Less than 2 weeks out, your VA Gov race prediction.

[Panhandle Progressive]

All of the statewide races in VA will be easy holds for the party. The Democrats will win each by a minimum of 6% and a maximum of 10%. This is my final prediction.

[publicunofficial]

Northam by less than 1%

[Skill and Chance]

Northam by less than 1%

It's worth noting that if there is a recount/dispute situation in any state level VA election, either candidate can contest it to the state legislature and the legislature will choose the winner by majority vote of the entire legislature.  In any situation where a statewide race is too close to call, it will almost surely still have a substantial Republican majority.

[Panhandle Progressive]

Northam by less than 1%

It's worth noting that if there is a recount/dispute situation in any state level VA election, either candidate can contest it to the state legislature and the legislature will choose the winner by majority vote of the entire legislature.  In any situation where a statewide race is too close to call, it will almost surely still have a substantial Republican majority.

The 2013 VA AG race disproves this.

Obenshain (The Republican) had an election night lead of 1,200 votes. In the following days, as provisional ballots were counted, Herring narrowed the lead and ultimately overtook him. On November 25, the Virginia State Board of Elections certified the results and Herring was declared the winner by 1,103,777 votes to 1,103,612 - a difference of 165 votes out of more than 2.2 million cast, or 0.007%.

After the certification, Obenshain requested a recount, which began on December 16. Obenshain conceded the election on December 18, and later that day, the recount ended with Herring winning by 907 votes, or 0.04%. With Herring’s victory, Democrats held all five statewide offices — including both U.S. Senate seats — for the first time since 1970.

[Strudelcutie4427]

Might sound like a partisan hack, but Imma go Gillespie 48.8-48.3

[Mr.Phips]

Northam by less than 1%

It's worth noting that if there is a recount/dispute situation in any state level VA election, either candidate can contest it to the state legislature and the legislature will choose the winner by majority vote of the entire legislature.  In any situation where a statewide race is too close to call, it will almost surely still have a substantial Republican majority.

The sitting governor can't veto this?

[Skill and Chance]

Northam by less than 1%

It's worth noting that if there is a recount/dispute situation in any state level VA election, either candidate can contest it to the state legislature and the legislature will choose the winner by majority vote of the entire legislature.  In any situation where a statewide race is too close to call, it will almost surely still have a substantial Republican majority.

The sitting governor can't veto this?

No, although as was noted above, Republicans could have used this procedure in 2013 for AG but chose not to.

[JonHawk]

I think it will come within 1-2 points either way, but i think Northam takes it...barely.

Northam - 48.7
Gillipsie - 47.6
Hyra - 3.7

switch Northam and Gillespie around pls

[Senator-elect Spark]

Final Prediction:

Governor:

Ed Gillespie (R): 50.24%
Ralph Northam (D): 48.86%

Gillespie +1.38%

With third parties:

Ed Gillespie (R): 49.21%
Ralph Northam (D):  49.07%
Cliff Hyra (L): 1.3%

Gillespie +0.14%

Lt. Governor:

Justin Fairfax (D): 47.846%
Jill Vogel (R): 47.874%
Others: 5%

Vogel +0.028 (Tie)

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Northam 53
Gillespie 46

All this "tightening" is nothing more than Democratic sandbagging to remove the prospect of underperformance and to motivate their voters to get out and create the opposite. It's pretty obvious that Northam has this.

Everyone in NoVa is literally Beet and is enjoying this wild ride.

[Virginiá]

Everyone in NoVa is literally Beet and is enjoying this wild ride.

rip Virginia

[Panhandle Progressive]

Northam 53
Gillespie 46

All this "tightening" is nothing more than Democratic sandbagging to remove the prospect of underperformance and to motivate their voters to get out and create the opposite. It's pretty obvious that Northam has this.

I agree. Dems got this.

[jaichind]

Gillespie 49–48

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Gillespie 49%
Northam 47%

[Mr. Smith]

Northam 48.7
Gillespie 48.1

[Frodo]

What is with these decimals? 

Anyway,

Ed Gillespie (R): 49%
Ralph Northam (D): 48%
Cliff Hyra: 3%

[LabourJersey]

Northam by 3

[GlobeSoc]

Northam 53
Gillespie 46

All this "tightening" is nothing more than Democratic sandbagging to remove the prospect of underperformance and to motivate their voters to get out and create the opposite. It's pretty obvious that Northam has this.

Everyone in NoVa is literally Beet and is enjoying this wild ride.

[Xing]

It's definitely tightened, but Northam still looks to be ahead.

Northam 50.1%
Gillespie 46.8%

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Ralph Northam (D): 51.4%
Ed Gillespie (R): 47.3%
Cliff Hyra: 1.3%

[GeorgiaModerate]

What is with these decimals? 

The truly brave would predict the exact number of votes.

[The Other Castro]

What is with these decimals? 

The truly brave would predict the exact number of votes.

Boom:

Northam - 1,219,187
Gillespie - 1,108,759

[GeorgiaModerate]

What is with these decimals? 

The truly brave would predict the exact number of votes.

Boom:

Northam - 1,219,187
Gillespie - 1,108,759

You were pretty close for Gillespie.

[The Other Castro]

What is with these decimals? 

The truly brave would predict the exact number of votes.

Boom:

Northam - 1,219,187
Gillespie - 1,108,759

You were pretty close for Gillespie.

The turnout overall, especially on the Democratic side, really surprised me. I thought I was being pretty optimistic in thinking a 5ish point win with high turnout, but the VA Democrats were very good in running this show and deserve a lot of credit.