthcare debate. On top of that, CCM beat Heck (who was a much better candidate than Heller could ever be) despite it not being a great year for Dems overall.

[Holmes]

It's not as if Heller was going to hold this seat anyway, he's an extremely overrated candidate. Lean D, I guess (still think Heller wins the primary, though).

Yeah seriously. He only barely beat Shelley Berkley of all people, because he was lucky enough that tons of Obama voters voted NOTA due to her corruption issues. And as others have said, he managed to pull a Blanche Lincoln and alienate left, right, and center during the healthcare debate. On top of that, CCM beat Heck (who was a much better candidate than Heller could ever be) despite it not being a great year for Dems overall.

Yeah, because CCM is sickening and fierce but that has nothing to do with Heller being a sad loser.

[Maxwell]

Heller is gonna spend a finksload of money to beat Tarkanian by 0.3% of the vote, and my girl JACKY ROSEN gonna swing in and get herself that senate seat.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Cmon Tarky, hand this seat to the dems!

[SamTilden2020]

It's not as if Heller was going to hold this seat anyway, he's an extremely overrated candidate. Lean D, I guess (still think Heller wins the primary, though).

Yeah seriously. He only barely beat Shelley Berkley of all people, because he was lucky enough that tons of Obama voters voted NOTA due to her corruption issues. And as others have said, he managed to pull a Blanche Lincoln and alienate left, right, and center during the healthcare debate. On top of that, CCM beat Heck (who was a much better candidate than Heller could ever be) despite it not being a great year for Dems overall.

Yeah, seriously. She only beat Danny Tarkanian of all people, because she was lucky enough that tons of Trump voters voted Markowitz due to his weak campaigning. And as others have said, she managed to pull a Blanche Lincoln and alienate left, right, and center in her ideological contradiction.  On top of that, Heller beat Berkeley (who was a much better candidate than Rosen could ever be) despite it not being a great year for Republicans overall.

In all seriousness, the whole idea that a candidate is doomed due to a weak candidate idea can be applied to both Heller and Rosen.

With that being said though, if Tarkanian wins the primary, NV is doomed for the GOP.

[IceSpear]

It's not as if Heller was going to hold this seat anyway, he's an extremely overrated candidate. Lean D, I guess (still think Heller wins the primary, though).

Yeah seriously. He only barely beat Shelley Berkley of all people, because he was lucky enough that tons of Obama voters voted NOTA due to her corruption issues. And as others have said, he managed to pull a Blanche Lincoln and alienate left, right, and center during the healthcare debate. On top of that, CCM beat Heck (who was a much better candidate than Heller could ever be) despite it not being a great year for Dems overall.

Yeah, seriously. She only beat Danny Tarkanian of all people, because she was lucky enough that tons of Trump voters voted Markowitz due to his weak campaigning. And as others have said, she managed to pull a Blanche Lincoln and alienate left, right, and center in her ideological contradiction.  On top of that, Heller beat Berkeley (who was a much better candidate than Rosen could ever be) despite it not being a great year for Republicans overall.

In all seriousness, the whole idea that a candidate is doomed due to a weak candidate idea can be applied to both Heller and Rosen.

With that being said though, if Tarkanian wins the primary, NV is doomed for the GOP.

Your post doesn't really work considering a) Rosen's district is more Republican than Nevada overall and b) No serious person thinks Berkley is a better candidate than Rosen.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Excellent news for Rosen!